Thursday, October 20, 2011
What to watch in the Big 12: Week 8
By David Ubben
Here's what I'm watching in Saturday's set of games.
1. Missouri's offensive mindset. Oklahoma State is going to score at least 30 points. Period. So, how does Missouri combat that? The Tigers have a lot of playmakers, though it lacks a truly fearsome home-run hitter. Does it lean on Henry Josey and try to control possession a bit to keep the ball out of OSU's hands? Or does it come out guns blazing and look to sling it and outscore an underrated but suspect OSU defense?
Dustin Harris finally got the A&M defense a turnover last week, intercepting Baylor's Robert Griffin.
2. Turning point for Texas A&M defense. The Aggies finally busted their 22-quarter slump without a turnover last week, and did it against the nation's stingiest quarterback when it comes to turnovers, Baylor's Robert Griffin III. Now, they face Iowa State's Steele Jantz or freshman Jared Barnett, or perhaps both. Jantz's eight interceptions are two more than any quarterback in the Big 12. We may see a big, big day for the defense in the turnover column.
3. Kansas State's front seven. Kansas' offense is better this year behind Jordan Webb, but the real heart of the offense is its running game. Kansas State has the ability to reduce the offense to one dimension with a strong defensive line and great group of athletic linebackers, headlined by Arthur Brown and Emmanuel Lamur. Does K-State do it and make the rival Jayhawks try to beat them with the pass?
4. Oklahoma State's defense. The raw numbers for OSU's defense aren't encouraging. A closer look shows they're deceiving. Want to prove it? Here's a good chance against a good offense. The Tigers will be tough and Oklahoma State's on the short list of possible upset candidates this weekend. A dominant defensive performance like the Cowboys had against Baylor last year would quickly put a stop to that idea.
5. Changing of the tide? Texas Tech has struggled mightily in Norman. I picked it to lose big to the Sooners. Tech has two quality losses that could have easily gone the other way. With a bowl game looking like no guarantee, does Tech respond? The Red Raiders have had a lot of success against Oklahoma in Lubbock, but can they sneak up on the Sooners in Norman in a game most see as an easy Sooners victory?
6. Iowa State's quarterbacks. Is Jantz's foot the biggest reason Barnett has become a factor in the quarterback race? Or if he starts and makes a few mistakes, is Barnett due for some time? It'll be something to watch in a tough matchup for the Cyclones.
7. Oklahoma's defense. This team has been dominant, but Texas Tech is slinging it as well as any team in the league. Without running back Eric Stephens, look for that to continue. Is the Sooners' secondary up to the task?
8. Progress at Kansas. The Jayhawks took a big step forward against a high-powered offense in Oklahoma last week. This week, they'll face a much more grounded, grinding approach from Kansas State. The Jayhawks have big, physical linebackers led by Steven Johnson. Can they derail K-State's dream season for their first Big 12 win?