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Second-half outlook: Troy

10/21/2009

Posted by ESPN.com’s Graham Watson

TROY TROJANS (4-2, 3-0 Sun Belt)

The Trojans had a tough start, but rebounded to win their last four and are sitting in prime position to take their fourth consecutive Sun Belt title. The Trojans already have defeated Arkansas State and Middle Tennessee, two of the more highly regarded teams in the conference, but the schedule doesn’t get any easier with Louisiana-Monroe playing stride-for-stride. Those teams will meet at the end of the month.

Best-case scenario: The Trojans win out. Troy has dominated conference play before, but in the past three seasons, it hasn’t made it through conference play unscathed. This season it happens and the Trojans win their second outright conference title.

Worst-case scenario: Troy loses to Louisiana-Monroe for the second consecutive year and spends the rest of the season trying to crawl back into a tie for the conference championship.

Prediction: Troy wins the Sun Belt Conference, becomes just the second team to ever win four consecutive conference titles (North Texas), and goes on to play in the New Orleans Bowl, the conference’s only guaranteed postseason trip.