Kanell's Top Four Teams

September, 16, 2014
Sep 16
12:45
PM ET


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Danny Kanell ranks the top four teams in college football.
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Heather Dinich gives her week 4 playoff predictions.
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What would a Clemson win do the playoff race? Heather Dinich and Cary Chow discuss.

Suspension matures FSU WR Jesus Wilson

September, 16, 2014
Sep 16
11:30
AM ET
TALLAHASSEE, Fla. -- Jesus Wilson boarded the plane for Dallas with an unsettling feeling. His pads, cleats and gloves were coming with him, mockingly almost. He knew there was little chance he would get the opportunity to knock off the out-of-the-box shine.

[+] EnlargeJesus Wilson
Melina Vastola/USA TODAY SportsReceiver Jesus Wilson says he's ready to make an impact in Florida State's home game against Clemson on Saturday.
A potential starting receiver entering the summer, the sophomore was going to be on the sideline and dressed for No. 1 Florida State's opener, but he wasn't going to play, his suspicions confirmed upon arrival to AT&T Stadium. Seminoles coach Jimbo Fisher told him his indefinite suspension in the aftermath of a scooter theft would end the same time as Florida State's first game.

"I had an idea," Wilson said. "I knew there was going to be some consequences."

Wilson was initially charged with a felony in July for stealing another student's motorized scooter, at which time resulted in a mandatory suspension from games. He was able to remain with the team and practice, and Wilson said he never felt support from teammates or Fisher waver as the legal process ran its course. Wilson pleaded down to two misdemeanors days before fall camp started.

"It's been kind of hard but my family and coaches and team, they always supported me and stood by my side through the whole situation. I had to grow up and be a man and learn what's right and wrong," Wilson said. "...Coach loves us. He treats us like his kids. He understood what I did was wrong but said I had to make smarter decisions in the future and learn from that and become a man."

His teammates and coaching staff needed him, though, and that was evident against Oklahoma State. Without a true No. 2 receiving threat, the hope at Florida State is Wilson will alleviate the pressure on Rashad Greene, who after recording 11 catches in Week 1, voiced his opinion that the Seminoles need to balance out the passing attack.

There were signs the offensive distribution was stabilizing Week 2 against The Citadel upon Wilson's return, and Wilson caught a touchdown against the Bulldogs. With the top-ranked Seminoles' game against No. 22 Clemson this week, Wilson will play a pivotal part in the passing game.

As Wilson watched film this week, he saw a lot of man coverage principles from Clemson, which owns the conference's No. 1 pass defense, and the undersized receiver feels that plays into his strengths -- speed and route running.

"I'm looking forward to it," Wilson said. "I'm ready. It's my first time playing in a big game like this."

Throughout the offseason, Wilson has received praise from quarterback Jameis Winston as a young player with the ability to replace the production lost from the departures of Kelvin Benjamin and Kenny Shaw. Although Wilson stands only 5-foot-9, Winston said Wilson is capable of turning any route into a long touchdown.

Fisher expounded on Winston's answer, and called Wilson the complete receiver that the offense needs opposite Greene.

"[Wilson is] extremely fast, can judge a ball, strong, got great body quickness, stick his foot in the ground and change direction," Fisher said. "He's becoming a very polished receiver."

Weekend recruiting wrap: ACC 

September, 16, 2014
Sep 16
10:00
AM ET
Though next weekend begins the bulk of the key recruiting weekends in ACC play featuring some of the nation's top prospects on campuses within the conference, this past weekend featured a key commitment for Virginia Tech, and one of the Miami Hurricanes' top commitments making an unofficial visit to an SEC power.

ESPN 300 OL Matt Burrell names a leader 

September, 15, 2014
Sep 15
9:20
PM ET
ESPN 300 offensive lineman Matt Burrell Jr. has already taken an official visit to Ohio State, and that trip has resonated with the No. 61 ranked prospect. He still has four more official visits to take, but Burrell says he has his list in order as it stands.


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TALLAHASSEE, Fla. -- We leave you alone for one weekend, ACC, and this is what you do. That has to be what Clemson and Florida State were thinking as they checked box scores Sunday morning after their bye week.

Virginia Tech loses all team and conference momentum with a home loss to East Carolina. Georgia Southern was once again 90 seconds from upsetting an ACC team. Louisville, who many felt was now Florida State's biggest threat to an undefeated season, loses at Virginia. And, off all teams, it was reeling Boston College left to extinguish the flames, and the Eagles salvaged the Saturday with the biggest upset of the season, according to the Football Power Index, with a bulldozing of No. 9 USC, shocking even the staunchest ACC supporters.

