Colleges: Florida Gators
Top SEC title challengers: Texas A&M
Alabama lost nine draft picks, including three first-rounders, but Nick Saban has a host of talent returning on both sides of the ball, and the Tide's schedule isn't too daunting after the first two games.
But there are teams that will test the Tide's road to a national championship trifecta in 2013. Colleague Travis Haney picked five teams from around the country that could challenge Alabama's title hopes this fall. Ohio State topped his list, while Texas A&M made it from the SEC.
No surprise there with the Aggies. Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel returns with a bundle of riches to accompany him in the Aggies' backfield.
Johnny Football might not have Luke Joeckel protecting him, but Jake Matthews provides quite the safety net with his move to left tackle, and there is still talent and experience up front. Mike Evans leads a young but talented group of pass-catchers.
The defense is a concern, with five members of last season's front seven gone, but the Aggies will still be equipped to win most shootouts.
A&M benefits from getting Alabama at home early in the season, but has to play Arkansas, Ole Miss, LSU and Missouri on the road. Even beating Alabama early doesn't guarantee the Aggies will make it to Atlanta over the Tide.
Texas A&M almost played Louisville
According to ESPN's Brett McMurphy, Texas A&M and Louisville were in discussions to open the 2013 season at Houston's Reliant Stadium. That would have given us Johnny Manziel vs. Teddy Bridgewater. Or, Johnny Football vs. Teddy Ballgame.
Unfortunately, things just didn't get worked out between the two parties, so we're left with the Aggies taking on Rice at home on Aug. 31. It just won't be the same as seeing the Aggies take on what should be another talented Charlie Strong-led Louisville squad. And after what the Cardinals did to Florida in the Allstate Sugar Bowl, Louisville is a hot ticket and qualifies as must-see TV.
AP Photo/Rogelio V. SolisJohnny Manziel and the Aggies will face Rice instead of Teddy Bridgewater and Louisville on Aug. 31."It would have been a great experience to play against last year's Heisman Trophy winner and arguably the best player in college football," Bridgewater said. "He lays it on the line like I do. It would have been a great matchup."
Louisville is clearly looking to sit at the big boys' table, because the Cards not only tried to play the Aggies, but they also wanted a neutral-site game with the defending champs ... and almost got it.
According to McMurphy's report, Louisville almost played Alabama in the Chick-fil-A Kickoff Game in Atlanta. Virginia Tech, which will face Alabama on Aug. 31 at 5:30 p.m. ET inside the Georgia Dome instead, was ready to back out of the game if quarterback Logan Thomas made an early jump to the NFL. If Logan had skipped his senior year, the Cardinals would have replaced the Hokies in Atlanta.
However, Thomas opted to stay, so Alabama will start the season against Virginia Tech, which isn't a bad matchup at all.
We might get to watch Johnny Football take on Teddy Ballgame, but there are some pretty exciting nonconference games that SEC teams are involved in this fall. Here are five (outside of Alabama-Virginia Tech) that I'm most excited about:
LSU vs. TCU (Arlington, Texas), Aug. 31: The Tigers did just fine last time they were in this building, but after losing a chunk of defensive talent, LSU has to face a TCU team that returns nine offensive starters and will be less than 20 miles from campus.
Georgia at Clemson, Aug. 31: The Bulldogs will be without 12 players who either started or saw significant time on defense in 2012. Clemson, led by quarterback Tajh Boyd and wide receiver Sammy Watkins, should provide problems with its offense. However, Georgia should like its offensive matchup with a Tigers defense that surrendered nearly 400 yards a game last season.
Mississippi State vs. Oklahoma State (Houston), Aug. 31: Mississippi State's defense has a lot of questions to answer up front and in the secondary, and its first test comes against the Big 12's top scoring offense from a season ago. Seven OSU starters return on an offense that averaged 547 yards last season.
Florida at Miami, Sept. 7: Miami isn't close to the power it once was, but taking an offense that has a lot of questions surrounding it on the road early will make this quite the test for the Gators. The good news for Florida is that Miami returns nine starters on a defense that was last in the ACC in total defense, passing defense and rushing defense in 2012.
