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Friday, February 22, 2013
Stats in the Paint: Weekend Outlook

By ESPN Stats & Information


Gregory Shamus/Getty ImagesJames Southerland (center) and No. 8 Syracuse host No. 11 Georgetown on Saturday.

Let’s get ready for the weekend on the college hardwood by highlighting a few notes and nuggets from our college hoops advanced stats research team (a group we call the "Stats in the Paint" team).

(11) Georgetown at (8) Syracuse – Saturday at 4 ET
Saturday marks the final meeting between Syracuse and Georgetown at the Carrier Dome before the Orange leave for the ACC next season. To showcase the matchup of Big East founding members, let’s look at the showdown by the numbers:

36.5 – Syracuse has scored an average of 36.5 points per game in the paint this season, the most in the Big East and the third-most by a Power Six conference school. The Orange are 17-1 when scoring at least 30 points in the paint this season and 5-3 when they don’t.

21.4 - Georgetown has allowed 21.4 points per game in the paint this season, the third-fewest in the Big East. The two teams that allow fewer than the Hoyas are Pittsburgh and Villanova and both of which defeated Syracuse earlier this season.

34.2 & 35.1 – Syracuse is holding opponents to 34.2 percent shooting in the half court this season (fourth in D-I) and Georgetown opponents are seventh in the nation at 35.1 percent in half-court sets.

112.9 – Syracuse is averaging 112.9 points per 100 possessions in games in which James Southerland has played this season, an offensive efficiency that would rank 11th in Division I. Its efficiency was 105.4 in six games without him, an average that would be tied for 92nd.

9.7 – Georgetown has allowed opponents to score just 9.7 points per game in transition this season, second-fewest in the Big East. The Hoyas will be tested Sunday as the Orange are third in the Big East with 15.4 transition points per game and have scored 18.1 points per game on the break when Southerland has played.

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES SATURDAY

(16) New Mexico at (22) Colorado State – 4 ET
Key stat: Colorado State rebounds 58.9 percent of all missed shots, the highest percentage in Division I this season. In their 61-59 loss to UNLV on Wednesday, the Rams posted season lows in rebounding percentage (44.9), offensive rebounding percentage (27.0) and defensive rebounding percentage (65.6).

Arkansas at (5) Florida – 7 ET on ESPNU
Key stat: Florida allows just 84.1 points per 100 possessions this season, the second-fewest in the nation behind only Stephen F. Austin (78.4). No team from a Power Six conference has finished with a better defensive efficiency over the last 12 seasons.

Creighton at Saint Mary's – 6 ET on ESPN
Key stat: Creighton has been the most efficient half-court offense in the nation this season, scoring a D-I-best 1.01 points per play. The Bluejays are also one of just two teams that have made at least half of their shots in the half court.

Missouri at Kentucky – 9 ET on ESPN
Key stat: Kentucky averages 37.3 points in the paint per game this season, the most in the SEC and second-most among Power Six conference teams. The Wildcats average 42.1 paint points per game at home and 30.7 per game away from Rupp Arena.