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4. [A] 34.3 percent transfer rate shouldn't be considered abnormal ... because a recent study by the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center showed that 32.6 percent of all full-time college students transfer. Are college students as a whole transferring too much for their own good? Maybe. But are basketball players transferring far more than non-athletes? That's a definite no.
8. Coaching-change culture should take most of the blame.
We shouldn't be surprised that half of the extra-early committers go on to decommit. Why? During the course of this study (from 2007-on), the average annual rate of turnover in the Division I coaching ranks was 13.5 percent, which outpaces the average annual transfer rate for men's basketball players during the same stretch (10.8, according to the NCAA).
So, let's say a player commits to a school during his freshman year of high school, and goes on to play four years of college ball. In that eight-year span, it's likely that there will be more coaching changes than there are teams in D-I. (Maybe we should be calling that an epidemic.)