ESPNHS Baseball: MLB Draft
McCullers Jr. has converted many skeptics
May, 25, 2012
May 25
11:43
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By Lucas O'Neill | ESPN.com
Until recently, the experts who project where baseball prospects will be drafted and how they’ll be used saw Jesuit (Tampa, Fla.) senior right-hander Lance McCullers Jr. as a future relief pitcher.
The idea made his father and his coach incredulous.
“I don’t understand how you classify someone as a reliever” before they get to the majors, said his dad, Lance Sr., himself a former MLB relief pitcher.
“I always thought he had starter potential,” added Jesuit coach Richie Warren, “and this year he’s proven he’s a starter and should be drafted as a starter.”
For his part, McCullers didn’t worry about the skeptics. He knew what people said or predicted was largely out of his control.
“I can look up all these mock drafts, but nothing I do is going to change what’s going to happen,” McCullers said.
Although, that’s not entirely true. What McCullers could control — what he did on the mound this spring — might very well change what happens during the first day of the MLB draft. McCullers went 13-0 with a 0.18 ERA, striking out 140 batters in 77.1 innings. He didn’t allow a single earned run during the regular season and led Jesuit (28-2) to the state semifinals.
In his last high school game, McCullers blanked eventual 6A champs American Heritage (Plantation, Fla.) over six innings in the semis before being pulled — and watching his team fall, 3-0, in extra innings. Jesuit, which was ranked No. 1 in the country prior to the loss, will still likely finish in the top 10 nationally in the POWERADE FAB 50.
Dominant as it was, his performance this season didn’t come as a huge surprise. He is rated the No. 15 prospect in the ESPN 100 and was an All-American last summer. He also earned the prestigious Jackie Robinson Award, which is presented to the nation’s top rising senior prospect.
That being the case, how was it possible he was deemed a future short-innings guy? His dad has a theory: “Because I was a reliever, they didn’t give him any chance to be a starter,” said McCullers Sr.
But perhaps there’s another explanation: The scouts and talent evaluators — at ESPN and elsewhere — had every reason to project McCullers as a reliever, because until this year that’s what he was.
Prior to this spring, McCullers had never been a full-time starter for the Tigers. In his first two years on varsity, he worked mostly as a closer, posting a 0.39 ERA and helping Jesuit advance to the state title game as a sophomore. He did a little bit of everything last year but started just nine of the team’s 34 games, fanning 79 in 52 innings of work.
That he had never pitched long innings was by design. Jesuit has had strong pitching since McCullers made the team as a freshman (one of just two players to do so in the past 15 years, according to Warren), including Daniel Gibson, Jesuit’s ace in 2009 and 2010 and now a sophomore at the University of Florida. McCullers was also one of the team’s top position players — he hit .422 with seven home runs as a junior — and the thought was that he might be drafted as such.
It was evident early on that he had a first-round arm, however, and the scouts didn’t bring their radar guns to test his bat speed. McCullers was throwing in the 90s as a sophomore and was frequently in the upper-90s as a junior. The question became whether he could sustain that velocity over the course of a game or a season.
Some scouts decided the answer was no, that his mechanics lent themselves more to the bullpen. So heading into this season, it was up to McCullers to change their minds.
To prepare for his first season as a full-time starter, McCullers worked out six times a week during the offseason. Monday, Wednesday and Friday were pitching-related: mechanics and building arm strength. There was a lot of medicine ball work. Tuesday and Thursday were dedicated to the gym, in particular focusing on adding muscle to his legs.
With his long-time trainer, Orlando Chinea, and friend Jose Fernandez, the former Alonso (Tampa, Fla.) ace and a first-round pick by the Marlins last June, McCullers would also march into the woods and chop down trees, utilizing muscles unlikely to be touched in normal workout. He didn’t touch a baseball the entire offseason, though he did use a softball to strengthen his shoulder.
Warren never doubted McCullers would be effective. But with the added workload, there were questions of “how he was going to deal with in-game adversity and how he was going to be able to get through innings if he had guys on base,” the coach said.
And while flirting with 100 mph on the gun is great, McCullers needed to show he could maintain both speed and command in the later innings. A knock on McCullers was that he relied too much on his fastball — which as a closer may have been true — so his other pitches would be more important that ever.
McCullers left no doubts. He pitched well with men on base. He walked fewer batters than last year despite pitching 25 more innings. He threw six complete games. In one game, Warren said, McCullers was clocked throwing 98 in the first inning and 97 in the seventh. Because of that heat, his changeup and curve were devastating.
The kicker is that what may have hurt McCullers among prognosticators before the season began — his lack of starting experience — could now be viewed by prospective MLB teams as a plus: He simply doesn’t have a ton of wear and tear on that right arm.
“I know he’s a lot fresher than probably any kid in the country,” said McCullers Sr.
McCullers wouldn’t label the season a total success, since the Tigers came up short of their goal of winning a state championship. The face of the program and a three-year captain, McCullers wanted that title to cement his legacy. Falling short is going to sting for awhile.
But individually, McCullers was nothing short of phenomenal, and he likely put to rest the notion that he’s destined for the bullpen. Keith Law has McCullers going No. 11 overall in his latest mock draft.
He could go higher or drop some. He might wind up eschewing the pro route at this stage, instead heading to Gainesville to play for the Gators. The road to the majors is a long and uncertain one, but McCullers knows the direction he wants to be headed.
“I just want to be the best,” he said. “I want to be the best player to ever play this game. Is that reachable? Who knows. But as long as I’m able to go out there and strap on my cleats … that’s what keeps me motivated that’s what keeps me going.”
MLB Draft Stock Watch: Cole Irvin shines
May, 25, 2012
May 25
9:02
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By Jason A. Churchill | ESPN.com
Mike Janes/Four Seam Images via AP ImagesServite (Anaheim, Calif.) senior left-hander Cole Irvin has seen his stock go up heading into the June 4 MLB draft.With the 2012 MLB draft a little more than a week away, it’s coming down to the wire for top prospects to making one last impression on scouts in the hopes of raising their draft stock.
Two players from the Golden State -- left-hander Cole Irvin of Servite (Anaheim, Calif.) and Daniel Robertson of Upland (Calif.) -- have done just that. Irvin showcased a wide array of pitches during the spring, while Robertson hit .560 with six homers and 31 RBIs this season.
Check back next Friday for our final high school Stock Watch before the draft.
STOCK UP
Cole Irvin, LHP, Servite (Anaheim, Calif.)
Irvin, who stands 6-foot-4 and 170 pounds, battled all spring. He impressed scouts late in the season by showing consistent fastball command and a competitive approach to go with an improved set of secondary pitches, including the occasional changeup in a two-hitter tossed earlier this month. Irvin is committed to Oregon, but his arm speed and projectable frame could be enough for a late Day 1 or very early Day 2 selection.
Daniel Robertson, 3B, Upland (Calif.)
Robertson's season just ended, but the third baseman finished strong. He gathered six hits in his final seven at-bats and finished the year with a .560/.669/1.000 triple slash (batting average/on-base percentage/slugging percentage) that includes six home runs and a 29-6 BB/K ratio. He's strong, moves well laterally on defense and has a plus arm, suggesting he'll stick at the hot corner in pro ball. He's committed to UCLA but could go early enough to warrant signing a pro deal instead.
Kolby Copeland, OF, Parkway (Bossier City, La.)
Copeland's season was over last month, but his stock is rising as a result of his signability and the strong college commitments of others (see Stock Down). He's signed on with Baton Rouge Community College and could re-enter the draft next year if he feels he can improve his stock, but may go off the board as early as the second round this June. He's a bit raw at the plate, but he’s also a very good athlete who generates good bat speed.
Carson Fulmer, RHP, All Saints Academy (Winter Haven, Fla.)
Fulmer fits on both ends of the spectrum here. He's a Vanderbilt signee, and they tend to lose stock as the draft nears due to their strong commitment to playing college ball. Fulmer, however, has pitched his way into consideration for the sandwich round, and if he's among those that strikes a pre-draft deal, he could easily be a top 60 selection. He lacks projection at 6-foot-1 and 190 pounds, but is otherwise an advanced and polished prep arm.
Others Trending Up
Anthony Alford, OF, Petal (Miss.)
Walker Buehler, RHP, Henry Clay (Lexington, Ky.)
James Kaprielian, RHP, Beckman (Irvine, Calif.)
Kyle Twomey, LHP, El Dorado (Placerville, Calif.)
STOCK DOWN
Skye Bolt, OF, Holy Innocents’ (Atlanta)
Bolt's stock is sinking a bit due to signability concerns, as the speedy outfielder's commitment to North Carolina may be his ticket to the first round in three years. This could all change with a pre-draft agreement for a slot in the top few rounds, but the payoff appears too great for him to settle. Bolt, a switch hitter, profiles well in center field and has good present strength. His quick, smooth swing produces line drives and promises future power.
Daniel Starwalt, RHP, Granite Hills (El Cajon, Calif.)
Starwalt, not unlike fellow Stanford commit Freddy Avis, may be a tough sign unless he's a first-round pick, and Starwalt will not carry such a profile into draft day. There are clubs that have tossed a fourth-round grade on the right-hander, despite his low-90s velocity and 6-foot-3, 210-pound frame. Barring an overdraft or money-saving deal, Stalwart is probably headed for Day 2 and likely Palo Alto.
Austin Barr, C, Camas (Wash.)
Barr's stock hasn’t fallen because of his play -- most clubs are off him entirely because he's committed to Stanford, and the industry believes he'll pass on pro ball for now and re-enter the draft in 2015. Otherwise, Barr would have been a consideration in the top 100 picks, perhaps as high as the end of the sandwich round.
Others Trending Down
Tyler Gonzales, RHP, James Madison (San Antonio)
Trey Williams, 3B, Valencia (Calif.)
Jason A. Churchill covers scouting, player development and the MLB draft for ESPN Insider, as well as Prospect Insider, where he's the founder and executive editor. You can follow him on Twitter @ProspectInsider and email him at churchill@prospectinsider.com.
No limits for Georgia outfielder Skye Bolt
May, 23, 2012
May 23
9:36
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By Matthew Muench | ESPN.com
Cliff Welch/Icon SMIHoly Innocents' (Atlanta) senior outfielder Skye Bolt hit .430 this year with 22 doubles, eight homers and 31 RBIs.That is kind of true.
Who could forget a name like Skye Bolt?
“I love the name and appreciate it,” said Bolt, who got his name because his dad wanted him to have a name that ‘popped’. “I like to think it definitely helps me in a positive way.”
But if you met Bolt and watched him swing a baseball bat, it would be safe to say you would remember him for bigger reasons.
The sweet-swinging switch hitter is rated the nation’s No. 37 player in the ESPN 100 and he’s a top prospect for this year’s MLB draft. He’s also signed with North Carolina.
“Numerous scouts attended his games this season, in which he hit .430 with 22 doubles, eight homers and 31 RBIs and guided Holy Innocents’ to the second round of the Class A state playoffs.With a name like Skye Bolt, he was born to be a ballplayer.
” -- Holy Innocents' (Atlanta) baseball coach Dylan Deal
Bolt has also played in multiple showcase events in his career, including last summer’s Perfect Game All-American Classic.
He said most scouts have told him he could be drafted as early as the second round. Once he is drafted, he will make a decision on whether he heads to college or begins his journey in professional baseball.
“I truly believe one day Skye will play 162 games a year in the pros,” said Holy Innocents’ coach Dylan Deal. “With a name like Skye Bolt, he was born to be a ballplayer on TV.”
But Bolt has had just as big an impact volunteering at the Goshen Valley Boys’ Ranch in Waleska, Ga., roughly 50 miles north of Atlanta. The ranch is a nonprofit that serves young men ages 9-20 in Georgia’s foster care system. The boys who live there come from homes where their parents neglected or abused them. The organization provides them a place to live until a family adopts them.
“Charity work is one of those things that takes me away from baseball and makes me realize that baseball is just a game,” said Bolt. “Sometimes getting too head over heels for baseball can make you forget about the important things, like friends and family.”
Bolt got involved with Goshen largely due to his parents’ influence in charity work and because Goshen’s residential life director, Zach Blend, is his former middle school and junior varsity baseball coach. Bolt’s stepmom, Connie, is also on the board of advisors.
“I cannot think of another young man who has devoted as much time and effort into trying to create a better environment for these kids at the ranch,” Blend said of Bolt. “He has a very busy schedule with baseball and he somehow always finds time for the kids.”
“I am more proud of him as a person than I am of him as an athlete,” said Bolt’s mother, Eva Murray. “A sports career can only take you so far. He won’t always be an athlete. He will always be a great person. He seems to touch people everywhere he goes.”
At the ranch, Bolt plays sports and eats dinner with the kids and visits as much as he can. He donates baseball equipment and teaches them about baseball and other sports.
During Christmas, he spearheaded a toy drive at local high schools to give gifts to the ranch, and during Easter he helped bring in baskets full of candy.
“I love to help because these kids absolutely inspire me,” Bolt said. “They greet you with a smile and they embrace every day like it’s a blessing. I appreciate them so much.”
Blend said the boys look up to Bolt, and not because of what he can do on the field.
“They realize he is very skilled in baseball, but they know him more for the type of guy he is,” Blend said. “They know him more for his kindness and friendship. The way he carries himself is such a positive influence and impact.”
Proof that people will remember Skye Bolt for a lot more than just his unique name.
Benching set Cecchini on path to greatness
May, 18, 2012
May 18
10:37
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By Jon Mahoney | ESPN.com
The kid with all the promise sat glued to the bench. His eyes were fixed upon the baseball diamond, watching his teammates play the game he had loved all his life.
Gavin Cecchini never imagined his freshman year would go this poorly.
Prior to high school, he was a Little League star, leading his Lake Charles, La., squad to the 2006 Little League World Series. And he helped the team to its only win there by fanning seven and collecting two hits against Columbia, Mo.
Cecchini couldn’t wait to get to Barbe (Lake Charles, La.), where his dad, Glenn, was the head coach and his brother, Garin, was the star shortstop. And he was living the dream early on by earning the starting job at second base.
But Gavin struggled at the plate and he carried that over to the dugout after each at-bat, often throwing his bat and helmet in disgust.
Finally, his father had enough. Glenn’s philosophy is to always respect the game, and Gavin wasn’t doing that. So he found a seat on the bench for seven games.
“For the first time in his life, he was struggling,” said Glenn, who’s in his 25th year at the helm of the Buccaneers. “You’re always tougher on your own kids, but he’ll never do that again. He came back a lot stronger.”
“I was just immature,” added Gavin. “If I had an 0-for-4 game, I treated it like I wouldn’t have another at-bat. Instead of thinking about the game, I was thinking about the last mistake I made. I think that was the best thing that happened to me. I wouldn’t be the player I am today if he didn’t bench me.”
What Gavin has become is the nation’s No. 8 prospect in the ESPN 100 and a projected first-round pick in this year’s MLB draft. The 6-foot-2, 185-pound shortstop, who signed with Ole Miss, capped his high school career by leading the Bucs to the Class 5A state title on May 13, propelling the team to the No. 34 spot in the POWERADE FAB 50 as of press time. It was the school’s sixth state title overall, all with Glenn as head coach.
Gavin finished the year hitting .413 with a .527 on-base percentage, seven homers, 32 RBIs and 31 stolen bases. He was particularly impressive during the playoffs, batting .467 with a .566 OBP. And he did all that with a wooden bat after switching from the BBCOR aluminum model he was using early in the season.
Winning state was a dream come true for Gavin, who grew up around the tradition-rich Barbe program with the field serving as his second home. Not only was his dad the coach, his mom, Raissa, served as an assistant coach for 17 years and is now the team’s scorekeeper.
