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Thursday, November 29, 2012
Big East predictions: Week 14

By Andrea Adelson

I was wondering when all the upsets would start happening in the Big East! Louisville and Rutgers' losses left Tuna and I at 2-2 last week. We have another chance to finish the season off right.

AA season record: 45-19

Thursday night

Louisville (9-2, 4-2) at Rutgers (9-2, 5-1), 7:30 p.m., ESPN. They say defense wins championships, right? Well, I am going with Rutgers in this one based largely on its defense. If Louisville quarterback Teddy Bridgewater were healthy, I may have reconsidered. But given the facts that the Cardinals all of a sudden can't run the ball, have an injured quarterback and are going to be facing a defense just as aggressive as UConn, Rutgers has the clear advantage. Plus, the Scarlet Knights are way better on special teams. Rutgers has a history of failing to rise to the occasion in big games, but the Scarlet Knights will change that tonight and get to their first BCS game. Rutgers 21, Louisville 20.

Matt's pick: Rutgers 23, Louisville 16

Saturday

Cincinnati (8-3, 4-2) at UConn (5-6, 2-4), 3:30 p.m., ABC. We will know late Thursday night whether the Bearcats have a shot at a share of their fourth Big East title in the past five seasons. If not, the Huskies will have way more to play for, with bowl hopes on the line. UConn has won back-to-back games for the first time under coach Paul Pasqualoni and has finally gotten its running game going. It is no coincidence that UConn has won two straight just as Lyle McCombs has run for two straight 100-yard games. UConn's defense is looking ferocious after its performance last week against Louisville. Still, Cincinnati will be able to do enough to win. But I wouldn't be shocked if the Huskies pulled this one out. Cincinnati 23, UConn 17.

Matt's pick: Cincinnati 20, UConn 10.

Pitt (5-6, 2-4) at USF (3-8, 1-5), 7 p.m., ESPN2. I was tempted to pick USF in this game for a few reasons. First, Pitt has played down to the level of competition for a majority of the season and, well, USF is just not a good team. Second, I feel as if the Bulls could have extra motivation to win this game, given that it's senior night and they are playing at home. But the Bulls have been completely decimated by injuries, so it's hard to find a way on paper for them to win this game. Matt Floyd made some nice progress in the second half last week against Cincinnati, but he needs more help from the guys around him. And the last time the Bulls saw Ray Graham, he gashed them for 226 yards. Pitt is going bowling. Pitt 30, USF 10.

Matt's pick: Pitt 21, USF 9