Thursday, November 1, 2012
Big 12/SEC predictions: Week 10
By David Ubben
We're back again with this week's predictions. I'll be heading back to Manhattan, Kan., for Kansas State's game against Oklahoma State on Saturday, so that should be plenty of fun. There's a decent chance it's the last time this season K-State matches up with a top-25 team.
No. 12 Oklahoma 30, Iowa State 17: Nobody likes Oklahoma when it's angry, but the Sooners are slowed a bit by a gutsy performance from the Cyclones' defense, inspired by the loss of Jake Knott. It's close for three quarters, but Oklahoma goes on the road and gets a big win with a late fourth-quarter surge to put the game away. Trey Millard and A.J. Klein collide several times. The result is a danger to all in attendance.
No. 21 West Virginia 41, TCU 38: This was the toughest pick of the week for me, but after a rough stretch, West Virginia's offense finally rediscovers its mojo, and it needs every bit of it at home against the hungry Frogs. Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey both top 100 yards and West Virginia gets back on track for the rest of its season.
No. 18 Texas Tech 38, No. 23 Texas 24: I'm pretty much selling on the Horns at this point. The offense has inexplicably gone south and the defense has been bombed out all season. Texas Tech takes advantage and finally beats the Horns behind an electric crowd in Lubbock. The injuries at running back are catching up to Texas, too. Malcolm Brown is badly needed. Johnathan Gray is great, but he can't do it by himself.
Baylor 31, Kansas 28: The upset potential is strong here, and Kansas' running game has a lot of success and keeps the Bears offense off the field more than Baylor would like. Still, Terrance Williams is too much. Tevin Reese doesn't look like himself, but Williams picks up the slack, topping 200 yards receiving for the second time this season. Nick Florence finds him downfield all day.
No. 2 Kansas State 47, No. 24 Oklahoma State 31: I don't see the Cowboys' front seven slowing down Kansas State's running attack. That's obviously the matchup that decides this game. OSU ranks fourth in the Big 12 in rushing defense, but K-State is a whole new beast, and Arizona's dual-threat quarterback torched the Cowboys. Collin Klein does more of the same. This is my game of the week, too, so expect a video later today with more on this matchup.
Texas A&M 31, Mississippi State 27: The Bulldogs are yet again looking to prove themselves after a blowout loss to Alabama. That defense will have its hands full with Aggies quarterback Johnny Manziel, who went back to being Johnny Football against Auburn. A&M has struggled offensively against good defenses in the second half this season, but that changes Saturday. -- Edward Aschoff
Mississippi State 34, Texas A&M 30: Talk about a springboard game. The winner Saturday in Starkville has a chance to go on and have a big season. Both offenses are explosive, and while Mississippi State may still be smarting some from its loss at Alabama last week, the Bulldogs are a different team at home amid the cowbells. -- Chris Low