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Morning Roar: Analyst says avoid Stafford

With the NFL season a little under two weeks away and fantasy football drafts commencing around the country, advice is coming from all corners about who to take, who to avoid and what to generally do about your draft.

On Monday, colleague and former NFL quarterback Tim Hasselbeck named Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford as one of his fantasy players to avoidInsider for 2014.

His reasoning had to do with Stafford's attempts in Scott Linehan's old offense vs. what he'll likely attempt in Joe Lombardi's new offense, which Hasselbeck has deemed more conservative. I encourage you to read the rest of the piece to understand Hasselbeck's thinking.

That said, I disagree with him.

Even if Stafford has less attempts than he did under Linehan, when he tried at least 634 passes in every season he was healthy, he should have a higher completion percentage this season, which could lead to more yards and more touchdowns -- and therefore, more fantasy points.

Stafford has only completed more than 60 percent of his passes once in his career -- in 2011, when the Lions made the playoffs and Stafford threw for 5,038 yards and 41 touchdowns. In a similar offense, Drew Brees had at least 650 attempts, completed at least 63 percent of his passes and threw for over 4,620 yards and 24 touchdowns in each of the past four seasons. While Stafford may not reach that level -- he's capable physically but has not shown the accuracy yet -- he has enough talented players around him to at least approximate those numbers.

So while Hasselbeck says to avoid him -- and mostly, just avoid him as his projected level of the fourth-best fantasy quarterback in a deep quarterback draft -- he's certainly worth drafting, especially if you believe Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate are going to have strong seasons.

And now, a look at Lions news from around the Interwebs: