NCAA tourney: Who will be No. 1 seeds?

March, 17, 2013
3/17/13
1:30
PM ET
It will be difficult for the NCAA selection committee to differentiate between the six teams likely competing for No. 1 seeds: Duke, Indiana, Gonzaga, Louisville, Kansas and Miami.

With their resumes being so similar in many regards, the committee will look for ways to separate the top four teams from the rest.

The argument for Duke:

Duke has the No. 1 RPI, strength of schedule and nonconference strength of schedule.

Duke has two wins against the RPI top 10. Gonzaga, Louisville and Kansas have no RPI top-10 wins.

Duke (9-2) has the best win percentage against RPI top-50 teams.

Duke doesn't have any losses outside the RPI top 100.

If it comes down to a Duke-Louisville comparison, the Blue Devils won the head-to-head matchup against the Cardinals.

The argument against Duke:

Duke has three losses outside the RPI top 50 (Maryland twice and Virginia once), more than Indiana, Gonzaga, Louisville and Kansas.

Duke did not win its regular season or conference tournament title.

Duke has the worst win percentage (11-5) in road/neutral games of the No. 1 seed contenders.

The argument for Indiana:

Indiana was 3-0 against the RPI top 10. The Hoosiers have more wins and a better win percentage against RPI top-10 teams than any of the No. 1 seed contenders.

Indiana has more RPI top-25 wins (seven) than any of the No. 1 seed contenders.

Indiana has no losses outside the RPI top 50.

The argument against Indiana:

Indiana has the worst nonconference schedule strength of the No. 1 seed contenders.

Indiana has the worst RPI (No. 8) of the No. 1 seed contenders.

The argument for Gonzaga:

Gonzaga has only two losses all season, both against RPI top-50 teams.

Gonzaga has the best win percentage (12-2) against RPI top-100 teams in the nation.

Gonzaga has the best road/neutral win percentage (16-1) and the most road/neutral wins in the nation.

Gonzaga swept through the WCC regular season and conference tournament.

The argument against Gonzaga:

Gonzaga has the worst strength of schedule (No. 97) of the No. 1 seed contenders.

Gonzaga hasn't faced a single RPI top-10 team. The Bulldogs have only one win against the RPI top 25. Every other No. 1 seed contender has at least four RPI top-25 wins.

The Bulldogs also have the fewest RPI top-50 and top-100 wins of the No. 1 seed contenders.

The argument for Louisville:

Louisville has 10 wins against the RPI top 50, more than Duke, Indiana, Gonzaga and Miami.

Louisville has 15 RPI top-100 wins, tied with Duke and Kansas for the most of the No. 1 seed contenders.

Louisville won the Big East regular season and conference tournament titles.

The argument against Louisville:

Louisville is 0-2 against the RPI top 10.

Louisville's worst RPI loss (against No. 51 Villanova) is worse than that of Indiana and Gonzaga.

The argument for Kansas:

Kansas has the most RPI top-50 wins (13) in the nation. The Jayhawks have three more RPI top-50 wins than any other No. 1 seed contender.

Kansas is 6-1 against the RPI top 25 and 15-4 against the RPI top 100.

Kansas won the Big 12 regular season and conference tournament titles.

The argument against Kansas:

Kansas has two losses outside the RPI top 50 and one loss outside the RPI top 150, a loss to No. 234 TCU.

Kansas has no wins against the RPI top 10.

The argument for Miami:

Miami has two wins against the RPI top 10. Gonzaga, Louisville and Kansas have no wins against the RPI top 10.

Miami ranks in the top five in RPI and nonconference strength of schedule.

If Miami defeats North Carolina, the Hurricanes will have won the ACC regular season and conference tournament titles.

The argument against Miami:

Miami has only seven RPI top-50 wins, fewer than Duke, Indiana, Louisville and Kansas.

Miami has four losses outside the RPI top 50 and two losses outside the RPI top 100, both more than any other No. 1 seed contender.

What do the fans think? We asked fans to vote for their No. 1 seeds by replying to the @ESPNStatsInfo Twitter account and here are the results so far:

Louisville 31.9%
Gonzaga 27.2%
Indiana 16.1%
Duke 10.2%
Kansas 7.5%
Miami 5.1%

Vote for your No. 1 seeds and view the results here.

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