Monday, May 23, 2011
Mavs nemesis Danny Crawford working Gm. 4
By Tim MacMahon
OKLAHOMA CITY -- Noted Dallas nemesis Danny Crawford is the lead official for Monday night's Game 4.
The Mavericks have a 3-16 record in playoff games worked by Crawford, but they do have a one-game winning streak. The Mavs beat the Trail Blazers in Game 2 of the first round after Crawford's assignment to the game dominated headlines and sports talk throughout the day.
The Mavs had lost 16 of the previous 17 playoff games worked by Crawford.
Tony Brothers and Ken Mauer are the other officials on Crawford's crew. Mauer worked Game 1 of the Portland series, when the Mavs had a 19-2 free throw edge in the fourth quarter, which prompted complaints from Blazers coach Nate McMillan that cost him $35,000.
THE RETURN OF DANNY CRAWFORD
The Dallas Mavericks are 4-16 in playoff games officiated by Danny Crawford. The Mavericks are 6-14 against the spread in playoff games refereed by Crawford since 2001 compared to 66-45-3 vs the spread in all other playoff games in that span (according to information from Covers.com). The reason this is important is that the spread is essentially one of the best ways to look at what a team is expected to do in a game. Historically, the spread has been shown to be an accurate predictor of what happens in a game -- that is, teams are generally .500 against the spread over large samples of games. Therefore, the fact that the Mavericks seem to underperform compared to expectations (as proxied by the spread) in games reffed by Crawford is possibly more compelling evidence than the 4-16 overall record.