Big 12 FPI rankings: Week 13

November, 24, 2014
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ESPN's Football Power Index is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward for the rest of the season. Every week, ESPN will be updating its FPI to compile a ranking based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using results to date and the remaining schedule.

This past weekend brought little change to the Big 12 FPI data.

After beating Oklahoma State 49-28, Baylor remained at No. 4. The Bears now have a 70.6 percent chance to win out, and a 72.7 chance to be the Big 12's representative champion. FPI also gives Baylor a 94 percent chance to beat Texas Tech in Arlington, Texas, on Saturday.

TCU's chance of winning out, meanwhile, stands at 64.2 percent, but FPI gives Texas a 33 percent chance of upsetting the Horned Frogs on Thanksgiving night. The Horned Frogs stayed at No. 11 in FPI rankings after having the weekend off.

Despite beating West Virginia on the road last week, Kansas State remained 18th in FPI. The Wildcats' chances of knocking off Baylor in the season finale, however, bumped up slightly to 25 percent.

Oklahoma State was better offensively at Baylor with freshman QB Mason Rudolph than it had been the previous month, making the Cowboys the Big 12's biggest riser in this week's FPI. Still, the metric only gives the Cowboys an 8.3 percent chance of upsetting Oklahoma on Dec. 6.

Iowa State tied Kansas for the Big 12's biggest FPI drop of the week. The Cyclones fell three spots after losing at home to Texas Tech. FPI only gives Iowa State an 18.7 percent chance to get off its Big 12 winless schneid this Saturday at home against West Virginia.

Big 12 weekend rewind: Week 13

November, 24, 2014
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Taking stock of Week 13 in the Big 12:

Team of the week: K-State kept its Big 12 title hopes alive by winning at West Virginia on Thursday, 26-20. The Wildcats hardly played a perfect game. They frustrated Bill Snyder by committing a season-high 102 penalty yards. They also rushed for just a single yard on 29 carries offensively. But the defense harassed the Mountaineers into four turnovers, while K-State quarterback Jake Waters was on point with a career-high 400 yards passing. As a result, the Wildcats left Morgantown two wins away from earning at least a share of the Big 12 title and playing itself into a New Year's Six bowl.

Disappointment of the week: Not since Gene Chizik's final season in Ames in 2008 has Iowa State gone winless in Big 12 play. But after falling 34-31 at home to Texas Tech, Iowa State is on the cusp of finishing without a victory in the conference for the first time in the Paul Rhoads era. The Cyclones had the lead in the fourth quarter, and a chance to at least send the game to overtime late. But when the game was on the line, Iowa State couldn't come up with the critical play. The Cyclones will have two more chances to avoid the ignominy of going winless. But after losing to Kansas and Texas Tech the last two weeks, it's difficult to envision that happening.

Big (offensive) man on campus: Samaje Perine made this the easiest decision of the year. The Oklahoma true freshman running back ran for an FBS record 427 rushing yards and five touchdowns in the Sooners' 44-7 win over Kansas. Just a week ago, Wisconsin's Melvin Gordon broke the FBS single-game mark held previously since 1999 by TCU's LaDainian Tomlinson. But Gordon's record lasted a mere seven days. Perine took his first carry 49 yards for a touchdown, and finished with 222 yards in the first half to draw within striking distance of the record. Then, Perine's opening touch of the third quarter went 66 yards for another score. He went on to break the record early in the fourth quarter. “He was sensational," Bob Stoops said. Sensational, indeed.

Big (defensive) man on campus: Linebacker Pete Robertson led the Texas Tech defensive effort at Ames with nine tackles, 2.5 tackles for loss, a sack and a quarterback hurry. Robertson delivered a couple of key tackles in the fourth quarter, which forced the Cyclones into a 42-yard field goal attempt they would miss. That allowed Tech to retake the lead on the ensuing drive with a game-winning touchdown.With 10 sacks on the season, Robertson has been one of the bright spots for the Tech defense.

Special-teams player of the week: Tyler Lockett, who else? Sure, his 43-yard punt return touchdown came via a West Virginia coverage bust that left a hole the size of the Monongahela River. But Lockett, who leads the country in punt returns, added 10 receptions and 196 yards receiving. K-State's all-time leading receiver is also having an All-American-caliber season as a specialist.

Play of the week: Perine made history early in the fourth quarter, when he barreled through a trio of Kansas defenders, then raced 42 yards to give him an FBS record 427 rushing yards in the game. After the play, Perine was subbed out to the rain-soaked Owen Field crowd chanting his name.

