Thursday, October 31, 2013
SEC predictions: Week 10
By Chris Low
After an embarrassingly poor outing two weeks ago (we both were reprimanded and forced to watch two whole quarters of Big Ten football), Edward Aschoff and I bounced back last week with perfect records.
It wasn’t an overly difficult week, but we did both correctly pick South Carolina to win at Missouri.
Thank goodness for Connor Shaw.
And before Mizzou fans start screaming “no respect,” I want to point out that I nailed the Tigers’ win over Florida two weeks ago. A certain colleague of mine did not.
As is usually the case, the month of November will decide this thing. I’m not consumed with wins and losses. Nor am I concerned with what’s coming up two or three weeks from now.
Rather, I’m just grinding away and trying to get better each week and focus on the process.
So after posting 7-0 marks last week, Edward and I are still deadlocked. We’re 67-11 (.859) on the season and relatively healthy as we hit the home stretch, although Edward is always complaining about some nagging injury he has sustained in his softball league.
That or staying out too late with his homeboy, Oscar, in the ATL. Come to think of it, Edward has been a little off on his picks ever since he quit wearing those GQ glasses in his videos.
Anyway, let’s get to our picks in Week 10:
ALABAMA STATE at KENTUCKY
Chris Low: After five straight losses, Kentucky needs a win in the worst way. The Wildcats would need to win their last five games to qualify for a bowl game. That’s not going to happen, but they will get back into the win column Saturday with an easy win.
Kentucky 40, Alabama State 14
Edward Aschoff: The wins haven't come lately for the Wildcats, but we've seen small improvements here and there during their five-game losing streak. Kentucky is hobbled at quarterback, but should put it all together against the Hornets.
Kentucky 41, Alabama State 10
UTEP at TEXAS A&M
Low: Former Texas A&M quarterback Jameill Showers injured his shoulder and won’t get a shot at his old team. The reality is that the Miners didn’t have much of a shot anyway. Even with a bum shoulder of his own, Johnny Football is still lighting up defenses and will do so again this weekend.
Texas A&M 52, UTEP 14
Aschoff: We thought we'd get a homecoming for UTEP quarterback Jameill Showers, but a shoulder injury has him sidelined. With Showers out, don't expect much drama at all in this one.
Texas A&M 56, UTEP 17
MISSISSIPPI STATE at SOUTH CAROLINA
Low: The Gamecocks have new life in the East race after winning in double overtime at Missouri last week. They won’t need any extra periods this week against a Mississippi State team that has its work cut out if the Bulldogs are going to make a fourth straight bowl appearance.
South Carolina 37, Mississippi State 21
Aschoff: This is the perfect time for a letdown from the Gamecocks. We've seen it before from this team after a big win, and it doesn't help that quarterback Connor Shaw is still ill. The Bulldogs will be battling for a bowl game this season, but South Carolina pulls this one out behind running back Mike Davis.
South Carolina 31, Mississippi State 20
AUBURN at ARKANSAS
Low: This game was spiced up during the offseason when Arkansas’ Bret Bielema and Auburn’s Gus Malzahn sparred publicly over whether players were at a higher risk for injury when hurry-up offenses tried to speed up the game and run more plays. The Hogs are coming off a bye and need to stop the bleeding after losing five in a row, but won’t be able to slow down the Tigers.
Auburn 37, Arkansas 24
Aschoff: The relationship between Bret Bielema and Gus Malzahn is chippy at best. This summer, Bielema made sure people knew about his disdain for the hurry-up offense. Saturday, Malzahn will show everyone why Bielema dislikes it so much.
Auburn 48, Arkansas 24
TENNESSEE at MISSOURI
Low: Somewhere along the way, Andrew Baggett is going to get another chance to win it for Missouri with a late field goal. This won’t be the game, though, as the Tigers will take out their frustration from a week ago on a Tennessee team that will be starting a true freshman quarterback.
Missouri 38, Tennessee 20
Aschoff: The Tigers are coming off a heartbreaking loss in which they surrendered a 17-0 fourth-quarter lead to South Carolina, while the Vols have a new starting quarterback in Joshua Dobbs. Mizzou still has the SEC Eastern Division to think about, and its talent will overwhelm the Vols.
Missouri 34, Tennessee 17
FLORIDA vs. GEORGIA
Low: It’s the battle of the walking wounded. Both of these teams have been decimated by injuries this season. Georgia gets back star running back Todd Gurley this week, though, and that will help. But Florida’s defense, which had its pride bruised two weeks ago at Missouri, will rise to the occasion and give Will Muschamp his first win over his alma mater as the Gators’ coach.
Florida 24, Georgia 23
Aschoff: Both of these teams are banged up and will be without key players on both sides of the ball. The injuries piled up even more for Florida when left tackle D.J. Humphries (knee) was ruled out on Wednesday. Florida hasn't lost three straight to the Dawgs since the late 1980s, but Georgia's offense will get a major boost from the return of running back Todd Gurley, who will help grind out the Dawgs' third-straight win in this series.
Georgia 24, Florida 20