Friday, February 24, 2012
Stats in the Paint: Weekend Outlook
By ESPN Stats & Information
Let’s get you "warmed up" for the College GameDay road show (live on Saturday from Storrs, Conn., at 11 a.m. ET on ESPN) by taking a look at some notes and nuggets from our college hoops advanced stats research team (a group we call the "Stats in the Paint" team).
(2) Syracuse at Connecticut, 9 p.m. ET on ESPN
Highest Pct of Team’s Pts Off Turnovers
Big Six Conferences This Season
When Syracuse has the ball: Watch for the Orange to take advantage of turnovers. Syracuse scores 21.4 points per game off turnovers this season, which leads all major-conference schools. The Orange score 1.24 points for every turnover that their opponents commit, which is the most among major-conference schools. Their percentage of points off turnovers also leads among Big Six teams this season.
When Connecticut has the ball: Which Huskies team will show up? Connecticut is shooting 60.0 percent in transition in its seven Big East wins this season and 46.2 percent in its eight conference losses.
Jeremy Lamb is shooting 49.5 percent against man defense in Big East play and 36.5 percent against zone defense. Lamb will have to deal with a Syracuse zone defense that's tops in the nation forcing 12.0 turnovers per game and is fifth in opponents' field goal percentage at 35.0.
Saturday’s Other Notable Matchups
Vanderbilt at (1) Kentucky, Noon ET
Key stat: Kentucky's Anthony Davis has 133 blocks and is averaging 4.8 blocks per game this season, both of which lead the nation. Davis has kept 99 of his 133 blocks inbounds this season, leading to 72 Kentucky points. He also has 81 dunks this season, more than the rest of the Kentucky team combined (61). The Wildcats are also seeking their 51st straight win at home.
(3) Missouri at (5) Kansas, 4 p.m. ET
Key stat: Missouri is 8-1 this season in games decided by nine or fewer points while Kansas is 6-4. Kansas is 20-0 this season when it holds opponents to less than a point per possession; the Jayhawks are 3-5 when they don’t. Kansas allowed a season-high 1.10 points per possession against Missouri on Feb. 4.
(7) North Carolina at Virginia, 4 p.m. ET on ESPN
Fewest Pts per 100 Possessions Allowed This Season
Key stat: Virginia’s opponents average 60.7 possessions per game this season, the fourth fewest in the nation, but the Tar Heels average 73.2 possessions per game, ninth most in the country according to StatSheet.com. North Carolina has scored 543 points in transition this season, the fourth most in the nation. The Cavaliers trail only Ohio State when it comes to allowing the fewest points per 100 possessions this season.