ESPN College Football

Posted by ESPN.com’s Graham Watson

After another week of 6-4, I am 12-8 in picks so far this season. What’s funny is I resisted the urge to pick upsets last weekend after the beating I sustained the week before. I’m not going to make that mistake this week. I’m going with my gut and hopefully things work out.

1. Colorado State 28, Nevada 17: While I like Nevada, it’s hard to pick the Wolf Pack to win, especially on the road. Colorado State showed against Colorado that it can bottle up a running game pretty well, and CSU quarterback Grant Stucker can shred Nevada’s horrible pass defense. I think this game is a lot tougher for Nevada now than it was at the beginning of the season.

2. Utah 38, Oregon 24: Utah's subpar performance against San Jose State was an anomaly, and I think the Utes right the ship in a hostile Autzen environment this weekend. Oregon has been terrible on defense this year and Utah is one of the top offensive teams in the country. If new Utah quarterback Terrance Cain can stay cool, Utah should have little trouble.

3. North Carolina 14, ECU 10: I really wanted to pick the upset in this game, especially with a couple key UNC players out, but the Pirates have struggled so much on offense and finishing games, that it’s hard to like them on the road against a quality opponent especially without running back Dominique Lindsay. Still, knowing ECU’s history, I wouldn’t be surprised if it came away with the upset.

4. Boise State 34, Fresno State 21: There’s not a game on the schedule right now that I can see Boise State losing. While Fresno State has played well, is healthy, playing at home and has the athletes to compete with the Broncos, I just have a hard time picking them since the Bulldogs are rarely competitive in this contest. The Bulldogs have lost seven of the last eight by a margin of 24.3 points.

5. BYU 33, Florida State 28: Don’t let Florida State fool you. There was some hangover from the season-opening loss to Miami and that showed against Jacksonville State. The difference in this game will be BYU quarterback Max Hall and his ability to spread the ball around. He was great picking the OU defense apart, if he has a similar performance and doesn’t turn the ball over, the Cougars should be 3-0.

6. Southern Miss 35, Virginia 24: I wouldn’t call TCU an offensive juggernaut, so the fact that the Frogs put 30 on Virginia is telling about the Cavs' defense, which Southern Miss should be able to exploit. Also, Virginia has been able to get little going on offense and it has eight turnovers in two games. This is a game Southern Miss should take.

7. UNLV 30, Hawaii 21: Hawaii is 2-0, but against an FCS team and one of the worst teams in the FBS. UNLV will be a great test to see how much the Warriors have improved from a year ago. UNLV is coming off a tough loss to Oregon State, but I think it showed that the Rebels could play with some of the upper echelon of FBS teams. They vent their frustration against the Warriors this weekend.

8. Bowling Green 35, Marshall 14: Missouri was a tough loss for Bowling Green, but the past two games have made everyone acutely aware that the Falcons are a team to be reckoned with this season. The loss of safety P.J. Mahone to suspension is a hit, but shouldn’t be much of a factor against a Marshall offense that’s one of the worst in the country right now.

9. Colorado 31, Wyoming 20: In the past two seasons, Dave Christensen’s offense has outscored Colorado 113-10, but in both those seasons he had several NFL draft picks on his roster. Not the case this year, and while Wyoming is riding a wave of confidence, Colorado is pretty fired up to get a win. The Buffs have put points on the board in their losses and I’m not sure Wyoming can go score for score with them.

10. Ohio State 35, Toledo 17: Toledo is going to run into a pretty angry and motivated Ohio State team this weekend. The Rockets can put points on the board, but I think the defense is going to have trouble stopping quarterback Terrelle Pryor both in the running and passing game, especially in a hostile environment.

Posted by ESPN.com's Graham Watson

History will be made at Bowling Green this weekend when Minnesota comes to Doyt L. Perry Stadium. It will be the first time since 1966 -- a span of over 200 games played in that stadium -- that a Big Ten team will line up opposite the Falcons.

"I think it's awesome," Bowling Green coach Gregg Brandon said. "We're coming off a big road win and they got a good win by beating Northern Illinois at home. It will be a grudge match for them because we beat them up there last year. I'll be disappointed if the place isn't rocking with 30,000 here. You can't ask for anything better in college football for Bowling Green right now."

The Falcons are coming off a huge upset win at Pittsburgh last weekend and currently are receiving votes in both the coaches' and AP polls. The win gave Bowling Green its 10th victory over a BCS program this decade, but only the second since 2004. The other BCS team the Falcons defeated was Minnesota in a 32-31 decision in Minnesota.

Quarterback Tyler Sheehan said last year's win over Minnesota gave the team confidence and he's hoping for a similar boost this weekend. Bowling Green did lose to Michigan State in the game following Minnesota last year, but that game was on the road.

"I think this win gives us more confidence because we know that Pitt was a better team than Minnesota was last year when we beat them," Sheehan said. "But I think Minnesota's gotten so much better since last year and I think it will be a great battle just like it was last year because we've gotten better, too."

While the team has confidence, Sheehan said it's not ready to anoint itself this year's BCS buster. It's one game, Sheehan said, but if the Falcons beat Minnesota, people certainly will have to sit up and take notice. A win would also be the first time since 2002 that the Falcons have beaten two BCS teams in the same season.

"I think the one kinda gets our name out there," Sheehan said. "We got a lot of pub on ESPN and SportsCenter and things like that, so I think it's good for our school and for our program. It's nice that we got the win and it's just something to build off of for the rest of the year."

Posted by ESPN.com's Graham Watson

Sorry I didn't get a chance to do Morning Coffee this morning. I was asked to do a chat at the last moment, so I was a little buried with that. My thanks to all who participated in the chat, by the way.

Today's Afternoon Coffee comes from the Mid-American Conference. Since I wasn't able to attend media days, I've assembled some of the better stories from Tuesday's time in Detroit and put them right here for your enjoyment.

• Bowling Green State University's Anthony Turner will move to receiver, according to the Toledo Blade. He's been the team's quarterback and tailback in past seasons. The notebook also has an interesting tidbit on Miami senior linebacker Clayton Mullins, who built a truck with his father this offseason.
• Western Michigan has taken on a new slogan, the Kalamazoo Gazette reports, in an effort to make amends for last year's 5-7 campaign.
• The Daily Chronicle (DeKalb, Ill.) discusses whether Toledo junior safety Barry Church will go pro after this season. It also has a funny note about Central Michigan quarterback Dan LeFevour and seeing his billboard for the first time
• The Northwest Herald (McHenry County, Ill.) ran a good piece on MAC coaches giving advice to new Northern Illinois coach Jerry Kill.
• The Toledo Blade had another good story about the emerging quarterback in the MAC.
• The Buffalo News writes that the MAC could start issuing injury reports in the future. The ACC announced it would do so last week.
• Temple coach Al Golden is trying to temper expectations, according to the Philadelphia Daily News.