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Dan's Double: Potential for big price at Belmont

Be sure to follow Dan Tordjman on Twitter @DanonymousMan.

Saturday, May 28
Belmont Park, Race 7, 4:41 p.m. ET

#4 Captain Moss (10-1): This 4-year-old son of Quality Road showed marked improvement last out in his first try on the turf in 2016. He improved his record on the grass at Belmont to 2-for-2 after breaking his maiden (earning his first victory) at the track last May. In fairness, he's been facing softer competition than some of the other horses in the race, such as #7 Tale of Fancy, #6 Circus Performer, #5 Hello Don Julio and even #1 Easy Comparison, who have been knocking heads in upper allowance company. I like that he has the ability to be on the pace or rate just off of it, which he might have to do behind some of the speed signed up for this race. You should get a nice price on him too, which makes him even more intriguing.

Strategy on $10 Budget
$2 win, place and show on #4 Captain Moss ($6)
$1 exacta 4,8 with 3,4,8 ($4)

Strategy on $25 Budget
$5 win, place and show on #4 Captain Moss ($15)
$1 exacta 4,8 over 1,2,3,4,5,8 ($10)

Strategy on $50 Budget
$10 win, place and show on #4 Captain Moss ($30)
$1 exacta box 2,3,4,5,8 ($20)

Sunday, May 29
Belmont Park, Race 6, 4:09 p.m. ET

#5 Asset Inflation (TBD): Unlike our Saturday selection, you're not going to get the greatest price on our Sunday selection, Asset Inflation. This one looks to be the fastest horse from the gate and most likely will set the early pace all alone. Polar Axis (#1) has some speed to track him, but I think once jockey Javier Castellano gets Asset Inflation to the front, he'll open up slightly and then settle him down. The horse has either won or finished second in six of his seven starts on the turf at Belmont. In his last three starts at the level, he's finished second by less than two lengths combined. His best efforts have come with Castellano aboard, and the jockey returns for this one. A lot of good signs here, including a solid trainer who scores at a high percentage with horses in their second race after a layoff.

Strategy on $10 Budget
$10 to win on #5 Asset Inflation ($10)

Strategy on $25 Budget
$10 to win on #5 Asset Inflation ($10)
$1 exacta key box 5 with 1,2,6,7,8 ($10)
$.50 trifecta 2,5 with 2,5 with 1,4,6,7,8 ($5)

Strategy on $50 Budget
$20 to win on #5 Asset Inflation ($20)
$1 exacta key box 5 with 1,2,6,7,8 ($10)
$1 trifecta 2,5 with 2,5 with ALL ($12)
$.10 superfecta 2,5,7 with 2,5,7 with 2,5,7,8 with ALL ($6)

ROI Year to date: $2,998.70 wagered/$3,512.65 returned (+$513.95 YTD)

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