Ole Miss at Texas, Sept. 14: Players in Oxford are already talking revenge after getting blown out by 35 against the Longhorns at home last season. Both sides of the ball should be improved for the Rebels this fall, and even though the jury is still out on Texas, the Horns return 19 total starters.
While the soon-to-be-former Big East is entering its last season as a BCS school, before the four-team college football playoff takes into effect in the 2014-15 season, aggressive scheduling is one way to keep the league on the national radar.
The slates will provide several opportunities for big national upsets in the coming years, so here's a look at some of the notable future opponents for SMU.
SMU: The Mustangs have quite the in-state home-and-home lineup. They canceled this season's home game with Baylor, and while it is unknown if the 2013 game will be made up or bought-out completely, the schools still have a home-and-home scheduled through 2019. The Battlle for the Iron Skillet with TCU will continue through 2017, with the Horned Frogs playing host this season. SMU will go to Texas A&M this year and host the Aggies in 2014, closing out a four-year home-and-home. They begin this season with a Friday night home contest against Texas Tech.
SEC upsets to keep an eye on in 2013
We saw some good ones last year, like Louisiana-Monroe upending Arkansas, Texas A&M knocking off No. 1 Alabama in Tuscaloosa and Louisville embarrassing Florida in the Sugar Bowl.
Since anything -- and everything -- can happen on any given Saturday, we'll probably see some fun upsets yet again this fall.
Here are some potential upsets involving SEC teams to look out for in 2013:
TCU over LSU, Aug. 31: The Tigers have a lot of holes to fill on defense, and TCU just happens to bring back nine offensive starters. Plus, quarterback Casey Pachall is back. This game will also be played in Arlington, Texas, which is less than 20 miles away from TCU's campus.
Ole Miss over Texas A&M, Oct. 12: The Rebels choked away a second-half lead in this game last year, so there's plenty of motivation on Ole Miss' side. This game is in Oxford again, too. The Aggies have to replace five starters in their front seven, and the Rebels' explosive offense, which returns eight starters, could be a bad matchup for a younger defense like that.
A&M picked to have most transfer success
We asked you guys which of the three -- Florida, Missouri and Texas A&M -- would have the most success with their transfer players this season, and with more than 3,000 votes in our SportsNation poll, Texas A&M ran away with the win.
The Aggies, who welcome transfer running backs Brandon Williams and Tra Carson, grabbed 62 percent of the vote. Florida picked up 23 percent, while Missouri earned 15 percent of the vote.
If these running backs, especially Williams, are as good as advertised, the Aggies might have the most talented backfield in the SEC. Quarterback Johnny Manziel and running backs Ben Malena and Trey Williams are still around, so the Aggies will have plenty of options back there this fall.
The Gators gained two transfer offensive linemen in Max Garcia and Tyler Moore. Both entered spring practice as starters, but Garcia might have the best chance of keeping his starting role at left guard. That spot is open, while Moore will be challenging junior Chaz Green once Green returns from ankle surgery this fall. Regardless, both were much-needed additions to a line that is now expected to be stronger and more physical this fall.
As for Mizzou, the Tigers get another weapon at wide receiver with former Texas wide receiver Darius White's eligibility kicking in. The coaches are excited about his playmaking ability and he should push for playing time this spring. The Tigers' receiving corps struggled last season, so White will have every chance to be a factor in Mizzou's offense in the fall. Mitch Hall transferred in from Ole Miss last year and should push for playing time along the offensive line. The Tigers were really beat up along its line last year, and while Hall enters the spring behind Evan Boehm at left guard, Mizzou's coaches need to get him adequate reps during the spring and fall.
Kiper's Big Board entering NFL combine
But before any of them stepped foot in Indy, ESPN draft guru Mel Kiper Jr. released his pre-Combine Big Board
Georgia linebacker Jarvis Jones kept his place in the No. 1 spot, while Texas A&M offensive tackle Luke Joeckel jumped in front of teammate Damontre Moore to move from No. 3 to No. 2.
Florida defensive tackle Sharrif Floyd made a major move up Kiper's rankings, moving from No. 15 to No. 8.