“He was a bat boy when he was 4,” said Glenn. “It was a way of life for him. He did his homework in the office and then played catch with the older guys.”
Gavin looked up to star Bucs like Joe Lawrence, who was a first-round pick by the Toronto Blue Jays in 1996. But he especially revered his brother.
“He tried to mimic him,” said Raissa. “Garin is such a good role model.”
“He’s not only my brother -- he’s my best friend,” said Garin, now a third baseman with the Greenville Drive, a Single-A affiliate of the Boston Red Sox in South Carolina. “We hung out every single day.”
“Gavin couldn’t wait to play with his brother in high school and hoped to one day win a state title with him. He nearly got his wish as a freshman.I'm just playing my heart out, and whatever team drafts me, that's going to be one of the best decisions they will have ever made.
” -- Barbe (Lake Charles, La.) senior shortstop Gavin Cecchini
Following his benching, Gavin played his way back into the starting lineup and helped the Bucs to the Class 5A state semifinals, where they were edged by eventual state champion Northshore (Slidell, La.), 11-10.
While the brothers were upset, they figured they’d have another opportunity the following year. But that went out the window just 14 games into the 2010 season when Garin tore the ACL in his right knee.
“I took it really hard,” said Gavin. “I usually don’t get emotional, but I thought it might be the last time I’d ever get to play with him again. But I knew I had to put the team on my back.”
Gavin took over at shortstop for Garin, who ended up getting drafted in the fourth round by the Red Sox that June. He nearly willed the Bucs to a state crown, but once again they fell short of their goal, losing by one run to Lafayette (La.) in the semis.
Barbe lost to Jesuit (New Orleans), 2-1, in last year’s quarterfinals, though Cecchini was named Gatorade State Player of the Year. He was the third Barbe player to earn the honor, joining Lawrence and Carmen Angelini.
This past fall, Gavin led the USA Baseball 18U National Team to the gold medal at the COPABE 18U/AAA Pan American Championships in Colombia. He hit .500 with 17 RBIs in 15 games.
“He was very confident in his ability on the field and was very competitive, which are two great traits to have,” said Team USA coach and former New York Yankees third baseman Scott Brosius. “He was one of the go-to guys on the team. Guys responded to him.
“He has that blue-collar mentality, and he brought it to the park with him every day.”
AP Photo/Gene J. PuskarGavin Cecchini led the Southwest to its only win at the 2006 Little League World Series.“It was a lesson learned,” said his father. “He realized that more isn’t always better.”
After the time off, Gavin returned with a purpose. For starters, he wanted to prove to the upwards of 60 scouts who attended his games that he was worthy of a first-round pick.
“I’m just playing my heart out,” he said, “and whatever team drafts me, that’s going to be one of the best decisions they will have ever made. I’m not trying to come out as cocky, but I know teams are going to pass on me. All I know is the teams that pass on me are going to regret it.”
Gavin has always had an unwavering belief in himself on the field. And he was especially confident that Barbe would capture the state crown this year.
When the Bucs had finished celebrating their 3-2 win over Archbishop Rummel (Metairie, La.) in the Class 5A final, Gavin sought out his father, who had joined his team in the celebratory dog pile. The pair hugged each other and cried, knowing this would be the last time they’d share a moment like this again.
And it made Gavin’s benching his freshman year seem like a lifetime ago.
“It’s the best feeling ever, especially when you’re playing for your dad and it’s your last game and you go out with a bang,” said Gavin. “When we made that last out, it was like all the blood, sweat and tears I put in finally paid off.”
Baseball has been a lifeline for Zach Eflin
May, 11, 2012
May 11
11:27
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By
Brandon Parker | ESPN.com
Cliff Welch/Icon SMIAfter taking up baseball as a kid to escape a difficult home life, Hagerty (Oviedo, Fla.) senior pitcher Zach Eflin is now a top MLB draft prospect.As Hagerty (Oviedo, Fla.) coach Jered Goodwin scanned his bench for relief pitching options in the middle innings of the district title game two years ago, he kept coming back to Zach Eflin.
With the game on the verge of being put out of reach by a powerful Oviedo (Fla.) team, asking a sophomore to stop the bleeding was daunting. Asking a sophomore who had only recently been called up to varsity and who had quit the team a few months earlier was downright crazy. But with future MLB draft pick A.J. Cole on the hill for Oviedo, Goodwin knew he needed more than just strong relief pitching -- he needed a miracle.
He signaled for Eflin to warm up.
"I was a little nervous in the bullpen," Eflin recalls. "I mean, knowing A.J. Cole would be a high draft pick, I'm looking at going up against a full-grown man."
Thing is, Eflin had done plenty of growing up himself -- mostly against his own will. That’s why he looked unfazed on the mound that night, retiring nine of the 10 batters he faced to open the door for his team’s triumphant comeback win. It also explains why two years later, the right-handed pitcher is the No. 14 senior prospect in the ESPN 100 and a likely early-round pick in the June MLB draft.
It was the type of growing up that no kid should be forced to endure. But the resilient Eflin has managed to turn the burden into a blessing.
Like most baseball players, Eflin's love for the sport stemmed from a game of catch with his dad. But the pastime that evolved into his passion was as much an opportunity for bonding as it was a distraction.
"My mother was an alcoholic, so my dad thought baseball was a good way to do some father-son bonding and give me a break from that environment," Eflin says.
Some days it worked. When he had a little league game, Eflin could take refuge on the field, forgetting about his problems at home. But on other days, when he came home to see his mom passed out on the floor, Eflin was reminded of his nightmarish circumstances.
"As a kid, it put me in a bad mood to see her like that," says Eflin, who currently has little contact with his mother. "My dad was working two jobs to support us. But when he was gone, it was just me and my two sisters living off each other. I would look forward to baseball so much because it was the only thing that got my mind off it all."
At home, Eflin learned what he never wanted to be. On the baseball field, he began to positively channel his anger and discovered what he could be instead.
"On the positive side, it helped push him to want to go to the next level," says his father, Larry. "It taught him that when you work hard for something, make it mean something so you don't sit back and let it go to waste. That's why his original goal going into high school was to be good enough to go to any school of any size on a baseball scholarship."
In his coach’s eyes, it didn't take long for Eflin to reach that level of talent. After sizing him up as an eighth- and ninth-grader, Goodwin knew he had a star on his hands. A star batter, that is.
"We actually thought he was going to be a hitter," says Goodwin, who also coached Eflin on the FTB Mizuno travel squad. "He had soft hands in the field and while he had a good arm and could throw a ton of strikes, he would short-arm his throws a little bit. So the impression was he was going to swing the stick for us.
“But then he hit this growth spurt and started improving his velocity and mechanics as a pitcher. He made some strides where his pitching surpassed his hitting."
Eflin's evolution, however, came to screeching halt in the fall of his sophomore year, when he suddenly got fed up. Fed up with the conditioning and seemingly endless training. Baseball was his safe place, where he could escape the pain at home. But with fall workouts taking place four days a week and little actual baseball in between, Eflin began to resent the sport he loved.
"It was like two months of hell and I didn't want to be out there," Eflin says. "I didn't have a passion, so I left for a week. But then I started to miss the game so much."
When Eflin returned to practice, he immediately focused on regaining the trust of his teammates and coaches, all while taking his passion for training to another level. He embraced the team's weightlifting program, worked on his arm trajectory and subsequently settled into his imposing frame, which now measures 6-foot-5 and 200 pounds.
With Eflin's renewed commitment came a gradual rise in his velocity. As a sophomore, his pitches only peaked in the mid-80s, but he got by thanks to his pinpoint control. After a couple intense offseason workout programs, which included early-morning sessions of long toss and mechanical work, Eflin now has scouts drooling over his 96 mph fastballs and nasty changeups.
"He's made consistent strides throughout his whole career," Goodwin says. "One of the things that separates him from other players is he's still got so much projection. He dominates the strike zone, can put on a show in batting practice and still has so much potential."