Stat of the week: According to ESPN Stats & Information, Perine had eight rushes of 20 yards or more against the Jayhawks, the most in a game by any player the last 10 seasons, and more than 19 FBS teams had entering the weekend.

Quote of the week: "It hurts, man. But records are meant to be broken. Congratulations to that guy." – Wisconsin running back Melvin Gordon, on Perine breaking his single-game FBS rushing record after just seven days. LaDainian Tomlinson's rushing record, meanwhile, lasted for 5,466 days, before Gordon broke it last week.

Big 12 morning links

November, 24, 2014
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Baylor running back Devin Chafin is one tough hombre.
  • What a weekend it was for Oklahoma true freshman running back Samaje Perine, who broke Melvin Gordon's week-old FBS single-game rushing record. There were a bunch of good reads on Perine's 427-yard rushing effort in the rain. The Tulsa World's Eric Bailey tracked down Greg Pruitt, who had previously held the OU single-game rushing record for 43 years. Pruitt didn't know his record had been broken until former Sooner coach Barry Switzer called to tell him. The Oklahoman, which ran the headline "Reign Man," had several articles on Perine, including this one from Jason Kersey on Perine's mother, and this one from Jenni Carlson on how Perine turned a miserable day in Norman into a memorable one.
  • After struggling offensively pretty much the entire season, Oklahoma State finally showed life in a 49-28 loss at Baylor. The difference was true freshman QB Mason Rudolph, who made his collegiate debut in Waco. Before the game, The Oklahoman's Berry Tramel wondered why Mike Gundy pulled Rudolph's redshirt in Week 13. After the game, Tramel was left wondering what took Gundy so long? I had the same thought watching the Cowboys, which looked completely different offensively after almost two wayward months. Why didn't Gundy give Rudolph a shot earlier in the season, when it became apparent the offense would be limited with Daxx Garman's immobility behind a shaky offensive line? The decision to start Rudolph so late squandered a season of his eligibility. But the decision to wait until now to do it could wind up costing 5-6 Oklahoma State a bowl trip.
  • The Austin American Statesman's Brian Davis conducted an interesting Q&A with Texas athletic director Steve Patterson. Among the topics Davis broached was if Patterson still wants to stage a Texas football game overseas (it sounds like he still does). Davis also asked whether Patterson would want to play Texas A&M if the AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl sought to match up the old rivals. Patterson dodged the question, more or less. Seriously, why can't one person in power at either Texas or Texas A&M come out and admit he or she would like to see this game be played? What are both sides so afraid of? By the way, on a neutral site, I would pick the Longhorns to beat A&M. Texas should want to play this game. What better way to boost the Longhorns back to running the state again.
  • The Cyclones have become all too accustomed to heartache, the Ames Tribune's Bobby La Gesse writes. Including the 34-31 loss to Texas Tech on Saturday, Iowa State has lost three Big 12 games by four points or less. The Des Moines Register's Randy Peterson added that the Tech loss underscored where the program is right now. Always one play away. The Cyclones have to figure out how to come up with that one final play. Otherwise, more heartache will lie ahead for a program already filled to the brim with it.
  • Kansas State is focused on fixing its running game for the backstretch after rushing for one yard last week at West Virginia, and 34 yards the week before that at TCU. The Manhattan Mercury's Joshua Kinder points out that the Wildcats haven't had a running back rush for more than 100 yards in a game all season. Not since Bill Snyder's first year in 1989 has K-State gone an entire season without a running back reaching 100 yards. The Wildcats are capable of upsetting Baylor in two weeks to grab at least a share of the Big 12 title. But to do it, they'll need to run the ball a lot better than they have of late.

Big 12 Power Rankings: Week 13

November, 23, 2014
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Best of the visits: Big 12

November, 23, 2014
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Three Big 12 games took place Saturday, but there was one that caught extra national attention. Oklahoma defeated Kansas 44-7, and Sooners freshman Samaje Perine set the FBS single-game rushing record with a 427-yard performance.

It was a chance for recruits to see how good the Oklahoma offense can be when everything is clicking on all cylinders. One player who was impressed was junior college receiver Dede Westbrook, who was in Norman on an official visit. Westbrook enjoyed his third of five scheduled official visits.


Westbrook had a chance to spend time not only with coach Bob Stoops but also a future teammate in wide receiver Sterling Shepard.


Any time a running back has a rushing game like the one Perine had, the offensive line deserves recognition. Perine’s performance allowed ESPN Junior 300 OT Jean Delance to see how good the Oklahoma offensive line can be. Delance was in attendance on an unofficial visit.


