Texas Rangers: 2013 Offseason questions
Nathan heaped praise on the Rangers' fans and talked about how much he enjoyed closing games in Texas.
"Baseball in Texas was great," Nathan said Sunday. "The organization treats the player second to none. They do it right. The city and the fans always showed up. It was loud crowds, and that was fun to come to the ballpark as a player and know we were going to have a good atmosphere. There are some places where you have to find your own energy, and Texas wasn't one of those places. If you felt sluggish at all, the crowd would pick you up."
Texas picked up the option on Nathan's contract, but the 38-year-old closer had the right to decline the $9 million option and did so Friday, making him a free agent. He said he wants a two-year deal and was "hoping" the Rangers would be interested, but understands they have other priorities.
"I’m sure ... they could use this money to better strengthen themselves and use it for holes they can fill," Nathan said. "The bullpen is one area they feel they can afford to lose a guy or two and pick up some cash for something else. I get that. To me, it seems that other clubs are going to call and I don’t think Texas will be one of them."
Nathan has 341 saves, good enough for 10th all time. He was an All-Star in both of his seasons in Texas.
There are three clear options (in alphabetical order):
"With Scheppers, it was a big breakout performance for us," Daniels said. "He's always had that ability, but from a consistency standpoint, he took a big step forward."
Daniels credits Nathan for helping Scheppers take that step.
"He's a guy that at the time was one of the best closers in the game in Kansas City and at times [in 2013] looked like a guy a year off from Tommy John surgery," Daniels said. "We talk about guys coming back in 12 months [from Tommy John], but a lot of times it's not until the second year that you see them at 100 percent. You saw that at times this year."
Daniels said that he's hoping Soria follows a path similar to Nathan, in that it took Nathan a little time following surgery before he started to dominate again.
But Friday's move gives the Rangers some financial flexibility to worry about their other needs, like finding a catcher, another outfielder and figuring out what they want to do at first base.
Nathan accepts that in "sorting out" that pen, financial considerations are involved.
“I know they have a surplus of arms in the bullpen and I know the business side of it,” Nathan said. “You’re trying to get as much money as you can to strengthen your club, so they may want to spend that money somewhere else. They have some work to do to piece some holes together.”
Nathan, who turns 39 on Nov. 22, said he's looking for a two-year deal and believes he's earned it after two solid seasons in Texas. But with a budget that general manager Jon Daniels said isn't going up from last year, do the Rangers want to risk Nathan accepting a $9 million option (he has the right to decline it after finishing 55 games in 2013)? Do they want to sign a 39-year-old reliever to a two-year deal?
This club has holes, as Nathan mentioned, and they'd likely want to stay as financially flexible as they can. Tying up that money in two years of Nathan or even one at $9 million seems doubtful, with cheaper options like Joakim Soria and Tanner Scheppers on the roster.
Nathan made it clear he wants to stay in Texas. He wants to be on a winner and knows the organization is doing what it can to continue to win and reach the next level. But he also knows they've got tough decisions to make and that going younger and more inexpensive at the closer's position may be one of those.
* Nelson Cruz. It should come as no surprise that the Rangers will make a qualifying offer to the outfielder. That offer of $14.1 million makes sense because if Cruz takes it, the club has its top power hitter back in 2014. If not and he signs somewhere else, the club would get draft pick compensation. It's an easy call, frankly. Cruz, 33, is expected to decline the offer and try to get a multi-year deal.
That's the second part of the equation. Do the Rangers offer Cruz a two- or three-year deal that could eat a decent chunk of their available money within a budget that Daniels has said won't change much from last year? He's not exactly a young player anymore, so it's a difficult choice.
* Joe Nathan. The club has three days to decide whether to offer Nathan a chance to accept the option on his contract. Nathan's deal includes a $9 million club option, but because the nearly 39-year-old (his birthday is Nov. 22) finished 55 games in 2013, he has the right to void that option. The Rangers must choose if they want to bring him back at that number based on their budget and the fact that they have some options at closer (like Joakim Soria or Tanner Scheppers). They could also just buy Nathan out for $750,000. If the Rangers do offer the option and Nathan refuses it, they don't have to pay the buyout.
Nathan, by the way, has talked about wanting a two-year deal. But if the Rangers choose to exercise the option, Nathan would have 48 hours to decide. (My bet is they won't exercise the option at that price. But we'll see.)
* Other teams can not negotiate with the Rangers' free agents until the sixth day after the World Series. So Texas has a brief exclusive window to talk to guys who could seek deals elsewhere. Cruz is the biggest name, but Matt Garza, David Murphy and catchers A.J. Pierzynski and Geovany Soto join Nathan on that list as well.
