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Who's going to win? Picking the Pac-10, Week 3

Posted by ESPN.com's Ted Miller

I was 5-1 last week (missed picking Washington's upset of BYU) and am 11-3 for season.

This is a much harder week to project.

The BIG ONE

USC 28, Ohio State 17: I'd been thinking upset on this one for a while, so I expected to pick Ohio State. Felt the Buckeyes were due for a vindicating, national victory. But I can't get over this: USC is just freaking loaded with talent. The Trojans have no match in college football in terms of talent throughout their depth chart.

BYU 24, UCLA 20: Home-field advantage will help the Cougars pull out another tight one over a Pac-10 team. UCLA's defense will be far tougher on QB Max Hall, but I need to see some more from the Bruins offensive line before I completely buy in.

Oklahoma 42, Washington 17: The state of Oklahoma took the Seattle Sonics. Oklahoma State whipped Washington State. Now the Sooners are going to add a third chapter to this Okie drubbing of the beautiful state of Washington. A loss will drop Tyrone Willingham to a precarious 0-3 on the season.

Oregon 38, Purdue 27: The ducks will pull away late in the third quarter, their offensive tempo wearing down the Boilermakers. Still, it will be interesting to see how the touted Oregon secondary does against savvy Purdue QB Curtis Painter. And how Ducks QB Justin Roper reacts to a legit challenge on the road.

California 41, Maryland 17: No need to fear the turtle! Bears should roll against a team that struggled against Delaware and lost to Middle Tennessee State. But it's still a road game against a BCS conference foe. And it will be worth watching just to see what TB Jahvid Best does next.

Baylor 33, Washington State 30: Baylor gets the edge here because: 1. It's playing at home; 2. It didn't lose 66-3 last week. It appears the Cougars will use two QBs: Gary Rogers and Kevin Lopina. That might spur the offense, but what about the D?

Oregon State 28, Hawaii 24: Beavers are back at home and that should help, but there are many issues on both sides of the ball, none bigger than a defense that forgot how to tackle. Here's a guess that QB Lyle Moevao plays well and wins this one by distributing the ball to his strong WR corps.

TCU 21, Stanford 17: The Horned Frogs are tough -- they welcome back 15 starters from a team that went 8-5, including a 38-36 win at Stanford in 2007. A second-consecutive road game might wear on the Cardinal, who are struggling to pass and to defend the pass.

Arizona 41, New Mexico 27: Mission accomplished for the Wildcats: A soft nonconference scheduled designed for a 3-0 start provides just that. Now, will that start provide a launching point for something other than Pac-10 mediocrity? That's the question.

Arizona State 33, UNLV 20: Should be a workmanlike effort from the Sun Devils as they bulldoze the Rebels on their way to a showdown with Georgia. The biggest goal in this game -- other than to win -- is to keep everybody healthy. And when we say "everybody," what we really mean is the offensive line needs to keep QB Rudy Carpenter away from harm, preferably standing without a grass stain on his pants.