NCF Nation: bowl look 093012

With Big Ten play now in full swing, the postseason bowl picture is much clearer.

Well, OK, not really. But at least we have some head-to-head play to base things on, even if things are as murky as ever. Nebraska hangs on to our top spot after hanging on against Wisconsin at home. Northwestern takes another step up with its 5-0 start, while Michigan State falls after its second loss of the year (both at home).

Not much else has changed, except that Minnesota flip-flops with Iowa after the Hawkeyes dominated the Gophers in Iowa City. The No. 2 bowl slot is still anyone's guess, but we'll stick with Michigan -- and no at-large BCS bid -- for now.

Here's our latest stab at projecting the bowls ...

Rose Bowl (Jan. 1): Nebraska
Capital One Bowl (Jan. 1): Michigan
Outback Bowl (Jan. 1): Purdue
Gator Bowl (Jan. 1): Northwestern
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl (Dec. 29): Michigan State
Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas (Dec. 28): Wisconsin
TicketCity Bowl (Jan. 1): Iowa
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl (Dec. 26): Minnesota

SEC bowl projections

September, 30, 2012
This coming weekend in the SEC will answer a lot of questions about the pecking order in this league, but the bowl picture is still a long way from clearing up. Nonetheless, we do our best at the SEC blog to project how the postseason lineup might look:
  • Discover BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 7: Alabama
  • Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: LSU
  • Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
  • AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 4: South Carolina
  • Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Florida
  • Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Mississippi State
  • Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Texas A&M
  • Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 31: Tennessee
  • AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Missouri
  • BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 5: Auburn
  • Advocare Independence Bowl, Dec. 28: Ole Miss

Big East bowl projections: Week 6

September, 30, 2012
No movement in the projections this week.

BCS, Orange, Jan. 1 -- Louisville vs. ACC. The Cardinals have not really played a complete game this season. They get a bye to find their focus.

Russell Athletic, Dec. 28 -- Rutgers vs. ACC. Rutgers gets UConn in Week 6 following a bye.

Belk, Dec. 27 -- Cincinnati vs. ACC. Very impressive win for Cincinnati over Virginia Tech, but this team still needs more consistency from Munchie Legaux.

New Era Pinstripe, Dec. 29 -- Pitt vs. Big 12. Pitt plays at Syracuse on Friday night.

BBVA Compass, Jan. 5, 2013 -- USF vs. SEC. Three straight losses for USF.

Beef 'O' Brady's, Dec. 21 -- UConn vs. Conference USA. UConn and the Bulls are going to have to scratch and claw for six wins.

ACC bowl projections: Week 6

September, 30, 2012
That's right, Duke is still here.
  • Discover Orange Bowl, Jan. 1: Florida State
  • Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Clemson
  • Russell Athletic Bowl, Dec. 28: Miami
  • Hyundai Sun Bowl, Dec. 31: Virginia Tech
  • Belk Bowl, Dec. 27: NC State
  • Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 31: Wake Forest
  • Advocare V100 Independence Bowl, Dec. 28: Georgia Tech
  • Military Bowl Presented by Northrop Grumman, Dec. 28: Duke


Big 12 bowl projections: Week 6

September, 30, 2012
After five weeks of football, here's how I slot the Big 12 race. Those three teams at the top look mighty, mighty close. It could shake out in any order, but I didn't move anybody from last week in the top three.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Kansas State vs. BCS at-large

Allstate Sugar Bowl: West Virginia vs. BCS at-large

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Texas vs. SEC No. 3/4

Valero Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Pac-12 No. 2

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl: Baylor vs. Big Ten No. 4/5

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Pac-12 No. 3

Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas: TCU vs. Big Ten No. 6

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Big East No. 4

Pac-12 bowl projections: Week 6

September, 30, 2012
The Pac-12 is looking "O-fer." As in everyone else is O-fer against the great state of Oregon. The Ducks and Beavers are a combined 8-0, the only two teams in the conference that are still undefeated. That makes Oregon the most awesomely awesome state in the union.

As a result, we’re still projecting the Ducks to the title game. And with the win in Tucson, Ariz., Oregon State is smelling all rosy.

Stanford’s loss to the Huskies, widely regarded as a bad thing for everyone who doesn’t bleed purple and gold (or black and orange for that matter), was a blow to its chances of another BCS bowl game. The easiest road for Oregon to gain a spot in the national championship game would be to run the table -- so for our purposes here, we’re projecting the Ducks with wins over Stanford and Oregon State, and two over USC. The same math we used for Stanford the past few weeks now applies to the Beavers. (Feel free to disregard those previous projections; we forgot to add "just kidding" at the end of each post.) The Rose Bowl would likely select a one-loss Oregon State team over a three-loss USC squad.

Rest assured, this week's projections are so reliable that Nostradamus himself would be humbled by the very thought of questioning them ... at least until next week.

BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 7: Oregon vs. BCS 1 or 2
Rose Bowl Game, Jan. 1: Oregon State vs. Big Ten
Valero Alamo, Dec. 29: USC vs. Big 12
Bridgepoint Education Holiday, Dec. 27: UCLA vs. Big 12
Hyundai Sun, Dec. 31: Washington vs. ACC
MAACO Bowl Las Vegas, Dec. 22: Stanford vs. MWC
Kraft Fight Hunger, Dec. 29: Arizona State vs. Navy
Gildan New Mexico, Dec. 15: Arizona vs. MWC