Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Winless Watch, Week 4
By Andrea Adelson
Welcome to the Winless Watch, where we take a look at the teams still waiting on that first victory of the year, and their odds of getting it this week.
Nine teams won their first game of the season last week. But there are still 12 looking to turn that frown upside down:
Western Kentucky (0-3). Streak: L 23. This week: at USF. Chances: 1 percent. Last week’s game against Indiana started well, but after taking a 7-0 lead it went all downhill. Bobby Rainey had another 100 yard game, but the Hilltoppers need more than just him to win.
Eastern Michigan (0-3). Streak: L 15. This week: Ohio State. Chances: 0.25 percent. The chances are closer to zero for the upset, but hey, never say never. The Eagles played their first two games close, but then got blown out last week against Central Michigan. Ending this winless streak isn’t going to happen against the No. 2 team in the country.
Colorado State (0-3). Streak: L 12. This week: Idaho. Chances: 10 percent. The Rams have scored 19 points in three games. The offensive line hasn’t given true freshman quarterback Pete Thomas any help -- allowing 12 sacks -- and neither has the run game. The Rams are averaging 42.7 yards on the ground. Idaho simply has the better team.
New Mexico State (0-2). Streak: L 9. This week: at Kansas. Chances: 20 percent. The Aggies are also offensively challenged, having scored 31 points in two games. The Jayhawks have been maddeningly inconsistent, but have the talent and home-field advantage.
North Texas (0-3). Streak: L 7. This week: at FAU. Chances: 10 percent. The Mean Green's luck has gone from bad to worse after losing its second quarterback for the season because of injury. They were shut out at Army last week and have now lost nine starters to injuries this season.
FIU (0-2). Streak: L 4. This week: at Maryland. Chances: 10 percent. The Panthers have played valiantly against Rutgers and Texas A&M but let late leads slip away in both games. They need more offensive production to pull one of these games out. It’s not going to happen this week.
New Mexico (0-3). Streak: L 4. This week: at UNLV. Chances 30 percent. It’s the all-winless bowl, so somebody has to win. New Mexico is without B.R. Holbrook for the second straight game because of a knee injury. Freshman Tarean Austin is expected to play. The Lobos haven’t done anything on offense or defense, so it’s hard to see how they will win this game.
North Carolina (0-2). Streak: L 4. This week: at Rutgers. Chances: 80 percent. Another heartbreaking loss for short-handed North Carolina last week. I know I put their chances pretty high at beating Georgia Tech, and it almost happened. Rutgers is no Georgia Tech. Even the short-handed Tar Heels should be able to win.
ULM (0-2). Streak: L 4. This week: Southeastern Louisiana. Chances: 80 percent. Southeastern Louisiana played Tulane tough in the season opener, but this game should be just what ULM needs to get that first win of the season.
UNLV (0-3). Streak: L 3. This week: New Mexico. Chances: 70 percent. The Rebels are not great, but they are better than the Lobos.
Akron (0-3). Streak: L 3. This week: at Indiana. Chances: 20 percent. When your quarterbacks are completing 40 percent of their passes, you’re not going to have a great shot at winning. Playing back to back teams from AQ conferences hurts. So does that loss to FCS Gardner-Webb.
Marshall (0-3). Streak: L 3. This week: Ohio. Chances: 80 percent. Just when you think the Herd could be turning a corner, they lose at Bowling Green. Marshall won in the Little Caesar’s Pizza Bowl last year, and I am going to predict a win in this game.