Triple Crown odds for Josh Hamilton?

May, 15, 2012
5/15/12
2:31
PM CT

The Baseball Think Factory's Dan Szymborski got all computer-geeky about the likelihood of Josh Hamilton becoming the majors' first Triple Crown winner since 1967.

The ESPN Insider piece in a nutshell:
After all the numbers are crunched, Hamilton remains essentially a coin-flip to lead the league in each of the Triple Crown categories (see table), even when taken into account that he's played 130 games in a season only twice. Injury risk definitely hurts his odds at leading the league in the counting categories, but as long as he gets to 502 plate appearances (or at least close), there's the potential to actually help his batting average odds -- he's not really a .400 hitter, so the fewer PAs remaining, the less time there is to fall back to the rest of the league. In the 100,000 seasons played, Hamilton won the Triple Crown 16.1 percent of the time, terrific odds for such a difficult feat.

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TEAM LEADERS

WINS LEADER
Yu Darvish
WINS ERA SO IP
10 3.06 182 144
OTHER LEADERS
BAA. Beltre .322
HRA. Beltre 17
RBIA. Beltre 64
RA. Beltre 64
OPSA. Beltre .876
ERAY. Darvish 3.06
SOY. Darvish 182