SEC Week 12 bowl projections: Can Florida make a New Year's Six bowl?


As we near the end of the regular season, the only question for Alabama is if they travel to Dallas or Miami for the semifinal. Assuming they win Saturday against Auburn and handle their business in the SEC championship, the College Football Playoff awaits. And it’s likely -- regardless of whether they are No. 1 or No. 2 -- they’ll be headed to Dallas.

Meanwhile, No. 12 Florida is clinging to its spot in a New Year’s Six bowl. Saturday’s near disaster against Florida Atlantic didn’t help, and if the Gators lose this Saturday and again in the SEC title game, they will likely be passed up for the Allstate Sugar Bowl.

Which team would jump Florida? No. 18 Ole Miss is the most likely candidate, especially if they win at Mississippi State this weekend. But if it goes the other way, Dak Prescott and the Bulldogs can also make a strong case. Even if Florida keeps its New Year’s Six bid, the winner of the Egg Bowl should have a leg up when it comes to the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl.

Other movers and shakers include the addition of LSU to the middle-tier bowl games. The Tigers went from the College Football Playoff to the Belk Bowl in a little less than a month.

The other big question heading into the final weekend is how many SEC teams will play in a bowl game? Auburn clinched its spot last weekend with a win over Idaho. However, Kentucky and Missouri, both 5-6, remain on the fence. The Wildcats host in-state rival Louisville while Gary Pinkel’s squad travels to Arkansas. Neither team is favored, which is why both were left out of the projections this week, but Kentucky has a better chance of winning.

Here are this week’s SEC bowl projections:

College Football Playoff semifinal (Cotton Bowl): Alabama

Allstate Sugar Bowl (New Year’s Six): Florida

Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl: Ole Miss

AutoZone Liberty Bowl: Arkansas

TaxSlayer Bowl: Mississippi State

Outback Bowl: Tennessee

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl: Georgia

Belk Bowl: LSU

AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl: Texas A&M

Birmingham Bowl: Auburn