Big 12 Upset Alert: Week 7

October, 10, 2012
10/10/12
5:30
PM CT
Each week, we pick the Big 12 game most likely to go the opposite way experts believe.

This week, there were plenty of good picks, but I boiled it down to one.

My pick: No. 6 Kansas State at Iowa State

Paul Rhoads has made a living knocking off great teams, and he'll have another opportunity at home this week. Iowa State's already come close against Kansas State. The last two Farmageddons were decided by just a touchdown, and the 2009 game came down to a blocked extra point late.

This time, don't be surprised if Iowa State finally gets the best of these purple Kansans. These teams are a lot like each other in some ways, but Iowa State is better built to stop offenses like Kansas State than the spread schemes around the Big 12. Kansas State wants to play physical.

Linebackers Jake Knott and A.J. Klein will be ready for Collin Klein and John Hubert, and expect this game to be close. Jared Barnett connected on a pair of bombs against a good TCU defense, and he's already got a home win against Oklahoma State on his resume, and the 2011 Cowboys were probably a bit better than this 2012 Kansas State team.

Iowa State joined Ohio State as the only teams in college football to log road wins against ranked teams in three consecutive seasons, but the Cyclones will be home this week, where they've been tough the past couple years. Iowa State is a scary matchup for K-State with the personnel to slow the Wildcats powerful offense.

If Iowa State springs the upset, it'll be because of that defense.

SPONSORED HEADLINES

Comments

You must be signed in to post a comment

Already have an account?

103.3 FM ESPN PODCASTS

Fitzsimmons and Durrett: OSU scandal

Part 2 of the articles on OSU's involvment in academic fraud was released. Some claim the expose is unfounded. Ian and Richard warn that there are two sides to all stories.

Fitzsimmons & Durrett: Longhorns talk

Fitzsimmons and Durrett discuss Mack Brown, Manny Diaz and all the latest with the Texas Longhorns.

Fitzsimmons & Durrett: Barkley on Manziel

Fitzsimmons and Durrett give you the latest on the Johnny Manziel story and Charles Barkley weighs in. You won't believe who the outspoken NBA Hall of Famer is disappointed in and what he thinks about the autograph allegations.

Fitzsimmons & Durrett: Kirk Herbstreit

Kirk Herbstreit joins Fitzsimmons and Durrett for his weekly visit to preview the 2013 college football season.

Fitzsimmons & Durrett: Andy Dalton

Former TCU and current Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton joins Fitzsimmons and Durrett to discuss the expectations for the Bengals this season, give a prediction for the TCU-LSU game and talk about what it's like having the Hard Knocks cameras follow him.

Galloway and Company: Manziel talk

Randy Galloway, Matt Mosley, and Mark Friedman react to Dez Bryant's comments regarding the NCAA's ongoing investigation of Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel.

Fitzsimmons and Durrett: Dez Bryant sounds off

Richard Durrett, Ian Fitzsimmons and Glenn "Stretch" Smith react to Dez Bryant sounding off yesterday after practice about Johnny Manziel and the shadiness of the NCAA.

Fitzsimmons and Durrett: Dan Beebe

Former NCAA investigator and Big 12 commissioner Dan Beebe joins Fitzsimmons and Durrett to weigh in on the Johnny Manziel drama and give some insight as to what goes on during an NCAA investigation.