One player very impressed with what he saw was 2017 ATH Quindon Lewis. Still relatively early in his recruiting process, Lewis -- at 6-foot-2 and 165 pounds -- can play either cornerback or wide receiver. While he doesn’t have an Oklahoma offer, Lewis is receiving interest from the Sooners -- and a few other schools.


While Perine was setting records in Norman, Baylor was trying to stay relevant in the College Football Playoffs race -- and also stay dry. Storms swept through the Waco area, but Baylor managed to take home a 49-28 win against Oklahoma State and earn its 15th consecutive home victory.

Texas high school playoff games on Saturday prevented some athletes from attending, and the weather may have scared off others. However, two ESPN Junior 300 athletes were on hand in RB Kameron Martin and WR Tren’Davian Dickson.


In Ames, Iowa State hosted several athletes in an effort to improve on its commitment list, which currently is at 11. The Cyclones fell 34-31 to Texas Tech, but the recruits in attendance enjoyed their stays.

A few junior college prospects were in Ames, and juco DT Demond Tucker was one of the primary targets. The Cylones are looking to add to a 2015 class that doesn’t have a defensive tackle commit as of yet.


Iowa State loves to find hidden gems, and one player who could be a diamond in the rough is 2016 prospect Jeff Gurley. A defensive end who also can play tight end, Gurley had a chance to take in Saturday’s atmosphere.


Look for next week’s games in the Big 12 to have a big-named recruit or two watching. Texas will host TCU on Thanksgiving in a key matchup that should have several unofficial visitors in attendance. Also, Baylor will take on Texas Tech at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Kansas State hosts Kansas in a battle of the Sunflower State and West Virginia collides with Iowa State in Ames.

Big 12 helmet stickers: Week 13

November, 23, 2014
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It was a good weekend to be a running back, and a trio of signal-callers staked their claim for the future. Here are the Big 12's top performers for Week 13:

Oklahoma RB Samaje Perine: The numbers say plenty: 34 carries, 427 yards, five touchdowns, 12.6 yards per carry. But it was a record-setting day for the true freshman, who broke Melvin Gordon’s week-long record for single-game rushing yardage in the FBS in OU's 44-7 win over Kansas. Perine also became the first player in FBS history to rush for at least 200 yards in both halves of a single game, according to ESPN Stats & Information. Vision, physicality, durability, speed ... Perine has it all.

Oklahoma blockers: Sure, the Sooners' offensive line deserves the bulk of the credit as Perine repeatedly cruised untouched into the Jayhawks' secondary. But the Sooners' fullbacks, tight ends and receivers deserve their share of the accolades as well because Perine doesn’t have eight carries of 20 yards or more without downfield blocking by OU’s skill players. OU’s starting line of Daryl Williams, Ty Darlington, Adam Shead, Nila Kasitati, Tyrus Thompson built the foundation and fullbacks Aaron Ripkowski and Dimitri Flowers built upon that foundation.

Texas Tech QB Patrick Mahomes: The Red Raiders might have something in the true freshman quarterback who spurned professional baseball to play in Lubbock. Making his third collegiate start, Mahomes was 23-of-35 for 325 yards and four touchdowns with one interception in Tech’s 34-31 win over Iowa State. He was clutch in the fourth quarter, leading the Red Raiders on a touchdown drive to take the lead then converting a key third down with a 9-yard run to seal the win on the next drive.

Iowa State RB Aaron Wimberly: The Cyclones running back averaged 5.4 yards per carry in the loss. He had 19 carries for 102 yards and two touchdowns. He also added three receptions for 22 yards. Wimberly was a consistent threat for ISU’s offense, helping the Cyclones finish with 569 total yards.

Texas Tech RB DeAndre Washington: A dynamic running threat for Tech all season long, Washington had 20 carries for 186 yards (9.3 yards per carry) and one touchdown. He added two receptions for 51 yards and another score. He becomes the first Red Raider to rush for 1,000 yards since 1998 (Ricky Williams) and the seventh in school history.

Baylor RBs Shock Linwood and Devin Chafin: The Bears' pair of running backs combined for 219 rushing yards in Baylor's 49-28 win over Oklahoma State. Linwood had 21 carries for 113 yards and one touchdown. Chafin had 21 carries for 106 yards and three touchdowns. On a rainy night at McLane Stadium, Art Briles' squad turned to the running game and the Bears' running back duo didn’t disappoint.

Oklahoma State QB Mason Rudolph: The Cowboys may have found themselves an answer at quarterback for the final game against Oklahoma and beyond. The true freshman finished 13-of-25 for 281 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions in his first collegiate game. OSU’s 28 points was its most since a 37-20 win over Iowa State on Oct. 4.