Here's where all 12 SEC players ranked on Kiper's Big Board heading into the Combine:
1. Jarvis Jones, LB, Georgia
2. Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
3. Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M
6. Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
8. Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida
10. Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
12. Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU
15. Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
16. D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama
18. Alec Ogletree, LB, Georgia
21. Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
25. Matt Elam, S, Florida
Kiper also updated his position rankings
Here's where Kiper put SEC players in his position rankings:
Quarterbacks
4. Tyler Wilson, Arkansas
Running backs
1. Eddie Lacy, Alabama
5. Marcus Lattimore, South Carolina
Fullbacks
None
Wide receivers
1. Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee
Tight ends
3. Jordan Reed, Florida
Offensive tackles
1. Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M
3. D.J. Fluker, Alabama
Offensive guards
1. Chance Warmack, Alabama
3. Larry Warford, Kentucky
4. Dallas Thomas, Tennessee
Centers
2. Barrett Jones, Alabama
Defensive ends
1. Damontre Moore, Texas A&M
4. Barkevious Mingo, LSU
Defensive tackles
2. Sharrif Floyd, Florida
3. Sheldon Richardson, Missouri
Inside linebackers
1. Alec Ogletree, Georgia
3. Kevin Minter, LSU
5. Jon Bostic, Florida
Outside linebackers
1. Jarvis Jones, Georgia
4. Zaviar Gooden, Missouri
5. Cornelius Washington, Georgia
Cornerbacks
1. Dee Milliner, Alabama
3. Johnthan Banks, Mississippi State
Safeties
2. Matt Elam, Florida
4. Eric Reid, LSU
5. D.J. Swearinger, South Carolina
Kickers
2. Caleb Sturgis, Florida
Punters
2. Brad Wing, LSU
Kyle Field getting a pricey facelift
The work is supposed to begin on Nov. 10, a day after Texas A&M plays its final home game of the 2013 season.
The new seating capacity is expected to exceed 100,000 and could make Kyle Field the largest stadium in the SEC. Currently, Tennessee's Neyland Stadium has the largest seating capacity (102,455).
To get a glimpse of some of the renderings of the new Kyle Field, click here.
With Kyle Field expected to surpass 100,000 in seating capacity, that means the SEC would have three stadiums that seat more than 100,000. Alabama's Bryant-Denny Stadium has a seating capacity of 101,821.
Eight of the 14 home stadiums in the SEC seat at least 80,000 people.
- Tennessee (Neyland Stadium) -- 102,455
- Alabama (Bryant-Denny Stadium) -- 101,821
- Georgia (Sanford Stadium) -- 92,746
- LSU (Tiger Stadium) -- 92,542
- Florida (The Swamp) -- 88,548
- Auburn (Jordan-Hare Stadium) -- 87,451
- Texas A&M (Kyle Field) -- 82,589
- South Carolina (Williams-Brice Stadium) -- 80,250
Looking back at 1,000-yard rushers: Texas A&M
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Here's how the Texas A&M running backs we looked at last year did in 2012:
6. Christine Michael, Texas A&M: Like Lattimore, Michael was coming off of an ACL injury this fall, but he never seemed to really fit in the Aggies' new spread scheme. Eventually, he really wasn't Texas A&M's first option at running back and he finished the season with 417 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns in 11 games of action.
Who was overlooked:
- Johnny Manziel, Texas A&M: The Heisman winner was arguably the nation's most elusive player in the country when he took off running. He shredded defenses all season and led the SEC with 1,410 yards and 21 touchdowns. He also averaged 7 yards per carry.
The SEC owns bowl season ... again
Alabama’s utter domination of the No. 1 team in the country gave SEC commissioner Mike Slive and his league one more crystal ball to add to a stellar collection. It made seven BCS titles in row for the SEC, and continued to show the massive stronghold the SEC has built in college football.
Alabama’s win also gave the league a 6-3 bowl record, which was the best of any AQ conference. The last time the SEC failed to have a winning record in the postseason? Well, you have to go back to 2005 (3-3). The last time the SEC had a losing record: 2002 (3-4).
More importantly, the league has more crystal hardware for the rest of the nation to glare at.