So here we are, at the outset of Week 4 and exactly where we thought we would be before the season kicked off: the ACC seemingly comes down to Clemson and Florida State for the third consecutive season. The two will play in prime time Saturday, and the winner controls its destiny in the Atlantic Division and, with the lack of clarity in the Coastal, conference.

It is what we have grown accustom in the ACC as of late as both programs have been on a similar linear ascent to the top of the conference. Only the Tigers and Seminoles have represented the Atlantic in the ACC championship game since 2009, but the Coastal was superior then. Now, the two have won the past three conference titles and that looks to be the case once again in 2014, too.

Except this year, winning the conference has an entirely new significance. A College Football Playoff invitation is on the line now. Technically, the ACC has seven undefeated teams, but Clemson and Florida State are the conference's prized horses capable of carrying the league to the inaugural final four. The other five would likely need an undefeated run, and that's a wager I'm not sure anyone outside of Atlanta, Pittsburgh, central New York or the Triangle is willing to make right now.

"There's no doubt" the Tigers are a rival, Seminoles coach Jimbo Fisher said. "...It's a game in which you like to be at Florida State to play in because of the ramifications and the national attention it brings."

Despite No. 22 Clemson entering the game with a loss, the national implications will be near the level it was last season because of the dawn of the playoff era. There's the sense conference titles won't mean what they used to for the elite programs, and Fisher has said as much multiple times, pondering whether fans will deem any playoff-less season as a failure. And for two teams that have each won conference titles and played in multiple BCS games the past few seasons, there is the argument that a conference title might not be enough, especially for Florida State.

If Clemson loses big, it almost certainly ends the Tigers' playoff hopes. A Florida State loss and now the nation's top-ranked program and the conference's best chance at a playoff bid needs to not only play close to perfect football against a tough remaining slate but solicit help from the supernatural to even play in the conference championship.

It might only be September but the ACC's playoff chances potentially hinge on this game between conference heavyweights.

Consistency still missing in ACC

September, 15, 2014
Sep 15
9:00
AM ET
Boston CollegeAP Photo/Stephan SavoiaBC's upset over USC shows that ACC teams are capable of winning big nonconference games.

The yin and yang that is the ACC was on full display this past weekend.

Boston College pulled an upset for the ages over No. 9 USC on Saturday night, giving the ACC five wins against top 10 nonconference opponents in a two-year span for the first time in league history!

Oh, but both No. 17 Virginia Tech and No. 21 Louisville lost to unranked teams.

But hey, the ACC is 27-5 against nonconference teams! And for the second time in league history, two unranked ACC teams upset top 10 opponents this year (BC, plus the Hokies over Ohio State in Week 2).

Oh, but look at those rankings. Only two teams remain in the AP poll this week.

But hey, maybe the bottom of the league is starting to rise up if cellar dweller UVa can shock a team like the Cards! Virginia had six wins over the last two seasons while Louisville had 23!

Oh, but look closer at the AP rankings. Only one ACC team sits in the top 15, compared to seven from the SEC.

But hey, at least the ACC is not the Big Ten!

Back and forth we go in our yearly game entitled: What will you turn out to be, ACC?

If only the ACC could get all its pieces to fit nicely into one pretty looking College Football Playoff picture.

Instead, we are left with the all too familiar, a disjointed puzzle that remains hard to comprehend and even harder to predict. Virginia Tech had its offense and defense in sync at Ohio State in Week 2; the Hokies were totally out of sync Saturday at home against East Carolina, a team everybody knew would have a shot at the upset. Boston College allowed 300-plus yards rushing in a loss to Pitt in Week 2. Against USC? The Eagles gave up 20 yards on the ground. Total.

Then there is Louisville, a team that had two turnovers in its first two games. The Cards doubled that total against Virginia and lost.

The season is obviously still young and we only have a few games to go on, but the ACC already is falling into its usual habits despite some of those jazzy stats mentioned above. Big wins end up being fluky wins; four ranked teams dwindle to two; and lo and behold, Florida State and Clemson are left to carry the league.

You know, the way the two are doing this week. "College GameDay" will be in Tallahassee, Florida, for the showdown between the only remaining ranked ACC teams, a game that has determined the Atlantic champion three straight years.

