Tuesday, January 22, 2013
What's your trade proposal for Justin Upton?
By Richard Durrett
Various reports suggest that the Texas Rangers and Arizona Diamondbacks haven't revisited their talks about a possible Justin Upton trade recently. And perhaps both sides just continue to look elsewhere and not worry about it. But talks can always resume. It takes one phone call. So if you had Arizona GM Kevin Towers on speed dial, what offer would you make him that you feel would entice him enough to move Upton?
FoxSports.com's Ken Rosenthal reports that earlier this offseason (before Arizona's failed trade attempt with the Mariners that Upton vetoed), the Rangers offered Mike Olt, left-handed pitcher Martin Perez or right-hander Cody Buckel, infielder Leury Garcia and another prospect. At first blush, I thought that was an awful high prospect price to pay for Upton. But it makes sense. Upton is 25 and signed through the 2015 season, so you're talking about three full years at least of an outfielder who has a career .278 batting average, has shown power and has speed. He could become part of the club's core group as they try to pick and choose the key guys to tie up long-term and build around as they try to keep this contending window open as long as possible. So he's going to cost something in a trade.
Arizona apparently wants something close to what Seattle was offering. But I'm not sure that's going to happen. If you ask me, the package the Rangers offered is fair.
The other question, and we've talked some about it on this blog before, is knowing when the deal these particular pieces. If the Rangers feel that what they offered is what Upton is worth (and I think it is), they shouldn't come off it much. If Arizona won't take that deal, some of these same players could end up in a package that nets something of great value later on, like Giancarlo Stanton or David Price, for instance. Perhaps that's at the trade deadline or even next offseason.
I don't think Upton is worth dealing Profar, unless you get a long-term deal in place with Elvis Andrus now (and with Scott Boras representing him, you've got to expect Andrus to at least see what the market has to offer). But I'd deal Profar for either Price or Stanton. It would take more than that and some of the names you'd expect to hear are the same that Rosenthal says the Rangers offered for Profar.
It's certainly interesting and you wonder if the two sides couldn't talk again before spring training. We'll see.
Now it's your turn: How do you feel about the package the Rangers offered? What would you change about it? What do you think it would take to get Upton and what are you willing to give up to get him?