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Pac-12 bowl projections: Week 11

Well, that was a surprise.

Oregon jumped over Florida State and into the No. 2 spot in the latest rankings from the College Football Playoff selection committee, solidifying the concept that a one-loss Pac-12 team -- Oregon or Arizona State -- will be in the inaugural four-team playoff. The Sun Devils, who beat previous No. 10 Notre Dame 55-31 on Saturday, moved up three spots to No. 6.

The current top four is No. 1 Mississippi State, No. 2 Oregon, No. 3 Florida State and No. 4 TCU. No. 5 Alabama sits between Arizona State and the playoff group.

The committee's respect for the Pac-12 isn't limited to just those two. UCLA (11), Arizona (14) and three-loss Utah (23) are also part of the the top 25.

Oregon, Arizona State, UCLA, USC, Arizona, Utah are the conference's six bowl-eligible teams, but that number could grow to as many as 10. Here's what lies ahead for the four teams not quite eligible in the Pac-12:

California (needs one win): at USC, vs. Stanford, vs. BYU

Stanford (needs one win): vs. Utah, at Cal, at UCLA

Oregon State (needs two wins): vs. Arizona State, at Washington, vs. Oregon

Washington (needs one win)*: at Arizona, vs. Oregon State, at Washington State

While none of those teams are a lock to go bowling by any means, only Oregon State figures to be on the outside looking in when the dust settles.

Here's our weekly attempt at mapping out where the Pac-12 teams will end up come bowl season.

College Football Playoff: Oregon

VIZIO Fiesta Bowl: Arizona State

Valero Alamo Bowl: UCLA

National University Holiday Bowl: USC

San Francisco Bowl: Arizona

Hyundai Sun Bowl: Utah

Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl: Stanford

Cactus Bowl: Washington

Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl**: California

*Washington needs to win seven games to become bowl eligible because it had four nonconference games, which was allowed because of its trip to Hawaii.

**at large