NCF Nation: Bowl look 110313

Pac-12 bowl projections: Week 10

November, 3, 2013
Oregon State's loss to USC complicated things this week.

Of course, Oregon's visit to Stanford will test these projections. Arizona can make a move with a win on Saturday against visiting UCLA. Washington's upcoming back-to-back road games at UCLA and Oregon State will be critical in the bowl pecking order.

After last year's debacle, would the Sun Bowl want USC again?

BCS National Championship Game Presented by VIZIO (Jan. 6, 2014): Oregon vs. BCS
Rose Bowl Game Presented by VIZIO (Jan. 1, 2014): Stanford vs. Big Ten
Valero Alamo Bowl (Dec. 30): UCLA vs. Big 12
National University Holiday Bowl (Dec. 30): Arizona State vs. Big 12
Hyundai Sun Bowl (Dec. 31): Washington vs. ACC
Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl (Dec. 21): USC vs. MWC
Fight Hunger Bowl (Dec. 27): Arizona vs. BYU
Gildan New Mexico Bowl (Dec. 21): Oregon State vs. MWC
Heart of Dallas Bowl (Jan. 1, 2014): Utah vs. Conference USA

Big 12 bowl projections: Week 10

November, 3, 2013
Baylor could send a message and become the clear favorite in the Big 12 or Oklahoma could show that its Red River Rivalry loss to Texas might be a one-game aberration. We’ll find out when the two teams meet in Waco, Texas, on Thursday. Meanwhile Oklahoma State reaffirmed its intentions to remain in the thick of the conference title race while Texas continues to win. This conference race is far from over.

Here are our Week 10 bowl projections for the Big 12:

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl (Jan. 1): Baylor vs. BCS at-large
AT&T Cotton Bowl (Jan. 3): Oklahoma vs. SEC No. 3/4
Valero Alamo Bowl (Dec. 30): Oklahoma State vs. Pac-12 No. 2
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl (Dec. 28): Texas vs. Big Ten No. 4/5
National University Holiday (Dec. 30): Texas Tech vs. Pac-12 No. 3
Texas Bowl (Dec. 27): Kansas State vs. Big Ten No. 6
New Era Pinstripe Bowl (Dec. 28): West Virginia vs. American No. 4
Heart of Dallas Bowl (Jan. 1): None available vs. Big Ten No. 7
Wake Forest is out this week after a disappointing shutout loss to Syracuse coupled with the loss of its best player, receiver Mike Campanaro. Bubble watch now begins for Pitt, which has lost two straight. And keep an eye on suddenly surging North Carolina. The game between the Panthers and Tar Heels in Pittsburgh on Nov. 16 could determine bowl eligibility for both.

We still have Florida State going to the national championship game, but this will remain a developing story as long as Alabama and Oregon keep winning.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Florida State
Discover Orange Bowl, Jan. 3: Clemson
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Miami
Russell Athletic Bowl, Dec. 28: Georgia Tech
Hyundai Sun Bowl, Dec. 31: Virginia Tech
Belk Bowl, Dec. 28: Duke
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Boston College
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Pitt
Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman, Dec. 27: Maryland
As we get closer to the end of the season and our bowl projections become (hopefully) a bit clearer and more accurate, it's important to remember something: Postseason order doesn't always reflect the most deserving teams.

Fan support, attractive matchups and momentum all have a lot to do with it. That's why even though Michigan State is riding high right now at 8-1 and 5-0 in the Big Ten, we don't have the Spartans in the league's No. 2 slot. Right now, we're projecting them to lose to Ohio State in the Big Ten title game, while Wisconsin could benefit by winning out. The Badgers still have a chance of grabbing an at-large BCS bid but will need to keep moving up in the polls to make up for poor computer rankings.

And while Minnesota is a hotter team than even Nebraska or Michigan right now, the Gophers will have to battle a perception that their fan base does not travel well when it comes to bowl selection. That's why we think Minnesota will be behind the Cornhuskers and Wolverines in the pecking order, even though it could finish even or ahead of them in the division standings. Iowa likely will be a bigger draw than Minnesota once it gains one more win to become bowl-eligible, but Hawkeyes fans have not been filling Kinnick Stadium to capacity and don't seem overly enthused by this season's team.

We had been projecting Indiana to make a bowl, but the Hoosiers' loss to Minnesota pretty much ends that idea. With Illinois and Northwestern also struggling, we now think the Big Ten will be unable to fill all of its bowl slots in 2013.

The latest projections:

Rose Bowl Presented by VIZIO, Jan. 1: Ohio State
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: Wisconsin
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Michigan State
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl, Dec. 28: Nebraska Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Michigan
Texas Bowl, Dec. 27: Minnesota
Heart of Dallas Bowl, Jan. 1: Iowa
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl, Dec. 26: Not filled

SEC bowl projections: Week 10

November, 3, 2013
It was a rare weekend in the SEC where upsets weren't prevalent. The league's bowl outlook, for once, remained largely unchanged.

Missouri and South Carolina both took care of business on Saturday, beating Tennessee and Mississippi State, respectively. The Tigers remain in the driver's seat to win the East with just one loss, but their final three games against Kentucky, Ole Miss and Texas A&M won't be easy. The Gamecocks, meanwhile, have to run the table against Florida, Coastal Carolina and Clemson, and hope for a Missouri loss to win the division.

Georgia, however, remains lurking in the background with two losses in SEC play. A hard-fought win over rival Florida kept the Bulldogs' hopes alive.

With Alabama and LSU taking the week off, Auburn made hay by going on the road to beat Arkansas in Fayetteville. Auburn remains on track for a top-10 showdown against Alabama in the Iron Bowl. The rivalry game could serve as an SEC championship play-in game should the top-ranked Crimson Tide beat LSU at home this coming weekend.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Auburn
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Missouri
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: LSU Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Ole Miss
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Tennessee
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Florida
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt