Vote: Non-AQ disappointment

You had your chance to vote on potential surprise non-AQ teams for 2011. So now we have to take a look at the opposite: teams that could be disappointments in 2011.

I picked teams that I thought had a chance to either fall from the rankings or have down seasons because of coaching changes. Miami (Ohio) made one of the biggest turnarounds in NCAA history in 2010, but the RedHawks go into the fall with a new coach in Don Treadwell and no decision on quarterback between Zac Dysert and Austin Boucher. There is great potential for a repeat because there are plenty of talented players returning, but there also is uncertainty as well.

TCU makes the list because there is a chance that this could be a down season. The Horned Frogs lost 26 seniors, including Andy Dalton and four starters on the offensive line. There are some difficult games on the schedule, especially on the road, so this season could end up being a disappointment compared to the results of 2009 and 2010.

San Diego State was one of the surprise teams of 2010 but the Aztecs have a new coach in Rocky Long and are missing some key players at receiver in DeMarco Sampson and Vincent Brown. Their schedule sets up nicely for them to make a second straight trip to a bowl game, but given the changes there could also be a step back.

Nevada went 13-1 last season, but it is going to be hard to repeat that feat without Colin Kaepernick and Vai Taua and with the way the schedule sets up. A 1-3 start is possible after games at Oregon, Texas Tech and Boise State in the first four games of the season. Tulsa also has a difficult start to the season, along with a new coaching staff, so there is potential for disappointment.

Note I do have TCU and Tulsa in my poll for best non-AQ teams. I included them both here because of the unknowns surrounding both teams.