Thursday, September 27, 2012
Pac-12 predictions: Week 5
By Ted Miller
Welcome to Week 5. Ted Miller went 4-1 last week and Kevin Gemmell went 3-2, with Ted successfully nailing Oregon State's upset win at UCLA like the prescient prognosticator he is.
For the season, Ted is 27-11 and Kevin is 25-13.
No. 8 Stanford at Washington (Thursday)
Kevin Gemmell: The first road start is never easy, but Josh Nunes has to be bubbling with confidence from the last time the Cardinal were on the field. Injury concerns on the offensive line are never good -- especially when playing Stanford. Just ask USC. Stanford 24, Washington 13.
Ted Miller: The Huskies' offensive line is beaten up, and that's not good against Stanford. It will be interesting to see how the new-look Huskies defense handles the Cardinal running game, which gashed Washington for 446 yards last year. Stanford 28, Washington 17.
Arizona State at California
Kevin Gemmell: If Taylor Kelly and Co. play like they did against Utah all season long, they will contend for the South. The Bears are in disarray, though they've won eight of the past nine meetings. I'll go with the hot team right now. Arizona State 35, California 27.
Ted Miller: The Sun Devils have played three good games at home and one bad game on the road. Can they take the next step and win on the road in a place they rarely do? I think yes. Arizona State 30, California 27.
UCLA at Colorado
Kevin Gemmell: Last week was a learning experience for both teams -- and all the credit to the Buffs for gutting one out. But the Bruins have more playmakers than Washington State, plus a tougher defense. Brett Hundley-to-Shaq Evans looks scary. UCLA 35, Colorado 10.
Ted Miller: I suspect that Colorado's win over Washington State got UCLA's attention, and the Bruins also are coming off a tough loss, so they should be pretty focused. UCLA rolled 45-6 last year against the Buffs, but I think this one will be closer. UCLA 35, Colorado 20.
No. 18 Oregon State at Arizona
Kevin Gemmell: This is perhaps the most intriguing matchup of the week. If Oregon State wins, it likely climbs into the top 15. If Arizona wins, it's back in the Top 25. Both teams are coming off two very different games. The Beavers are the more balanced team -- which should come in handy on the road again. Oregon State 27, Arizona 20.
Ted Miller: I'd be more prone to like the Wildcats' chances if QB Matt Scott didn't bang up his hip at Oregon. In fact, I suspect the Wildcats might be pretty banged up across the board after a physical game in Eugene. After watching the Beavers beat a capable UCLA squad with rugged defense, I tend to think that's what will happen again. Oregon State 28, Arizona 24.
No. 2 Oregon vs. Washington State (in Seattle)
Kevin Gemmell: I was right predicting Oregon's 49 points last week. I was just a little off on calling Arizona's 35. I won't make the same mistake again. The Ducks' defense is as advertised. Marcus Mariota has enough weapons to overcome any jitters there might be about making his first road start. Oregon 49, Washington State 13.
Ted Miller: But I wanted 49! Not sure if CenturyLink Field will feel like a road game for Oregon, as Ducks fans likely will be close to equal with Washington State fans. The Cougars have not shown that they can hang with the Ducks (see the loss to Colorado). I expect this to be a little like the Ducks' first three games: Jump to an early lead, give up some points with the starters out in the fourth quarter. Oregon 52, Washington State 20.