Thursday, October 25, 2012
Big 12 predictions: Week 9
By David Ubben
Pretty good week of picks for me last week, let's try to get a perfect week in Week 9.
I'll be heading to Manhattan, Kan., this week to see Kansas State try to stay undefeated against Texas Tech, but you can find plenty of coverage of Oklahoma and Notre Dame's game here on the blog from my colleagues at Sooner Nation and columnist Ivan Maisel.
On to the picks!
Last week: 4-1 (.800)
Overall: 37-11 (.770)
West Virginia is idle.
Texas 44, Kansas 17: There's more upset potential here than it would appear, so don't be surprised if this one's close in the first half. Ultimately, though, the Longhorns dominate the line of scrimmage and take care of business. David Ash predictably looks much better against the Jayhawks than he did against the Sooners. Kansas' linebackers might have nightmares about trying to tackle Joe Bergeron.
TCU 34, Oklahoma State 31: Really, really tough pick here. I'm going to go with the underdog Frogs on the road, though. Oklahoma State's quarterback spot is pretty unpredictable, and I wouldn't be surprised if Wes Lunt returns and has a huge game to get a win. Still, I'm going with the Frogs here, who continue to get better week by week and are sticking together through a whole lot of mess this offseason. Trevone Boykin has another big day. Oklahoma State's defense isn't as good as Iowa State made it look last week.
No. 3 Kansas State 31, No. 15 Texas Tech 24: The recipe is here for an upset. Texas Tech is better than people think, and a very balanced squad coached by Tommy Tuberville, who is 6-2 against top five teams. That includes wins in each of the past two seasons. Still, I'm betting on Bill Snyder poring over that Oklahoma game tape and figuring out how to slow the Red Raiders' offense. K-State does enough and runs the ball consistently yet again. Is there anybody left to stop the Wildcats from rolling to a Big 12 title, their first since 2003?
Baylor 38, Iowa State 34: Nick Florence has to be more careful with the ball, but the Bears' speed at receiver is too much. Iowa State's quarterbacks look like world-beaters against a Bears defense that needs a ton of improvement, but BU goes on the road and gets a massive, massive win. The chase for a bowl bid at season's end is going to be really, really compelling here. Both teams would have four wins after Saturday.
No. 8 Oklahoma 31, No. 5 Notre Dame 21: This is my game of the week, so come back for more today on this game. Oklahoma hasn't seen a defense like Notre Dame's but Notre Dame hasn't seen an offense like Oklahoma's. The Sooners receivers are getting more and more in sync with Landry Jones as the season goes on, and Oklahoma looks dominant at home once again, flexing against a ranked team.