Ronald Martinez/Getty ImagesJohnny Manziel and Texas A&M were part of another dominant postseason showing by the SEC.Only days before Nick Saban's squad won its second straight national title and third in four years, fans from all over took to social media to berate the SEC for its bowl shortcomings, thanks to flat performances by Florida, LSU and Mississippi State. It didn’t matter that the SEC entered the final weekend of the bowl season with a winning record, those three losses had people screaming that the SEC wasn’t the beast it -- and the media -- portrayed it to be.
Sure, six teams finished the regular season ranked inside the top 10 of the BCS standings, but two fell at the hands of teams deemed inferior. First, it was No. 8 LSU, which appeared to have the Chick-fil-A Bowl in hand late in the third quarter before No. 14 Clemson roared back with three straight scoring drives to win 25-24 on a last-second field goal.
The next day, Northwestern blasted Mississippi State 34-20 before No. 3 Florida was run out of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome by No. 20 Louisville in a 33-23 loss in the Allstate Sugar Bowl on Jan. 2.
Those three games had the SEC temporarily hunched over with its tail between its legs, but there was much more to the bowl season than just three losses.
You had Vanderbilt’s 38-24 win against NC State in the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl in which the Commodores dominated just about every moment of the game. Tenth-ranked South Carolina registered a thrilling, last-minute Outback Bowl win against No. 18 Michigan, while No. 7 Georgia won a back-and-forth game with 16th-ranked Nebraska 45-31 in the Capital One Bowl to take some pride away from the Big Ten.
That was all before Johnny Manziel and his ninth-ranked Aggies rolled past No. 11 Oklahoma 41-13 in the AT&T Cotton Bowl, and Ole Miss creamed Pittsburgh 38-17.
Still, it took an Alabama beatdown for the rest of the country to quiet down about all the overrated talk. Did the SEC come up short in a couple of games? Absolutely. Florida and LSU were the more talented teams, but laid eggs for the league, while Mississippi State looked lost from the start against Northwestern.
The league was far from perfect, but it led BCS conferences in bowl wins and captured the biggest one of all -- for the seventh straight year -- to once again leave the rest of the country looking up at the South.
Best case/worst case: Texas A&M Aggies
The SEC was 5-2 in bowl games a year ago, which includes Alabama's 21-0 win against LSU in an all-SEC affair in the BCS title game.
Can the SEC better that mark this season? We’ll start to find out Dec. 31 when Vanderbilt takes on NC State in the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl.
Here’s a look at the best-case/worst-case scenarios for SEC newbie Texas A&M this bowl season:
TEXAS A&M
Best case: The Aggies complete a dream first season in the SEC by beating up old Big 12 foe Oklahoma in the AT&T Cotton Bowl to win their 11th game and send a final resounding message that they’re going to be a serious player in the SEC.
Worst case: After all the Johnny Football hype that goes along with winning the Heisman Trophy, Johnny Manziel finally plays like a redshirt freshman. The Aggies can’t stop the Sooners in a disappointing season-ending loss in Cowboys Stadium.
Breaking down SEC attendance figures
It was Vanderbilt, which won eight games for the first time in 30 years. The Commodores averaged 37,860 for home games, which was a 15 percent increase.
The largest decrease for an SEC school was Kentucky, which averaged 49,691 fans and dropped 17 percent. The Wildcats finished 2-10 and fired coach Joker Phillips.
Tennessee also experienced a 5 percent drop in attendance. The Vols averaged 89,965 fans in what was their fourth losing season in the past five years. Derek Dooley was fired after three years on the job.
Even Florida, which went 11-1 and is headed to the Allstate Sugar Bowl, saw its home attendance drop by 2 percent.
The SEC led the nation in attendance with an average of 75,444 fans per game, but that was the league's lowest mark since 2007.
As Solomon points out in his piece, a face-value ticket for an SEC game reached $100 for the first time this season. The most expensive SEC ticket four years ago was $65, and that was the Alabama-Auburn game.
