NCF Nation: Justin Hardy

East Carolina (8-4, 7-1 Conference USA) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette (8-4, 6-2 Sun Belt)

WHO TO WATCH: Quarterbacks Terrance Broadway (Louisiana-Lafayette) and Shane Carden (East Carolina). Broadway stepped in for the injured Blaine Gautier in early October and delivered five performances of 250 passing yards or more in Sun Belt play. He can be very accurate, and also boasts good mobility, having eclipsed 100 rushing yards in two of the team's final three regular-season contests. Broadway ranks 22nd nationally in pass efficiency (153.5) and 42nd in total offense (266 ypg). Carden also stepped into the starting job during the season and led his team to the postseason after passing for 2,838 yards and 21 touchdowns, and adding eight rushing touchdowns. He ranks 33rd nationally in pass efficiency (144.9).

WHAT TO WATCH: The passing offenses. Both teams can chuck it around a bit, and neither squad does much to stop the pass. East Carolina checks in at 105th nationally in pass defense (271.7 ypg), while Louisiana-Lafayette is even worse at 111th (283.9 ypg). The Pirates have an elite receiver in sophomore Justin Hardy, who ranks 18th nationally in receptions (6.92 rpg) and 28th in receiving yards (87.2 ypg). Hardy comes off a 16-catch, 171-yard performance in a shootout victory against Marshall. ULL counters with Harry Peoples, who caught 10 passes in a very competitive game against Florida, and had three games of more than 140 receiving yards.

WHY TO WATCH: If today's matchup is anything like the 2011 New Orleans Bowl, which Louisiana-Lafayette won 32-30 on a last-second field goal, everyone's in for a treat. The Ragin' Cajuns are playing in consecutive bowl games after appearing in none before 2011. They gave Florida all it could handle at The Swamp on Nov. 10 and finished the season with three straight wins. East Carolina, meanwhile, has dropped three straight bowl games since beating Boise State in the 2007 Hawaii Bowl. Both teams can put up points and both have somewhat shaky defenses, so this one could turn into an entertaining shootout. It'll be interesting to see how Carden, dynamic running back Vintavious Cooper and the Pirates handle what will feel like a road game at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

PREDICTION: Louisiana-Lafayette 38, East Carolina 34. Louisiana-Lafayette had the more impressive season and will be playing in front of a partisan crowd at the dome. Broadway improved with experience as the season went along and should take another step with the added bowl prep time. Carden and Cooper will help East Carolina's offense keep pace for most of the way, but the Pirates have struggled against decent to good competition all season, and today's game is no exception. East Carolina takes the early lead, but Broadway rallies ULL with his arm in the fourth quarter for the win.

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl keys

December, 22, 2012
12/22/12
9:30
AM ET
Three keys for today's R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl matchup between Louisiana-Lafayette and East Carolina.

1. Broadway show: Terrance Broadway takes center stage at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome after racking up 2,526 pass yards, 661 rush yards and 24 total touchdowns for Louisiana-Lafayette this season. He makes the offense go for the Ragin' Cajuns, and if East Carolina can't slow him down, it'll be a very long afternoon for the Pirates. Broadway really emerged as a dual threat late in the season, eclipsing 120 rush yards in two of his final three games. East Carolina must contain both Broadway and sophomore running back Alonzo Harris to make Louisiana-Lafayette one-dimensional. Broadway enters the game playing his best football, having racked up 1,275 pass yards, 428 rush yards, 12 touchdowns (8 pass, 4 rush) and three interceptions in his past five games.

2. Red alert: Both offenses can put up points, and a big reason for that is their effectiveness in the red zone. Louisiana-Lafayette ranks third nationally in red zone efficiency with 49 scores (40 touchdowns) on 52 attempts. East Carolina isn't far behind, tying for fifth nationally with 45 scores (35 touchdowns) on 49 attempts. Pirates quarterback Shane Carden has led 42 red zone scores on 45 chances since moving into the starting role. The Ragin' Cajuns have scored on each of their past 25 red zone chances entering the bowl. East Carolina's defense is significantly better in the red zone (tied for 54th) than Louisiana-Lafayette's (tied for 103rd). The defense that forces field goal attempts or generates a red zone stop or two likely comes out victorious.

3. Special teams: When the teams are as evenly matched as these two, the kicking game often decides the outcome. Louisiana-Lafayette has a huge weapon in kicker Brett Baer, a Lou Groza Award semifinalist who had the game-winning 50-yard field goal in the 2011 New Orleans Bowl. Baer already has matched his 2011 kick scoring record of 100 points entering the bowl game, having connected on 17 of 20 field goal attempts. East Carolina could do some damage on returns with receiver Justin Hardy, who ranks 31st nationally in punt return average (9.67 ypr). While East Carolina struggles in kickoff and punt coverage, Louisiana-Lafayette isn't very dangerous on returns.

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