* Early shopping. The Rangers waited a while last year before signing Pierzynski and Lance Berkman late in the offseason, because they had to wait and see what Josh Hamilton and Zack Greinke would do. But they've shown a willingness to jump in early if it makes sense. That's how they got Nathan two years ago, and that signing has certainly worked out. We'll see if they decide to shop and buy a little earlier this offseason as opposed to the last one based on their needs and budget.
* Arbitration. Some of these don't look too difficult. Neal Cotts proved he was a valuable member of the bullpen and could be a guy the Rangers look at signing for more than one year (getting through his final year of arbitration and one of his free agent years). Neftali Feliz, Alexi Ogando and Craig Gentry should be back. The toughest call might be Mitch Moreland. MLB Trade Rumors, which does a good job of forecasting arbitration numbers, has Moreland coming in around $2.7 million. The club must decide if they want to retain him at that number or use that money elsewhere.
* Lance Berkman. This is another decision that really isn't a decision. Berkman couldn't stay healthy after the team signed him to an $10 million contract in the offseason. The club won't be exercising the option on Berkman, but it's still on the "to do" list. The buyout will cost them $1 million.
Today’s question: Do the Texas Rangers have enough rotation depth?
That's provided general manager Jon Daniels doesn't pull a stunner and trade either Holland and Perez -- that seems highly unlikely -- and that Harrison is 100 percent recovered from two back surgeries that limited him to only only two starts in 2013.
That leaves the Rangers needing a fifth starter. Is that guy Alexi Ogando? We've already discussed Ogando's situation in this series. The mere fact that Ogando was on the disabled list three times last season should make the Rangers pause and put the lanky right-hander back in the bullpen where he belongs.
Which means the Rangers are back to needing a fifth starter. Does that pitcher come from within the system, via trade or in free agency?
Let's start with the system. The Rangers are likely to bring back their own free agent, Colby Lewis, who spent all of last season trying to recover from elbow surgery and other ailments. Lewis is 34, the Rangers' best postseason pitcher of all time and deserves another chance with the team. But he can't be counted on in any way. If he makes it, that's a bonus.
Today’s question: Should the Rangers keep Alexi Ogando in the starting rotation or move him back to the bullpen?
The next time the Rangers play a game will be in 2014, which means Ogando will return to the bullpen. Right? Oh, not so fast.
Yes, the the record says that Ogando worked as a reliever in 2010 and was an emergency switch to the rotation -- where he pitched well -- in 2011. He was back in the bullpen in 2012, only to go back to the rotation this season. It feels like a rally in tennis. Will it ever end?
At this point, the Rangers aren't saying -- at least publicly.
Ogando wants to start. The Rangers enter the offseason in need of a starting pitcher, knowing that right now they have Yu Darvish, Derek Holland, Martin Perez and hopefully a healthy Matt Harrison as four of their five starting pitchers. If the Rangers don't sign another starter, Ogando will begin next spring training in the rotation.
But consider that a pretty big "if."
Today’s question: What should Rangers do at first base?
What might have Mitch Moreland’s season looked like if he hadn’t gotten hurt just as he was starting to smoke the ball?
I can hear some of you now lamenting that Chris Davis isn’t still here. But the reality is that he had numerous chances to seize the first-base job in Texas and couldn’t do it. Justin Smoak had the job for a little while, but was needed as the key trade piece to acquire Cliff Lee.
So it’s been Moreland’s job the last few seasons. He finished 2013 with a .232 batting average with 23 homers and 60 RBIs. Moreland came into the season vying that he would be better against left-handed pitching. He was actually about the same, with his average ticking up a bit to .241. Where he struggled was against righties. Moreland batted just .227 against right-handed hitters in 2013. He hit just .185 with runners in scoring position.
"We need to improve our offense. We have to look at it across the board and evaluate it as a whole for the team but also as a spot by spot," said general manager Jon Daniels, shortly after the season ended. "Mitch was relative to the rest of the club one of the more productive guys. But that's not a great qualifier because we weren't as productive as we needed to be. I do think we need more run production out of first base than we had. Our question is and a conversation we'll have with Mitch is can he provide that production? We don't want to give up on him but it's an area we'd like to see improvement."
Moreland was batting .288 in early June, when he strained his hamstring. After that, he just wasn’t the same, including a .177 average in September, when the Rangers started the month 5-15 and lost the AL West. Of course, Moreland was just one of many offensive players that couldn’t get things going in that final month.