Kansas State WR Tyler Lockett: The Wildcats' dynamic playmaker had 321 all-purpose yards in K-State's 26-20 win over West Virginia on Thursday night. Lockett had 10 receptions for 196 yards and added a 43-yard punt return for a touchdown. Week in and week out, Lockett makes a strong case to be known as the Big 12's toughest player to stop.

West Virginia QB Skyler Howard: The junior college transfer came off the bench to pass for 198 yards and two touchdowns. He completed 15 of 23 passes to spark a late rally by the Mountaineers and could get the opportunity to see more time behind center in WVU's final regular-season game against Iowa State next Saturday.
Head-coaching changes are on the way, certainly at Florida and likely at Michigan, but do not overlook key coordinator moves potentially on the horizon.

Which programs should make a hire, and which are the likeliest to do so?

Virginia Tech fits both. Those close to the program were unsure last month about offensive coordinator Scot Loeffler’s future, but failure to score in four quarters Saturday against Wake Forest is a death knell.

The Hokies lost 6-3 in double overtime to the Deacons, an inexcusable and improbable loss that drops them to 5-6. With only Virginia remaining, the rivalry game will determine whether the program’s streak of 21 consecutive bowl games will extend another year.

You’d think Loeffler would get a pass for the offense’s issues, given the magnitude of injuries and youth Virginia Tech has dealt with this fall. I’m told, however, that head coach Frank Beamer has concerns about the inconsistency of the play-calling and flow. Beamer has become more vocal in recent weeks and implored Loeffler to call more run plays and make the offense more digestible for all the young, inexperienced players forced into action.

In 24 games (13-11 record), Loeffler’s offense has averaged 4.94 yards per play. That’s 109th in the FBS. Last in that span? Wake Forest.

Beamer, embattled at this point, has to make a move for one final run at the ACC.

With a number of returning offensive players, including several returns from injuries, there are reasons for hope in 2015. Texas Tech transfer Michael Brewer was serviceable before his injury. With a new offensive plan and consistency, the Hokies could give Beamer that rebound run.

Where would I start? Well, Kurt Roper is on the market, and Florida’s demise had very little to do with him. He might be more spread-oriented than recent machinations, but perhaps that divergent philosophy is what the Hokies need.

Knowing the division from his Duke days, he’d be an asset. Having spent some time around him, I think he’d be a snug cultural fit.

Here are a few other coordinator spots to monitor

Impact Performance Nominees

November, 23, 2014
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The Capital One Cup Impact Performances of the Week include Colorado State's Dee Hart, Oregon's Marcus Mariota, East Carolina's Justin Hardy and Oklahoma's Samaje Perine.

Breaking Down Oklahoma's Win

November, 23, 2014
Nov 23
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Chris Fowler and Kirk Herbstreit break down Samaje Perine's record-breaking day in Oklahoma's 44-7 win over Kansas and look ahead to the Sooners' matchup against Florida State.

What we learned in the Big 12: Week 13

November, 23, 2014
Nov 23
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Here’s what we learned Saturday in Week 13 of the Big 12:

[+] EnlargeSamaje Perine
Brett Deering/Getty ImagesOklahoma running back Samaje Perine proved too physical for Kansas' defense on Saturday.
1. Perine is a star already: Melvin Gordon’s FBS single-game rushing record lasted all of seven days. One week after the Wisconsin Heisman hopeful rushed for 408 yards, Oklahoma's Samaje Perine eclipsed that mark with 427 yards on 34 carries in a 44-7 win over Kansas. Perine didn’t even start the game, and he only got one carry (he took it 49 yards for a touchdown) through Oklahoma’s first three possessions. But he took over the game after that and ran for five touchdowns before capping his amazing afternoon with a 43-yard dash that broke Gordon’s record early in the fourth quarter. The scariest part? Perine is a true freshman. Although Gordon will likely be taking his talents to the NFL after this season, Perine will be terrorizing Big 12 defenses for years to come as one of the fastest rising stars in college football.

2. The Cowboys appear to have their QB of the future: Oklahoma State pulled the redshirt off true freshman quarterback Mason Rudolph with only two games left, after Daxx Garman was ruled out with a concussion. In his much anticipated collegiate debut, “The Reindeer” electrified a previously dormant Cowboys offense, and Oklahoma State hung tough with the seventh-ranked Bears before they pulled away 49-28. Rudolph wasn’t perfect; he did throw a couple freshman interceptions. But he gave the Cowboys the jolt they’ve desperately been craving, offensively, since J.W. Walsh was injured in Week 2. Displaying veteran poise and an accurate arm, Rudolph threw for 281 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Dating back to halftime Oct. 11 against Kansas, Oklahoma State had scored just three offensive touchdowns coming into the weekend. On Saturday, with Rudolph at quarterback, the Cowboys scored four TDs on the road against the Big 12’s best statistical defense. Overall, this has been a disappointing season for the Cowboys. But with Rudolph behind center, they have plenty to be excited about for the future.