His senior campaign only added to this belief, as Eflin went 5-2 with a 0.55 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 38 innings. This all while having 50, sometimes 60, big league scouts evaluating his every throw and movement.
In a few weeks, one major league team will draft Eflin and offer him hundreds of thousands (if not millions) of dollars to pass on his commitment to Central Florida. And though Eflin’s dream has always been to one day reach the majors, he admits that going to UCF is just as enticing.
"Family is the biggest thing," Eflin says. "I can go to UCF for a lot of reasons, like both of my grandparents live within five minutes and it's close to my dad. I've never known what it's like to have a real mother, so I'm a big family man. And I thank God every day for blessing me with these opportunities."
Eflin has plenty of reasons to forget his difficult past, what with his future gleaming so bright. But oftentimes, just as he did on that fateful night two years ago when his number was surprisingly called, Eflin draws back on this pain for perspective. For every strike he throws, he knows life can throw something greater.
"Zach does a great job of winning the next pitch," Goodwin says. "If something bad happens, he could always still go compete, even as a 15-year-old. So when I put him in that game, I knew he could go make it happen.
"Zach knows baseball isn't the hardest thing he'll have to do.”
Brandon Parker covers high school sports for ESPNHS. Follow him on Twitter @brandoncparker or email him at brandon.c.parker@espn.com
Love of the game drives No. 9 prospect Nay
May, 4, 2012
May 4
10:00
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By Christopher Parish | ESPN.com
For all of senior Mitch Nay’s accomplishments during his high school days, the one he remembers most fondly is a loss.
Nay’s spectacular junior season helped his Hamilton (Chandler, Ariz.) Huskies reach the Class 5A, Division I baseball title game against Mountain Pointe (Phoenix, Ariz.). The fourth-seeded Huskies battled hard but dropped a heartbreaking game, 7-6, in eight innings.
For many athletes, a loss like that would be devastating. For Nay, it was exhilarating.
“That’s something I’ll always remember,” he said. “It was a great game. It went to extra innings, and we ended up losing, but it was still the most fun I’ve ever had playing the game. I’m with my best friends, against good competition, it was back and forth for seven innings, and the whole atmosphere was great.”
Baseball can be a grind more than a game for top recruits. Yet for the nation’s No. 9 prospect in the ESPN 100, a childlike appreciation of the sport helps him stay grounded, all the while proving why the Arizona State signee has a chance to be selected in the early rounds of this June’s MLB draft.
“He’s performing very well for us,” said Hamilton head coach Mike Woods. “When you factor in that he’s having to deal with all of the pressures of the scrutiny, where he’s going to be drafted, everybody watching, and teams not giving him much to hit, he’s doing super.”
For Nay, the last part — teams not giving him much to hit — has been the toughest. Last season, the third baseman hit .495, cracked 14 home runs and added 54 RBIs. This season, those numbers are down because teams are staying away from the powerful senior star.
“It’s actually been really tough,” Nay said. “It’s taken some getting used to. Sometimes you get in that zone where you’re sure they won’t throw you a strike, and then you get a pitch to hit and you won’t be ready. In the beginning of the season, I was really aggressive. I was not swinging at good pitches. It’s definitely been an adjustment.”
His patience at the plate has been a big improvement this season. So has his work ethic. Nay says it wasn’t until last summer that he really understood his talent on the diamond could take him places — places beyond even the college level.
Since then, he’s been a gym rat, constantly working out, taking his batting practice sessions more seriously and studying every aspect of his approach at the plate.
“He had a huge swing over the last couple of years," Woods said, "but he’s refining it, shortened it, and he’s gotten it under control.”
Nay says that longer swing reared its ugly head again at the start of this season. So he headed to the film room and watched a tournament from last summer, when he felt his swing was more repeatable. He made some adjustments, and the results — including five home runs in the last two weeks of the regular season — spoke for themselves.
Nay’s offense is what attracts scouts and sold Arizona State. But it’s his defense that keeps them watching. While ESPN senior baseball analyst Keith Law believes Nay will eventually shift to the outfield, Woods disagrees.
“He looks like a professional third baseman,” the coach says. “He’s got a major league arm right now across the diamond. He’s got more work to do defensively — everyone does — but he could play at that level defensively.”
It may not be long until we see Nay at that level. The senior says he’s unsure about his next step, and it will depend on where he’s selected in the MLB draft. He says all but two or three MLB teams have visited his home or showed up at his games, and a few have shown particularly strong interest.
For Nay, there are benefits to either side of the equation. He’s long dreamed of playing professionally, but he doesn’t want to rush it, either. And the allure of Arizona State is strong.
“I’ve always wanted to go to ASU,” he says. “The college lifestyle would be a lot of fun. And I’d still probably get to the majors from there. If it’s pro, it’s pro, but if it’s ASU, I’d be glad to go there for three years. I’ll figure it out.”
“He’s got a lot of people in his ear about what’s next,” Woods adds. “No matter what he decides, I’m sure he’ll be successful.”
Nay isn’t all baseball, all the time. Woods says his star hitter is also a star student. He’s got a grade-point average well above 4.0, and it took years for many of his teachers to realize he was a baseball player, much less the nation’s second-ranked third baseman.
And now, with the biggest summer of his life ahead of him, Nay isn't altering his fun-loving approach.
“It’s been a learning process,” he said. “I’ve never had this many eyes on me before. It’s taken some getting used to. But no matter how many eyes are on me, the game is still the game.”
Coulter catching up quick behind the dish
January, 24, 2012
Jan 24
9:29
AM ET
By Christopher Crawford | ESPN.com
Dustin Snipes/ESPNHSUnion (Camas, Wash.) senior catcher and Arizona State recruit Clint Coulter was an all-state selection last year after batting .400 with four homers.If you were to ask a scout or front-office member the most difficult position to develop, the overall consensus would likely be catcher.
The position is demanding both physically and mentally, and the attrition behind the plate is undoubtedly the highest in baseball. Plus, most players struggle to pick up the position for several years.
That’s why what Union (Camas, Wash.) senior Clint Coulter has done in his short period of time behind the plate is all the more impressive. Last year was the first season the 6-foot-3, 215-pounder focused solely on baseball.
“I wouldn’t have guessed that he was new to the position,” said a West Coast Conference coach. “We saw him quite a bit last spring, and he really impressed us with his instincts back there. It is always a work in progress when you’re seeing a 16- to 18-year-old kid catch, but the athleticism and size was really impressive.”
That athleticism and size has served Coulter well in multiple sports. As a sophomore, he was the Class 3A state wrestling champion at 189 pounds, but he ended up giving up wrestling last year to concentrate on the diamond.
Last spring, the right-handed hitter delivered an impressive junior campaign to earn a spot in both the Under Armour All-America Baseball Game and the Area Code Games, where he was selected to the New Balance All-Area Code Team.
“Those events were a lot of fun,” Coulter said. “At the Area Code Games, those events are typically dominated by the South, so for us (the Northwest-region-based Royals) to come in and go undefeated was awesome. And then getting a chance to be in the same locker room as Ernie Banks at Wrigley Field for the Under Armour game and how well they catered to us and getting to participate in the home run derby, all of it was a blessing.”
After the big summer, Coulter is being included on many analysts’ top 100 for the 2012 draft. Coulter says his dream is to play professional baseball, and working towards the draft is one of his biggest goals, but he did admit that the new draft rules could have an impact on whether or not he goes the pro or collegiate route.
While he may not be enthralled with the new rules, Coulter did light up when talking about his college commitment to Arizona State.
“I was just so impressed with the competitiveness of the practices,” Coulter said. “I’ve never seen anything like that. Coach Esmay has them working so hard, and it’s more intense than most games I’ve seen or been a part of. They truly are committed to winning.”
Just how high Coulter goes in the draft will depend on whether or not talent-evaluators believe he can stick as a backstop. But the bat should also play well at a corner infield position, just like a current MLB star.
