What do the preseason rankings tell us?


Kyle Porter from the Oklahoma State site pistolsfiringblog.com did a breakdown of the Big 12 preseason media poll, and just how accurate it has been in predicting where teams will finish.

Porter wanted to find out if it overvalued some squads and undervalued others.

Not surprisingly, the media has been way off on Kansas State for some years. Four times, the media has whiffed on K-State's finish by three or more spots. That should give heart to Wildcats fans for this season; K-State was picked to finish seventh.

The media has also had a difficult time, Porter pointed out, in tabbing TCU and West Virginia since the two joined the league. Over that span, they have the widest variations in preseason pick and final standing. Last year, TCU was picked seventh, and West Virginia, eighth. The Horned Frogs shared the league title, while the Mountaineers finished tied for fourth.

Texas and Oklahoma (and Oklahoma State) have been picked too high seven times, tied for most in the league. It should come as no surprise that the Longhorns and Sooners traditionally get the benefit of the doubt among media members more than the average team.

While we're discussing preseason polls, on a personal note I would like to see the Big 12 take the preseason poll a little more seriously. At the moment, it's incredibly unscientific. Anyone who registers for Big 12 media days can vote, which is fine, except not everyone does (only 42 people voted this year). That leaves the poll susceptible to potential regional biases. (There's more media in Texas than, say, Iowa or Kansas.)

In my opinion, the Big 12 should identify the people who have voted consistently in recent years, make sure every state and team is represented appropriately and hand out ballots accordingly. That would be a better system than the free-for-all framework currently in place.