Dirk Nowitzki is 18 points away from moving into the top 10 on the NBA's all-time scoring list. He’s mentioned he has two to three years left before he retires. Assuming Dirk plays in the last four games this season and every game over the next three seasons (250 games), he needs to average 13.3 PPG to become just the sixth player in NBA history with 30,000 career points. If he plays two more seasons, he would need to play every game and average 19.7 PPG to reach 30,000.
But just how high can he climb up the list? If he plays in each of the next 250 games and averages 22.5 PPG (career average), he will wind up with 32,318 career points, moving past Michael Jordan for third. His final rank will also depend on Kobe Bryant, who is currently fourth with 31,700 points.
Athleticism fades but shooting is one of the last things to go and Nowitzki has been one of the best shooters in the league this season. He has made 212-of-429 shots from 8-16 feet, the most makes and attempts in the league this season and his 49.4 field goal percentage from that range is second to only Joe Johnson at 51.2 percent (minimum 200 FGA).
Nowitzki has taken the sixth most shots (347) and has the fourth most makes (176) from 16-24 feet. That’s a field goal percentage of 50.7, second best in the league behind only David West at 51.2 percent (minimum 200 FGA).