“I like to pattern my game after Mike Napoli,” Coulter said, referring to the Texas Rangers standout catcher who also plays first. “I love how he goes up looking for that fastball middle in, and if he gets, it he lets it rip.”
But if he ends up strictly behind the backstop, Coulter has shown he has what it takes to succeed at the demanding position.
Christopher Crawford is a regular contributor to Prospect Insider and the founder and executive editor of MLB Draft Insider. Follow him on Twitter @CrawfordChrisV.
The benefits of choosing college over pros
January, 17, 2012
Jan 17
9:43
AM ET
By Chris Webb | ESPN.com
Nati Harnik/APGerrit Cole was drafted in the first round out of high school by the New York Yankees, but he decided to go to UCLA and wound up being the No. 1 overall pick in this past June's MLB draft.Those are the words of an American League crosschecker.
Jason A. Churchill wrote about the benefits of drafting prep talent. From the professional instruction, the routing and upside, clubs have ample reasons for selecting prep talent. But what about the other side? What decisions are weighed when a player debates whether to start his professional career or head to college?
One can imagine every player who has picked up a bat or toed the rubber dreams of playing professionally. If a player is drafted out of high school and feels his time has come, the organization will welcome him with open arms. But signing isn’t for everyone, and there are three key reasons college may be the better choice for those on the fence.
Physical readiness
“Most of the time, it is physically,” said the crosschecker of why high school players aren’t ready for pro ball.
For players with fringe tools, or those without the ideal stature and frame, college gives them a chance to develop a bit more physically, to sharpen their skill and offer scouts a second look in hope of building upon their status out of high school.
“If you look in the majors, there just isn’t that many small guys. For undersized guys, college gives them three years to prove their worth,” said an AL area scout.
But for even those who are of solid build and physical maturity, the jump from prep to professional ball is quite the leap.
“Going to college for hitters, it can be a good thing,” said the scout. “If they were to play in the minors every day, as a high school draftee it’s hard to be physically mature to be able to take that grind.”
And no player on the diamond goes through the grind like a catcher. The scout spoke to the quick rise and success of MLB stars Buster Posey and Matt Wieters, both of whom played college ball.
“Catchers are late in developing a lot of the time because of the physicality of the position and the complex things going into it,” said the scout. “That is why you see a lot of college guys, juniors and seniors, do well because they had that three to four years to prepare and do well both with their game and body that can carry through a minor league season.”
Outside of physical stature, there is another hindrance that could set one behind in developing -- location.
It is pretty clear there are more opportunities to hit the diamond in California than in Michigan. Even with advance travel schedules, fall ball leagues and winter camps, a player in the Snowbelt doesn’t have the reps that a player in the Sunbelt has.
While that’s good for pitchers, who have a lack of wear-and-tear, for positional players, the at-bats and reps have yet to accumulate. So the skills of a player in Pennsylvania may lack the refinement of his Arizona peer.
“Kids that come out of this area, it’s a huge adjustment,” said one Ohio Valley scout. “Outside of the weather difficulties, when they do play they’re not playing the toughest competition.”
Mental readiness
In addition to physical readiness, one has to look at the mental readiness of a player and which setting will give him the greatest chance to succeed.
If a player were to struggle at a showcase or tournament, in the end he is back with family, friends or teammates. He is back in a controlled and comfortable environment. The same goes with a college player. That following day or week, he is back in class and practice, the same process he encountered in high school.
If a player is in a slump or struggles after a rough outing in the Northwest League, South Atlantic League or Midwest League, he is back in a hotel or on an overnight bus ride to an unfamiliar city with players from all over the globe with various backgrounds. Far from the comforts previously enjoyed.
The bus rides come after performing under the eyes of thousands of people, as the player earns his pay. A stark contrast from even the best-attended and most pressure-packed showcases and tournaments.
“There could be a guy that didn’t strike out 10 times in high school, that strikes out 10 times in his first five professional games,” said an NL scout. “It could be better for him, and for players who have never really struggled, to do so in college.
“Fall ball gives them a chance to get their feet wet, get acclimated that isn’t so publicized, where if you sign and are playing in the Gulf Coast League or Arizona Summer League, all of your friends and everyone see you’re struggling on the Internet.”
The slower college environment and amenities produce a setting conducive to growth, and can aid the development of players who are not yet ready for baseball to transfer from a way of life to one’s life.
The lifestyle
For those matured physically and mentally, there still comes the task of knowing what it takes and adjusting to being a professional athlete.
Away from home, no longer relying on parents and childhood friends for support, baseball is now one’s job.
“There are a lot of different factors in signing a professional contract,” the crosschecker said. “It is a huge step from high school to college, let alone high school to being a professional. Outside of the jump in competition, you’re living on your own, have to cook on your own, fend for yourself, pay bills yourself and on time, and it’s baseball 24/7.”
Adding that college provides a bit of a buffer between developing as a person and being entirely independent, the crosschecker spoke to the social development and interaction that is gained by attending college. It's a setting that the NL scout believes benefits some to experience change in, rather than in the pros with their livelihood on the line.
“There is a lot of natural maturity and changes that takes place when you’re 18, 19, 20 years old,” said the scout. “Growth, where in some cases it is better kids go through that in college instead of with their career at that age.”
Ultimately, the decision to sign or go to college is one that is personal, and the pros and cons differ from individual to individual. In either case, the crosschecker offers the following advice:
“Whichever way they go, they need to make sure they’re committed to their decision 100 percent,” he said.
Winston, Martarano face difficult decisions
January, 6, 2012
Jan 6
1:12
PM ET
By Matthew Muench | ESPN.com
Perfect Game, Shauna MartaranoHueytown (Ala.) senior Jameis Winston (left) and Fruitland (Idaho) junior Joey Martarano have committed to D-I programs for football but are also potential early-round picks in the MLB Draft.Put a football and baseball in front of Jameis Winston and ask him to pick which one he’d rather have in his hand.
To the Hueytown (Ala.) senior, it’s an easy decision. And it’s clearly something he’s thought about before.
“I will just juggle them,” said Winston. “I pick both.”
It’s a fitting answer for the 6-foot-4, 195-pound superstar since he’s been juggling both football and baseball throughout his high school career. And he has committed to Florida State to play both sports.
Lucas Giolito leads loaded Cali senior class
November, 22, 2011
11/22/11
10:47
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By Jason A. Churchill | ESPN.com
Scott Kurtz/ESPNHSCamarillo (Calif.) senior left-hander Hunter Virant went 6-1 last year with a 1.54 ERA and 56 strikeouts in 50 innings.While the prep baseball season is months away, it's never too soon to evaluate what we'll be watching once the schedule gets under way. “The Golden State” is typically among the three hot spots for amateur baseball with Texas and Florida in terms of producing myriad elite prospects. But it’s California that often produces the most top prospects, and this year is no different.
Here’s a look at the Top 10 California high school prospects in the Class of 2012.
1. Lucas Giolito, RHP, Harvard-Westlake (Studio City, Calif.)
Giolito, a UCLA recruit, has the velocity — up to 97 mph — and projectability with his 6-foot-6, 230-pound frame to land in the top five in June’s MLB Draft. He sits in the 92 to 94 range with his fastball and also has a pair of promising secondary pitches with his changeup and two-gear breaking ball.
2. Max Fried, LHP, Harvard-Westlake (Studio City, Calif.)
Fried, who inked with UCLA along with his high school teammate Giolito, stands a projectable 6-foot-4 and combines consistent mechanics with above-average velocity that reaches 92 miles per hour. Fried, who will pitch in the same rotation as Giolito in 2012, stands a projectable 6-foot-4 and combines consistent mechanics with athleticism and above-average velocity that reaches 92 miles per hour. His changeup and curveball each figure to be average or better offerings, and when the smoke clears, Fried could hear his name called shortly after Giolito somewhere in the top half of the first round.