While Florida State has looked shaky and Clemson is playing one of the most daunting schedules in the country to open the season, there is no dispute everybody else inside the ACC is still chasing these two. A host of teams still have a chance to get into the Top 25 rankings this season -- Duke, Pitt and North Carolina are on deck while Virginia Tech and Louisville will have every opportunity to get back in, too. If Miami gets past Nebraska this weekend, who knows what happens.

But what was reinforced this weekend is the importance of following through. One big win is great. But that big win needs to beget another big win and another, until the ACC has got a solid group of teams that become more predictable week in and week out. Watering down the schedule like the folks over in SEC land is not the answer. The ACC needs to continue to be at the forefront of playing big nonconference games.

The league is clearly capable of winning them. It is the consistency that remains elusive.
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We've got three big questions heading into Week 4, Florida survives at home and doesn't head-to-head mean anything? It's all ahead in your College Football Minute.

ACC bowl projections: Week 3

September, 14, 2014
Sep 14
8:00
PM ET
The ACC makes no sense right now. Virginia Tech thumps Ohio State on the road, then loses to East Carolina at home. Boston College coughs up 214 rushing yards to James Conner one week, then holds USC to 20 yards on the ground the next. Georgia Tech is 3-0, but has hardly looked impressive yet. Oh, and there’s that little matter of the conference’s top two teams facing off this coming Saturday.

For now, we’re doing the best we can with a fluid situation, so fair warning that these projections are a moving target at this point in the season.

College Football Playoff: Florida State
Orange Bowl: Clemson vs. Notre Dame*
Russell Athletic Bowl: Virginia Tech
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl: Pittsburgh
Belk Bowl: Duke
Hyundai Sun Bowl: Miami
New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Louisville
Military Bowl presented By Northrop Grumman: Virginia
Duck Commander Independence Bowl: North Carolina
Quick Lane Bowl: Boston College
BITCOIN St. Petersburg Bowl: Georgia Tech

*Note: Notre Dame is eligible for a bid to any ACC tie-in game unless it is selected for a New Year’s Six game, which can include playing an ACC team in the Orange Bowl.
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College football reporter Heather Dinich breaks down the notable movers in the ESPN College Football Power Rankings.

Top 10 teams by playoff odds

September, 14, 2014
Sep 14
5:01
PM ET

Each week throughout the season, the Playoff Forecast will use ESPN's Football Power Index and human logic (i.e., the eye test) to determine which teams are best positioned in the chase for the inaugural College Football Playoff. These rankings take into account perceived team strength (including injuries) and remaining schedule difficulty (including prospective conference championship games).

The Playoff Forecast is not intended to be a prediction of the selection committee's weekly Top 25, which will be released every Tuesday starting Oct. 28. It is a projection of which teams have the best chance to be in the top four come December.


1. Florida State Seminoles

FPI's chance of winning out: 15.4 percent
FPI's chance of winning the conference: 61.3 percent

Through two games, the Noles haven't looked nearly as good as they did last year, but they have still looked good enough to handle the teams on their schedule. Without playing a game last weekend, FSU saw its odds of going unbeaten increase, thanks to future opponents Louisville, Notre Dame and Florida all looking weaker on Saturday. It's possible that the Seminoles' toughest remaining test could be at home against Clemson in a few days. That game may tell us whether this FSU team is capable of dominating the way the 2013 version did.


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SEC again dominates AP poll

September, 14, 2014
Sep 14
2:07
PM ET
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South Carolina's win over Georgia vaulted the Gamecocks 10 spots to No. 14 in The Associated Press college football poll, giving the Southeastern Conference an unprecedented seven teams in the top 15.

The SEC had eight teams ranked in the poll for the third straight week and five teams in the top 10 for two weeks running. Alabama was third behind No. 1 Florida State and No. 2 Oregon, followed by No. 5 Auburn, No. 6 Texas A&M, No. 8 LSU and No. 10 Ole Miss.

Georgia fell to No. 13 after losing to the Gamecocks 38-35, and Missouri was No. 18.

Florida State, which was off, had 37 first-place votes, losing one to the Ducks, who had 17.


(Read full post)


ACC Power Rankings: Week 3

September, 14, 2014
Sep 14
2:00
PM ET
 

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Kanell's Top Four Teams
Danny Kanell ranks the top four teams in college football.
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