3. Baylor misses a prime chance for style points: Earlier in the day, No. 6 Ohio State struggled at home against Indiana, which opened the door for Baylor to jump the Buckeyes in the playoff rankings with an impressive performance. The Bears appeared to be on their way to doing just that, after they bounded to a 14-0 lead over the Cowboys in the game’s first three minutes. But the rest of the way, Baylor sputtered offensively and had problems stopping Rudolph. This might come off like nitpicking. After all, Baylor did win the game by three touchdowns. But with “game control” being utilized by the playoff committee as a subjective component, Baylor missed out on an opportunity to deliver a statement on the same weekend Ohio State struggled and TCU was off.

4. Mahomes is making a move on the Tech QB job: Coming into the season, the Red Raiders had high hopes for sophomore quarterback Davis Webb. But Webb’s struggles with turnovers, followed by an ankle injury, have given true freshman Pat Mahomes the opportunity to show what he can do with the job. After he threw four touchdowns last week against Oklahoma, Mahomes was terrific again in a 34-31 win at Iowa State. He threw for 328 yards and four touchdowns and led the Red Raiders on a 75-yard, game-winning drive, which he capped with a 44-yard touchdown pass to Kenny Williams late in the fourth quarter. Perhaps most impressively, Mahomes has thrown only one interception the past two weeks. Tech coach Kilff Kingsbury said earlier in the week that the quarterback that doesn’t turn the ball over would have the best chance to be the program's long-term starter. Right now, that appears to be Mahomes.

5. Iowa State is now on the cusp of a winless Big 12 season: Texas Tech was Iowa State’s best chance to get a Big 12 win to give the program at least a dash of momentum going into 2015. The Cyclones needed one last stop and then one last scoring drive. Instead, they failed to get either, and Tech rallied to take the lead, then held Iowa State on a final fourth-down attempt. The Cyclones entered this season hoping to regain bowl eligibility after going 3-9 last year. But if they don’t knock off West Virginia at home next weekend or somehow pull the upset of the year Dec. 6 at No. 5 TCU, they will finish winless in the conference for the first time since Paul Rhoads took over as coach in 2009.
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On what was largely a ho-hum Saturday, many of the country's top teams didn't dominate their games against what were supposed to be overmatched opponents.

No. 1 Alabama led FCS opponent Western Carolina 17-14 early in the second quarter of a 48-14 victory.

No. 3 Florida State needed a field goal with three seconds left to beat Boston College 20-17 in the rain at home.

No. 6 Ohio State trailed Indiana deep into the third quarter of a 42-27 win.

And No. 8 Ole Miss was blown out by Arkansas in an ugly 30-0 loss.

At this point, with only two weeks left in the regular season, does it really matter how good a team looks while winning? Isn't it all about just winning?

Defending national champion Florida State has made its living by winning ugly this season. The Seminoles' victory over Boston College was their sixth this season in which they trailed or were tied in the second half. According to ESPN Stats & Information, only Northern Illinois in 2013 won more such games (seven) among the 30 FBS teams that started 11-0 in the past 10 seasons.

So will FSU's latest closer-than-expected victory bolster its playoff résumé?

"Why wouldn't it?" FSU coach Jimbo Fisher said. "We're undefeated. We're undefeated. We finish every game. Everybody else in the country has not finished at least one game. We've finished every one of them. Isn't that the object?"

It used to be. But now the object seems to be more about how you look in winning. The Seminoles dropped from No. 2 to No. 3 in the rankings over the past couple of weeks, and they haven't even been ranked No. 1 by the selection committee, despite being the only remaining unbeaten team from a Power 5 conference and having won a school-record 27 consecutive games.

"Well, you know, we were downgraded every time we blew someone out last year, so think of the irony of that," FSU quarterback Jameis Winston


(Read full post)


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Oklahoma's Samaje Perine set a new FBS single-game rushing record with 427 yards in an easy win over Kansas.

Video: No. 21 Oklahoma 44, Kansas 7

November, 22, 2014
Nov 22
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Running back Samaje Perine eclipsed Melvin Gordon's single-game rushing record with 427 yards on 34 carries in Oklahoma’s 44-7 win against Kansas.
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RB Samaje Perine discusses his record-breaking performance, rushing for 427 yards in a single game, in Oklahoma's 44-7 win over Kansas.

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