3. Freddy Avis, RHP, Menlo School (Atherton, Calif.)
Despite lacking the physical frame of some of his in-state rivals at 6-foot-2 and 180 pounds, Avis has good arm speed and a fluid delivery, producing easy velocity in the 90 to 93 mph range and also holstering a curveball. He's believed to be a strong commit to Stanford, but is also likely to be considered in Round 1.
4. Trey Williams, 3B, Valencia (Valencia, Calif.)
Williams is a right-handed hitting prep shortstop who profiles defensively at third base. He's sturdy and strong with a plus arm and good athleticism. His setup needs work but with terrific hands and wrists generates well above-average bat speed that should result in plus power. Williams, a Pepperdine commit, is the son of former big league infielder Eddie Williams, who spent parts of 10 seasons in the majors after being the No. 4 overall selection in the 1983 Draft.
5. Hunter Virant, LHP, Camarillo (Camarillo, Calif.)
Virant, like Williams and Avis ahead of him, has the capability to soar to at least No. 2 on this list with a strong spring. He offers projection at 6-foot-3 and 180 pounds and already boasts a solid to average fastball that has brushed 94 mph in the past. His arm action is somewhat short, but there's plenty of time to figure that out and it's not expected to negatively impact his draft status. The left-hander's mid-70s curveball and potential for added velocity suggest he's among the prep arms with the most upside in any state.
6. Rio Ruiz, 3B, Bishop Amat (La Puente, Calif.)
Ruiz is a two-sport star at Bishop Amat, where he’s a standout quarterback in the fall and an elite baseball talent in the spring. He handles multiple gigs on the diamond, including on the mound, where he’s touched 93 miles per hour. He runs well (7.1 in the 60), stands 6-foot-2 and about 200 pounds and offers left-handed power. He has good hands and may stick at third if he doesn’t outgrow the position. But if he can’t stick at third, he has good instincts and could transition to right field without any issues.
7. Cody Poteet, RHP, Christian (El Cajon, Calif.)
Packing a bigger fastball than his 6-foot-1, 180-pound frame suggests, Poteet is also able to create some plane to his heater that sits at 90 to 93 mph. He throws from around a three-quarter arm slot, which creates some tilt to his curveball. He's a bulldog on the mound and I'm a little bullish on him here at No. 7, but his lack of projection doesn't bother me all that much.
8. Shane Watson, RHP, Lakewood (Lakewood, Calif.)
Watson's arsenal includes a fastball in the 88 to 92 mph range, showing sink and arm side ride, and his frame (6-foot-4, 200 pounds) may produce more velocity down the line. But it may have to come from improved mechanics, primarily better balance and use of his lower half. Watson is committed to USC and should be considered early on Day 1 of the draft.
9. Felipe Perez, RHP, Fairmont Prep (Anaheim, Calif.)
This 6-foot-3, 200-pound right-hander pitches at 88 to 91 mph but has touched 93 and throws two breaking balls — a 72 to 75 mph curveball and a 77 to 79 mph slider. His arm works well from a high, three-quarter slot and he's performed well in showcase events, something scouts remember throughout the spring.
10. Ryan McNeil, RHP, Nipomo (Nipomo, Calif.)
One could argue that McNeil belongs as high as No. 7 on this lists — the last four players on this are all worthy adversaries. He’s got an aggressive arm with upside, and he’s touched 94 mph with his fastball. He also employs a slider. McNeil has committed to Long Beach State, but he could perform his way into the top 50 of the draft come June. Marina (Marina, Calif.) pitcher Trevor Megill — all 6-foot-7 of him — would have ranked here, but he decided to enroll early at Loyola Marymount.
On the Brink
Corey Oswalt, 3B, James Madison High School (San Diego, Calif.)
Chase DeJong, RHP, Wilson (Long Beach, Calif.)
Nolan Gannon, RHP, Santa Fe Christian (San Diego, Calif.)
C.J. Saylor, C, South Hills (West Covina, Calif.)
NOTES
Right-handers Giolito, Perez and Poteet and southpaws Fried and Virant have all signed with UCLA, which could make for an intriguing class if any number of them pass on pro ball the first time around … Saylor is an elite defensive backstop recruited to San Diego State, where he could catch Gannon if they both ultimately honor their college commitments … Giolito could be the No. 1 overall pick if the Houston Astros buck the building trend of avoiding prep pitchers with the top overall selection. At this stage, only Appling County (Baxley, Ga.) outfielder Byron Buxton rivals Giolito among the country's top prep prospects … The new Collective Bargaining Agreement in Major League Baseball may impact how many high school talents put their professional aspirations on hold for college ball. The new tax that is expected to be introduced this week by the Major League Baseball Players Association and the league will incorporate penalties for clubs that exceed a set amount for signing bonuses in combination for the first 10 rounds. This may or may not abbreviate the bonuses for some top picks.
Jason A. Churchill covers scouting, player development and the MLB Draft for ESPN Insider, as well as Prospect Insider, where he's the founder and executive editor. You can follow him on Twitter @ProspectInsider and email him at churchill@prospectinsider.com.
Three reasons to love the MLB Draft
November, 15, 2011
11/15/11
4:17
PM ET
By Jason A. Churchill | ESPN.com
PRNewsFoto/AflacJustin Upton, a shortstop from Great Bridge High School (Chesepeake, Va.), was the No. 1 overall Major League Baseball draft pick in 2005. Even though the 2012 draft is more than six months away, it's on the minds of fans, as certain top prospects have just signed letters of intent to play in college. My own personal intrigue in the draft has grown exponentially over the past decade. Here are the three reasons:
1. The prospects
Covering the MLB Draft is a joy. The prep and college players play the game with such passion and ferocity, and typically display a level of energy and respect for the game that isn't always apparent in the big leagues.
The college atmosphere is unsurpassed in the sport and the manner in which the players at the prep and college levels approach each and every game is unique. Since most of the players aren't going to be drafted, the pride in the way they play is as genuine as anything in organized athletics.
Generally speaking, the amateur player is a breath of fresh air. There are no big contracts, very little machismo and a field full of pride and hope. It sounds like a poem, but baseball is nothing if not poetic.
2. The draft is all inclusive
No, not like a lavish hotel in the Caribbean. The draft involves players who excel in all aspects of the game, several levels of talent and a pitting of two levels -- college versus the pro game. There is also the side that includes the player agent, or advisers as they are referred to until the player in question signs a professional contract.
The decision of the player to head to college or sign (not to mention the early signs of which way he may be leaning) can impact where he's selected and the size of the bonus offer. There's so much to consider.
With all that is involved, putting the draft under a microscope broadens your general baseball knowledge ten-fold and because it's the first step toward the big leagues, that knowledge will be relevant for several years.
Perhaps the most fascinating aspect of each spring is the different opinions on players from different analysts and scouts around the baseball world. That isn't something you get much from the other major sports' drafts.
The draft never gets old, and when you finally feel like you have a grasp on a class, the draft is over and the next class is playing in the summer showcases.
3. The draft is where it's at
The draft is the future of your favorite Major League Baseball club, and sometimes, the draft is the very-near future of your team. In the current economic climate of the game, organizations that draft wisely and choose to invest financial resources in draft selections position themselves to stay atop their division and challenge for the postseason season after season -- perfect example being the Tampa Bay Rays -- or perhaps climb from the bottom, just the way the Arizona Diamondbacks did in 2011.
The D-backs relied on many young players, and a number of them were drafted and developed within their own farm system, including star right fielder Justin Upton, starting shortstop Stephen Drew, first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and right-hander Josh Collmenter.
The Rays' incredible stock of young talent needs no introduction, but take note how many among their 40-man roster came from their drafts over the past several years. The answer is 17, more than any other club in either league. Without the draft -- and the high rate of success, the Rays don't have left-hander David Price, third baseman Evan Longoria, right-hander James Shields or 2011 American League Rookie of the Year, right-hander Jeremy Hellickson. The Rays are what they are, a perennial contender in the toughest division in all of sports, because of their draft selections.