Below is a rundown of attendance figures for all 14 SEC schools:
- Alabama: 101,722 (minor decrease)
- Georgia: 92,723 (minor decrease)
- LSU: 92,626 (minor decrease)
- Tennessee: 89,965 (5 percent decrease)
- Florida: 87,597 (2 percent decrease)
- Texas A&M: 87,104 (minor decrease)
- Auburn: 82,646 (4 percent decrease)
- South Carolina: 80,001 (1 percent increase)
- Arkansas: 68,046 (2 percent increase)
- Missouri: 67,476 (9 percent increase)
- Ole Miss: 57,066 (1 percent increase)
- Mississippi State: 55,628 (minor decrease)
- Kentucky: 49,691 (17 percent decrease)
- Vanderbilt: 37,860 (15 percent increase)
Aggies up four spots in recruiting rankings
With the addition of Ricky Seals-Jones, the top prospect in the state of Texas and the No. 13 overall player on the ESPN 150 list, the Aggies moved from 10th to sixth in ESPN's 2013 class rankings
The Aggies aren't the only SEC team cleaning up in the class rankings. Florida continued to hold the top spot in the rankings, with its 24 commitments. Ten of those verbals are ESPN 150 members and 14 of them are ESPN 300 members. Alabama is steady at No. 4 with its 19 verbal commitments and nine ESPN 150 members.
LSU (No. 9) and Georgia (No. 10) both fell one spot in the rankings, but round out the top 10 for the SEC.
The SEC has eight teams within the top 25 of the class rankings. Auburn sits at 12th, South Carolina is 16th, Vanderbilt is 17th and Ole Miss is 21st.
Twelve SEC teams round out the top 40 of the class rankings, with Mississippi State coming in at 27th, Tennessee at 28th, Missouri at 34th and Arkansas at 38th.
Top SEC underclassmen draft prospects: Texas A&M
We are looking into our crystal ball to check out some of the SEC best who could declare for April's NFL draft early. We've talked to people around the league, those in the know at ESPN when it comes to the NFL draft, and came up with the Texas A&M underclassmen we feel are the best bets to come out and go the highest in next spring's draft.
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We're going in alphabetical order, so here are Texas A&M underclassmen we feel have the highest draft stock:
Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M: It's hard to find a better left tackle out there. Joeckel entered the season as a surefire first-round pick and has only helped his draft stock with an excellent junior season. He hasn't been rattled by the speed of opposing SEC ends, and has provided very good protection in the pass game. It sounds like he could be the first tackle off the board if he declares early.
Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M: The Aggies are really getting greedy with their tackles. Matthews has been excellent all season, and could play either right or left tackle in the NFL. He's very powerful and moves well up front. He could be a late first-round pick if he decides to come out.
Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M: Talk about really breaking out onto the national stage. He was excellent as an outside linebacker last season, but has been an absolute monster at defensive end in his first (and probably only) year in the SEC. He really adjusted to the new 4-3 scheme, and might have played himself into a top-10 pick. He has a team-high 74 tackles, leads the nation with 20 tackles for loss and is tied for first with 12.5 sacks.
Putting Manziel's numbers in perspective
Kansas State’s Collin Klein remains the Heisman Trophy front-runner, but don’t rule out “Johnny Football.” He made the kind of late-season splash on a huge stage that’s so important in the Heisman voting.
Robert Griffin III probably won the Heisman a year ago with his performance against Oklahoma on the next-to-last weekend of the regular season.
If you look at Manziel’s statistics to this point, he’s right there on par with the last two Heisman Trophy-winning quarterbacks to come out of the SEC -- Auburn’s Cam Newton in 2010 and Florida’s Tim Tebow in 2007.
Manziel also compares very favorably to Klein and has faced three teams ranked in the top five nationally in total defense -- No. 2 Alabama, No. 3 LSU and No. 5 Florida.
