Florida State's win over Miami was enough to boost it past Oregon into the No. 2 spot behind Alabama in the BCS standings on Sunday.
No. 2, of course, guarantees a spot in the BCS championship game.
But the Seminoles, playing their last quality regular-season game, only lead the Ducks by .0090 points. The Ducks visit Stanford on Thursday. The Cardinal, at No. 5 in the BCS standings, are the top one-loss team.
Oregon remains ranked second in the two human polls that count in the standings, the Coaches and Harris polls, but ranks No. 3 with the computers.
The bottom line: If Oregon wins the rest of its games, including the Pac-12 title game, it will require a significant switch in the human polls for the Ducks to not end up at No. 2.
FSU, which ranks No. 1 with the computers, is .0272 behind No. 1 Alabama. No. 4 Ohio State is .0715 behind the Ducks.
As for the rest of the Pac-12, UCLA is No. 19 and Arizona State is No. 22 in the standings.
That's significant. At this point, the Bruins and Sun Devils look like the South Division favorites, and they play on Nov. 23. If the South champion is highly ranked, that almost certainly would give the Ducks a major boost -- if, of course, the Ducks win out.
Know what Ducks fans should be most rooting for, other than a win at Stanford and for Florida State (or Alabama) to lose?
Root for Miami to lose again. Maybe even twice, thereby making the ACC title game less compelling.