The draft is likely to remain a critical manner in which clubs build, rebuild and sustain their success, and it may become even more crucial to the process, the more the big markets commit to taking the draft seriously.
Jason A. Churchill covers scouting, player development and the MLB Draft for ESPN Insider, as well as Prospect Insider where he's the founder and executive editor. He's served in similar roles for numerous publications since 2003, including the Seattle Post-Intelligencer. You can find Jason's ESPN archives here and follow him on Twitter here. He can also be reached via email here.
The benefits of drafting prep talent
November, 8, 2011
11/08/11
2:53
PM ET
By Jason A. Churchill | ESPN.com
Owasso High SchoolDylan Bundy of Owasso (Owasso, Okla.) was the 2011 Gatorade Player of the Year. He also went No. 4 in the 2011 MLB Draft to the Orioles.The Major League Baseball Draft, officially referred to as the First-Year Player Draft, consists of 50 rounds of selections. Three levels of players are eligible from the United States, Canada and Puerto Rico, including high schools players that are slated to or have just graduated high school.
The slight majority of players chosen generally are of the college ilk, but last June more than half of the top 60 picks were prep players, and the class was considered the best in at least a handful of years.
There are benefits to drafting both college and high school players. The college player generally is on shorter path to the majors, leaving less risk to the club that the talent will stagnate and never supply a return on the investment. The college player also brings fewer questions in terms of makeup, physical capabilities and injury, since there is far more information available on a three-year university veteran than high school player.
The benefit to drafting high school talents, however, is a fascinating trip down Draft Philosophy Boulevard. It depends on which scout is asked as it will somewhat based in their experiences -- and the success and failures -- but the commonalities are abound.
Here are three reasons why a high school player can be the better choice:
1. Professional Instruction
The longer, and sooner, a player can begin receiving professional instruction the better the chances he maximizes his natural talents and becomes the player in which the club hopes he can ultimately develop.
While not universal, as there are several exceptions, it's generally accepted that college coaching staffs have different goals. They are hired to win games for their school, not necessarily prepare their players for professional baseball.
"Pro ball allows the talent to be nurtured," said a scouting supervisor of one American League club. "Colleges don't have that luxury, they have a different goal. A player's best chance to run its (development) course is through pro ball."
There is a lot of value in a club being able to shape the talent the way they prefer, and often times it can be the difference between an end-result sprouting a star versus a fringe major leaguer.
2. Routine
In connection with receiving professional coaching and guidance, there are differing habits and routines developed in college that do not prepare a player well for pro ball. The schedule is significantly abbreviated and the kids have to spend a lot of time studying for classes.
If they head from high school to the minor leagues, their every twitch can be focused on their development as a baseball player, and they will be doing so under close scrutiny and training of those in charge of getting them ready for the big leagues.
"I would always lean toward high school drafts," explains one clubs's assistant GM, "just because the time you get to spend molding the players as your own and because they haven't developed habits, yet."
Going from a schedule that may extend out to 60-70 games in college to the 144-game schedule in the minors can be awfully demanding for the college draftee, who is generally 20-22 years of age on draft day. His skills may be ready for a big-league promotion -- particularly pitchers -- before his body is ready to handle the rigors of a full big-league schedule.
With a high school player, he can be fully acclimated to the 144-game minor league schedule before he hits his age range of 20-22, making for a much smoother transition a season that is basically three weeks longer.
3. Upside
When clubs select a college player they are more-less hoping that talent translates fairly quickly to the major leagues, and aren't necessarily seeking significant physical progress or additional expectancies in performance. In other words, to an extent, he is what he is.
"That's what makes them safer picks," the supervisor explained. "You'll probably get something out of your higher picks if they are college guys, and that is especially true for pitchers."
With the prep athlete, however, you have to dream a little bit, project down the road. Clubs will take performance into consideration, of course, but if the specific skill set is there and the player displays the physical attributes of a future big-league player, he's a prospect. Those that show exceptional levels of ability within those skills, both physical and technical within the game of baseball, they have rather high upsides.
"Simply put," said an NL club's national crosschecker, "these higher-ceiling kids can be stars, there's still that chance. If a college player isn't a superstar in school he's not likely to be one as a pro."
This thought links to Nos. 1 and 2 in terms of maximizing the chance to develop a player into a superstar. It's no surprise that many of the game's brightest stars that came to MLB via the draft were selected right out of high school. Prince Fielder, Alex Rodriguez, Josh Hamilton, Clayton Kershaw, CC Sabathia and Justin Upton are just a handful of examples.
In conclusion, there is no right or wrong answer to the question of which is the better philosophy, selecting college players or high school talents in the draft. And there are more factors that come into play than just the players' abilities when organizations make these decisions, including how soon the player projects to assist the big league club in their goal to winning a World Series, and the reward the player is capable of bringing once he arrives.
"I think it can depend on the situation your club is in at the time," said the assistant GM. "I think drafting really high, you have to take the best player regardless of position or level of experience, but if you are a club building toward winning three or four years down the road and you have a college player and a high school graded equally after evaluating all the risks and rewards, perhaps the high school kid makes as much or more sense. You know, to try and get that franchise player out of it."
Jason A. Churchill covers scouting, player development and the MLB Draft for ESPN Insider, as well as Prospect Insider where he's the founder and executive editor. He's served in similar roles for numerous publications since 2003, including the Seattle Post-Intelligencer. You can find Jason's ESPN archives here and follow him on Twitter here. He can also be reached via email here.
Detroit's I.C.E. program provides baseball opportunities where there were few
October, 13, 2011
10/13/11
9:51
AM ET
By Chris Webb | ESPN.com
Georgia Southern Media RelationsVictor Roache is one of the I.C.E. program's most successful alums. The Georgia Southern outfielder is a 2012 MLB Draft prospect. On the same day that the Tigers had Detroit abuzz with a 5-2 ALCS win over the Texas Rangers, Georgia Southern outfielder Victor Roache was attracting the attention of MLB scouts at the school’s scout day. Two years earlier, Roache was drafted out of Lincoln (Ypsilanti, Mich.) in the 25th round by the Tigers but opted not to sign. Now he’s coming off a season in which he led NCAA Division I with 30 homers and is a top 2012 MLB draft prospect.
Roache is one of the success stories of Detroit’s I.C.E. program. I.C.E. (Inner City Exposure Foundation) aims to provide high quality, affordable baseball training for youth players, especially in Detroit’s economically disadvantaged neighborhoods.
In 2008, the Lincoln senior caught the attention of St. Louis Cardinals area scout Brian Hopkins at an ICE showcase. Later that year, Roache was chosen by Hopkins to participate in the East Coast Pro Showcase in Lakeland, Fla., where he first caught the attention of Georgia Southern scouts.
“I.C.E. has been instrumental in Victor's development,” said his father, Victor Roache Sr., who now organizes I.C.E. events. “The experience, the quality of competition and exposure to college coaches and pro scouts were pretty vital.”
The elder Roache says everything that has transpired at Georgia Southern for his son would not have been possible without the I.C.E. program. That success is what co-founder Dwayne Henderson envisioned and hopes to continue.
Henderson knows what the benefits of traveling to showcases can bring to a young player. Growing up in Detroit’s inner city, Henderson wasn’t able to play travel baseball until he was 17. He said it was because of travel baseball that he was able to get noticed and secure a scholarship to Wiley College in east Texas.
Then he started coaching his own kids and wanted to give them the opportunities he didn’t have.
“I saw the Perfect Game showcases and that route was the way to go,” he said of the organization that holds more than 100 showcases around the nation each year. “As I tried to get my son through, I realized it's not affordable to inner-city kids. There's no way they can get the opportunity to get the exposure they need to be seen by the right scouts, to get down to Florida or Iowa, wherever the Perfect Game showcases were being held. I added it up and it was around $2,000 per kid, and many cannot afford it.”
I.C.E. was founded with this in mind.