Here’s a breakdown of Manziel’s numbers through 10 games compared to what Newton and Tebow had done through 10 games during their Heisman Trophy seasons:
MANZIEL
- Total offense: 3,794 yards
- Touchdowns accounted for: 33
- Rushing: 1,014 yards, 15 touchdowns, 6.5 yards per carry
- Passing: 227-of-336 (67.6 percent), 2,780 yards, 18 touchdowns, six interceptions
- Total offense: 3,171 yards
- Touchdowns accounted for: 36
- Rushing: 1,281 yards, 16 touchdowns, 7.3 yards per carry
- Passing: 123-of-183 (67.2 percent), 1,890 yards, 19 touchdowns, five interceptions
- Total offense: 3,250 yards
- Touchdowns accounted for: 42
- Rushing: 718 yards, 19 touchdowns, 4.2 yards per carry
- Passing: 173-of- 255 (67.8 percent), 2,532 yards, 23 touchdowns, five interceptions
GLOWING EMBERS
Texas A&M: This SEC stuff is a piece of cake. Just ask Texas A&M, which went into Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday and took down Alabama 29-24. The Aggies have now positioned themselves for an at-large BCS bowl berth and are two home wins away (against Sam Houston State and Missouri) from winning 10 games. Teams simply aren’t supposed to come into the SEC and have this kind of success this early. Texas A&M’s only two losses were by a combined eight points to a pair of top-10 teams: Florida and LSU. But the Aggies believed all along that they were equipped to come into this league and be a factor right away. Kevin Sumlin’s up-tempo offense has given SEC defenses fits all season. Redshirt freshman quarterback Johnny Manziel is the most exciting player in the country, and let’s not forget about the defense, either. Mark Snyder’s guys have held teams to an average of 19.2 points in their past four games since that 59-57 shootout win against Louisiana Tech.
HOT
John Reed/US PresswireCoach Mark Richt has his Bulldogs defense playing as a cohesive unit during the second half of the season.NOT
Whining about Georgia’s schedule: Enough already. The Bulldogs played the schedule in front of them and are the East champs. Case closed. Did it help the Bulldogs that they avoided Alabama and LSU? Absolutely. Did Florida get a shot at Georgia head-to-head? Absolutely ... and the Gators lost.
HOT
Vanderbilt’s pride: The Commodores’ come-from-behind 27-26 victory over Ole Miss on the road says volumes about the pride in the Vanderbilt program, the mental edge that second-year coach James Franklin has brought to that program and the leadership on the team. Vanderbilt rallied from a 23-6 deficit early in the third quarter and did it with its leading rusher, Zac Stacy, on the bench after suffering an injury in the first half.
NOT
Alabama running back T.J. Yeldon: For the second week in a row, the talented freshman running back lost a fumble with Alabama driving in the second half, and this time, the Crimson Tide couldn’t recover. Yeldon coughed up the ball at the Texas A&M 30 in the fourth quarter, and the Aggies answered with a quick touchdown to take a 29-17 lead.
HOT
LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger: This is the version of Mettenberger everybody expected to see all season. He’s come to life in the past two games, and so has the Tigers’ passing game. Mettenberger followed up his impressive performance against Alabama by hitting 19 of 30 passes for 273 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions in LSU's 37-17 win over Mississippi State.
NOT
Mississippi State’s momentum: The Bulldogs are suddenly reeling after winning their first seven. They simply haven’t played well during what has been the toughest part of their schedule and have lost three in a row to nationally ranked foes by a combined score of 113-37. If this is going to be a season to remember, they have to stop the bleeding this week at home against Arkansas.
HOT
South Carolina safety D.J. Swearinger: When you start listing the best safeties in the SEC, don’t forget about Swearinger. In the Gamecocks’ 38-20 win over Arkansas, he had 13 tackles and returned an interception 69 yards for a touchdown. Swearinger leads the team with 39 solo tackles.
NOT
Florida’s offense: It’s been painful to watch these past few weeks. The Gators aren’t doing much of anything well on offense right now, and a big part of their problem is how limited they are in the passing game. Their best offense this past week was the game-saving blocked punt against Louisiana-Lafayette.
FREEZER BURN
Job security: Arkansas and Kentucky are already looking for new coaches, and it appears Auburn and Tennessee will soon join that market. Even for the SEC, four coaches being fired or pushed out in one season is pretty extreme. But when you look at the money being paid to coaches these days and the revenue being lost when a school doesn’t win, administrators aren’t going to be hesitant about pulling the trigger. Auburn has lost nine straight SEC games dating back to last season and is a shell of the program that won the national championship two years ago. Tennessee has lost 13 of its past 14 SEC games and has given up almost as many points in its six SEC losses this season (262) as Alabama, Florida and LSU have given up in 21 combined SEC contests (287).
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