It's a statistical fact: Texans QB Matt Schaub is significantly less effective when facing added pressure. Against five or more pass rushers, he has completed only 50 percent of his passes, ranking 27th in the league in that category, according to ESPN Stats & Information. As a comparison, his completion rate is nearly 74 percent when facing four or fewer rushers.
The Jets are one of the most aggressive defenses in the league, so this should be a no-brainer, right? Not necessarily. The loss of CB Darrelle Revis could force them to alter their approach Monday night at MetLife Stadium.
If Rex Ryan and coordinator Mike Pettine dial up the blitz, it'll put their Revis-less secondary in a bind. It would leave new starting CB Kyle Wilson in a lot of single coverage. They got away with it last week -- they used a safety in the box to help the porous run defense -- but the 49ers' passing offense isn't nearly as dangerous as that of the Texans.
Wilson wouldn't get much safety help with WR Kevin Walter, whom he's likely to cover in man-to-man situations. Ditto, CB Antonio Cromartie, who will have his hands full with WR Andre Johnson. Revis always used to cover Johnson, essentially taking him out of the game, but now the chore falls to Cromartie, who will try to be aggressive with the physical Johnson.
The Jets would be playing with fire if they blitz Schaub. Then again, can they afford not to?