The Rangers' scored 69 runs from the first-base position. That was 10th in the AL and only Tampa Bay was worse and made the postseason. Texas' first-base batting average of .223 was the worst in the AL.
First base is supposed to be a power position that produces runs. It hasn’t done that consistently enough for the Rangers. The problem: There may not be some terrific options that are better than Moreland, who still managed a decent OPS.
"We need to be more balanced in general and power was something we were lacking," Daniels said. "That's going to be challenging because there's not a lot of power available. We're not the only team looking for it. We have a lot of potential for power in our system but it's young. Guys that have that ability are not going to play for us next year more than likely. So we're going to have to be more creative and find them."
So what are the Rangers' options at first?
One is going after Jose Dariel Abreu, the right-handed hitting slugger out of Cuba. The question will be price, and with the success of Yasiel Puig and Yoenis Cespedes, Abreu should benefit with his value increasing. Is that in the $8 to $10 million per year range (or a bit higher)? Maybe. Some of you have asked me about James Loney, especially after he played well in Game 163 in Texas. But Loney wouldn't give you much power, so the Rangers would have to be sure they had more of that elsewhere. Don't rule out a trade, either. We know this front office will attempt to do something from all angles.
Are there some internal options? Well, if the club wants to get Elvis Andrus, Ian Kinsler and Jurickson Profar on the field at the same time, perhaps the Rangers could move Kinsler to first base. But I'm not sure that's a better option than Moreland, whose defense is solid as well.
One thing is clear: First base is a priority for the Rangers in 2014. They’ve got to get more out of that position offensively.
Today's question: Should the Rangers re-sign Nelson Cruz?
For some folks, this question isn't a difficult one. We all know the trouble the Rangers had to consistently score runs. And you could make the argument that Cruz's value actually increased while he was suspended for 50 games because his team struggled to do much without him in the middle of the lineup in September.
The other reason to do it: It makes teams think twice about signing Cruz because they have to give up that pick. We saw last year that with certain players, the loss of that draft pick hurt their free-agent market. Cruz will be in pretty high demand, but a qualifying offer only increases the price for him for other clubs.
Assuming Cruz rejects it, he would be open to sign a multi-year deal with any team, including the Rangers. The question is what is fair for Cruz. His numbers this season (before the suspension) are something just about any team would want. He had 27 homers and 76 RBIs in 109 games. He batted .266, but had a .833 OPS. He was and remains a feared hitter. And with Alex Rios back for another season, Cruz could be a DH and not have to play the field unless necessary (the club could stick with Leonys Martin and Craig Gentry in the OF with Rios).
But he's also 33 years old. We've seen the Rangers be very careful about how long they sign players up, not wanting to be in a situation like the Angels where they have too much money tied up in players at an advanced age, which could limit their ability to do other things. How badly does Cruz want to stay in Texas? Would he take a two-year deal, for instance, to stay where he's comfortable? I can't think the Rangers would want to go more than three on a long-term deal and even then, with the budget, it seems questionable.
There's no question that the Rangers need a bat. Cruz fits in well in the clubhouse and his teammates like him, even after he left them for 50 games. He's comfortable in Texas and that has to help the Rangers' chances. They need a big bat. Why not get one they know (as long as the price is right)?
103.3 FM ESPN PODCASTS
Play Podcast Rangers GM Jon Daniels joins Fitzsimmons and Durrett to tackle the tough questions after his team failed to advance to the playoffs.
Play Podcast Nolan Ryan joins Galloway and Company to discuss having Nelson Cruz back in the lineup and how the Rangers are feeling heading into their wild-card play-in game against the Rays.
Play Podcast ESPN Insider and senior MLB analyst Jim Bowden joins Fitzsimmons and Durrett to discuss the wild-card race and the Rangers' chances of making the playoffs.
Play Podcast Chuck Cooperstein joins Ian Fitzsimmons and Tim MacMahon to discuss why he feels Rangers pitcher Yu Darvish isn't an ace.
Play Podcast Elvis Andrus joins Galloway and Company to discuss the Rangers' stretch run and the morale level in their clubhouse.
Play Podcast Nolan Ryan joins Galloway and Company to discuss the latest Rangers news, including the team's struggles, Ron Washington's job security and a rumored trade with the Braves.
Play Podcast Ron Washington joins Ian Fitzsimmons and Tim MacMahon to discuss the Rangers' dismal September, who's to blame for their September struggles and his status as the team's manager.
Play Podcast Fitzsimmons and Durrett discuss how some people are calling for the Rangers to fire manager Ron Washington.