In 2007, Henderson asked Hopkins to come to Detroit to see some of the prospects who couldn’t afford to travel. The following year, Philadelphia Phillies local scout Dwight Smith joined Hopkins and Henderson to put on another showcase for area players. And so the I.C.E. concept -- providing affordable baseball opportunities for area youth -- was born. Today, I.C.E. is a year-round program and works in conjunction with MLB’s RBI (Reviving Baseball in Inner Cities) program to operate a league. Along with participation in showcases, training sessions and league games, players also receive information on the college recruiting process.
Detroit nonprofit organization Petra Community Outreach is a financial partner. Membership to I.C.E. is $20 a year and that makes registration to the fall training ($50), and fall tournament program ($450) 50 percent off.
“It's an expensive sport where the funds aren't available in the inner-city and for minorities,” co-founder Smith said.
The expenses of baseball, coupled with the downturn in the Detroit economy, provide a bleak outlook for the game's future in the city. The Tigers organization has aided the efforts of I.C.E. to keep the program affordable. Smith says I.C.E. leaders meet regularly with the manager of the Tigers Foundation, Sam Abrams.
In September, the Tigers covered the travel costs for six I.C.E. participants to participate with Team Ohio Valley during the USA Baseball National Team Identification Series in Cary, N.C. They have provided equipment, and Abrams provides guidance in decisions of how I.C.E. can operate at its best.
I.C.E. alum Devan Ahart, a redshirt freshman outfielder at the University of Akron, said without the program, he wouldn’t be where he is today.
“The showcases and the I.C.E. games, where we played fellow I.C.E. members, allowed us to compete against good talent,” said Ahart. “Without the program, I'm not the baseball player I am.”
Chris Webb has covered Midwestern college baseball since 2009 for Buckeye State Baseball as well as in his own personal blog The Webb Log (ChrismWebb.com). Chris is in his second year of covering the area's high school baseball and recruiting for Prep Baseball Report. He can be reached at cmwebb24@gmail.com and followed on Twitter @ChrisMWebb
Prep arms the difference in class of 2012?
October, 11, 2011
10/11/11
12:15
PM ET
By Jason A. Churchill | ESPN.com
Scott Kurtz/ESPNHSLucas Giolito may be a first round pick in the 2012 MLB Draft.Next June's draft class does not appear to be as deep as last year's crop. There are fewer blue chip prospects overall and fewer high-ceiling prep pitchers. Or are there?
One thing I have learned in eight years covering the scouting and player development world is that high school players change more between the ages of 16 and 20 than at any other time in their athletics lives. What this could mean is that a second-division talent gets bigger, faster and stronger and hones them into further advanced baseball skills that were not necessarily on display the previous spring or summer.
This is how the class of 2012 could make up some ground on its brethren of previous years, and that burden is likely on the backs of an intriguing crop of prep pitchers. Added velocity, the development of a breaking ball or changeup, significantly improved command or a combination of these attributes can change the profile of a pitching prospect and shoot him up the charts.
Right-handers Lucas Giolito (Harvard-Westlake HS, Calif.), Lucas Sims (Brookwood HS, Ga.) and Lance McCullers, Jr. (Jesuit HS, Fla.) offer big upside and project as first-round selections, but there are several additional prospects that could take a momentous step forward before draft day.
Max Fried, LHP -- Harvard-Westlake (North Hollywood, Calif.)
Fried, who transferred from Montclair Prep (Van Nuys, Calif.) to join forces with Giolito, offers a fastball in the 89-92 mph range and a potentially plus curveball and changeup. He stays over the rubber well and is a good athlete, running sub seven-second 60 times over the summer. He's hit 94 on the gun in the past and his 6-foot-4, 175-pound frame offers plenty of projection to suggest he could sit in the 93-96 mph range down the road. Fried is committed to UCLA, but could perform his way into the Top 10 where the bonus money exceeds $2 million.
Taylore Cherry, RHP -- Butler (Vandalia, Ohio)
Cherry checks in at 6-foot-9 and 260 pounds and sits 92-94 mph with his four-seam fastball. The pitch generates sink, as does his plus changeup. He commands his pitches well, including a below-average curveball that tends to flatten out at times. His size may scare off some clubs and it could ultimately dictate his role, but there are no present red flags with his mechanics that would push him to the bullpen. He's committed to North Carolina but there's likely more velocity in the chamber and he may not be able to pass up first-round money.
Walter Weickel, RHP -- Olympia (Orlando, Fla.)
The Orlando product is one of the better athletes in the class, posting times in the 6.6 range in the 60-yard run, in addition to his potential for a top-of-the-rotation arsenal. Weickel pitches at 89-92 mph, but has threatened the mid-90s and with downhill plane. He also employs a below-average change (78-81 mph) and a curveball of varied speeds (69-75 mph) that shows some depth. He offers terrific arm speed which bodes well for the changeup. The University of Miami has received a verbal commitment from Weickel, but he appears to be well on his way to becoming a first-round pick, and a strong spring could land in the top half.
Hunter Virant, LHP -- Camarillo (Camarillo, Calif.)
Virant, like Fried and Giolito, has committed to UCLA but like his potential future college teammates could be a first-round pick come June. The southpaw sits in the 88-91 mph range but has visited the 94 mph neighborhood and offers projectability at 6-foot-3 and 175 pounds. He has a good feel for a mid-70s curveball and turns over a changeup for strikes. There is a bit of concern with his arm action -- it's a bit short -- but it's not likely to impact his future role and if it's mended he could add velocity.
Matt Smoral, LHP -- Solon (Solon, Ohio)
Smoral may be the pitching prospect with the most room to climb up the charts thanks to his 6-foot-8, 230-pound frame and low-90s fastball. Scouts believe there is more in the tank in terms of velocity and he also uses a fringe-average slider and is becoming more comfortable with his changeup. Smoral, a North Carolina commit, isn't likely to see Chapel Hill since left-handers with plus heaters and projectable bodies don't last long in the draft. Smoral could land in the top 10.
Giolito has No. 1 stuff, including a fastball that has touched 97 mph and power curveball. He's big and projectable at 6-foot-6 and 230 pounds and has shown an average changeup. The velocity is easy and the delivery is clean. He'a also a UCLA signee, but he could end up as the No. 1 overall pick which means the chances the Bruins get him on campus are somewhere between slim and absolutely not.
Sims, who signed with Clemson, has also touched the mid-90s, but his best pitch may be his 81-83 mph curveball that draws "plus" grades from scouts. He's a first-round talent with a chance at the top 10.
McCullers, the son of former big leaguer Lance McCullers, has hit 99 mph on the radar gun and also offers a hard-breaking curveball with some slider traits. His delivery and lack of a promising third pitch suggest to some talent evaluators that the bullpen is in his future, which very likely keeps him out of the top 10-15 of the draft. He has next spring to change that assessment.
Freddy Avis of Menlo (Palo Alto, Calif.) is also a first-round caliber arm, but his strong commitment to Stanford could prevent a first-round selection. Avis sits in the 90-93 mph range and his smooth and easy delivery bode well for his future. His curveball is among the better offspeed pitches in the prep class and he shows good arm action on a changeup with fading action.
Others: Kayden Porter, RHP (Spanish Fork HS, Utah); Carson Fulmer, RHP (Lakeland HS, Fla.); Tyler Hensly, RHP (Santa Fe HS, Okla.); Cody Poteet, RHP (Christian HS, Calif.); Trevor Megill, RHP (Marina HS, Calif.); Shane Watson, RHP (Lakewood HS, Calif.); Ryan McNeil, RHP (Nipomo HS, Calif.); Felipe Perez, RHP (Fairmont Prep, Calif.); Michael Rucker, RHP (Auburn-Riverside HS, Wash.); Ryan Burr, RHP (Highlands Ranch HS, Colo.).
Jason A. Churchill covers scouting, player development and the MLB Draft for ESPN Insider, as well as Prospect Insider where he's the founder and executive editor. He's served in similar roles for numerous publications since 2003, including the Seattle Post-Intelligencer. You can find Jason's ESPN archives here and follow him on Twitter here.
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