Dickey's knuckler: a Metamorphosis
June, 24, 2012
6/24/12
12:03
PM ET
By ESPN Stats & Information
ESPN Stats & InfoR.A. Dickey is getting a lot more strikeouts in the upper third of the zone this year.
On Friday we took a look at R.A. Dickey’s historic month with an eye on tonight’s matchup against the Yankees on Sunday Night Baseball (8 ET, ESPN).
To get you ready for the game, let’s dig deeper into the numbers to find out how Dickey has been able to dominate hitters this year despite relying on a single pitch – the knuckleball – more than 85 percent of the time.
BRINGING THE HEAT
There is limited pitch information about knuckleballers because there have been so few in the majors in recent years. Dickey’s average of 77 MPH is significantly faster than the most prominent modern knuckleballer, Tim Wakefield, who threw his knuckler at 66 MPH.
The secret to his recent success appears to be his ability to increase the speed when he gets ahead of batters. Dickey’s knuckleball averages 78.4 MPH with two strikes, and 76.5 MPH in all other counts.
When he dials the speed up to 78 MPH or above, his knuckleball has been nearly unhittable.
Opponents are batting just .111 in at-bats ending in a knuckleball at 78 MPH or faster and have struck out in 40 percent of their plate appearances; at lower speeds they are hitting .283 and slugging .504 against the pitch.
Dickey’s ability to throw the hard knuckleball has allowed him to finish off hitters at an incredibly efficient rate during his historic month. Opponents are a ridiculous 2-for-79 (.025) with 52 strikeouts in two-strike counts over his last six starts (the MLB average with two strikes is .180).
CLIMBING THE LADDER
Dickey’s transformation into one of the best strikeout and swing-and-miss pitchers in the majors is perhaps the most surprising part of Dickey’s dominant season.
Prior to this season, he averaged fewer than six strikeouts per nine innings and generated misses on less than one of every five swings. This season, he’s averaging better than a strikeout per inning and opponents have missed on nearly three out of every 10 swings.
The key to his increase in punchouts appears to be his ability to locate the knuckleball in the upper-third of the zone and above.
Forty-four of his 96 strikeouts (46 percent) with the knuckleball this year have come on a pitch located in the upper third of the zone or higher; last year, his knuckleball strikeouts were nearly evenly distributed by vertical location (39 in upper-third, 35 in middle-third, 41 in lower-third).
ONE PITCH WONDER
Dickey is not the only pitcher this year to rely on a single pitch. There are five other starters this season that have thrown one pitch more than 70 percent of the time: Wade Miley (fastball), Joe Saunders (fastball), Bartolo Colon (fastball), Justin Masterson (sinker), and Lucas Harrell (fastball).
But Dickey’s knuckleball is far more effective than the other pitchers who similarly rely on a single pitch. Opponents are hitting .177 in at-bats ending in a Dickey knuckler; the best opponent batting average among the five pitchers mentioned above is .257 against Masterson’s sinker.

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Rapid Reaction: #Mets 4, #Braves 2: http://t.co/OkDwUFPsqF
less than a minute ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
#Mets 4, #Braves 2, bot 8
10 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
OH MY. Ike Davis go-ahead 2-run single.
10 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Bases loaded, 1 out for Ike. Bottom of the 8th. Score tied at 2.
13 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
John Buck RBI single. #Mets 2, #Braves 2, bot 8. No-decision for Shaun Marcum. Beats a loss.
14 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Lucas Duda with his 3rd hit -- double to LF in the 8th. Mets have 2 in scoring position, 1 out, down 1.
15 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
0-6 would match 5th-worst start to a season in Mets history. Young (0-13, '93), Miller (0-12, '62), Franco (0-8, '98), Pelfrey (0-7, '07).
28 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Shaun Marcum potentially could fall to 0-6 despite this line: 7 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 0 BB, 12 K.
34 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Ike grounds out. 2-for-his-last-4 with a walk.
36 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Shaun Marcum struck out his career-high 12th batter to end the 7th and his outing, but he departs trailing 2-1.
42 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Believe it or not, the #Mets had two 9-game home losing streaks last season. A loss tonight would give them their first of 2013.
42 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Dan Uggla monster 2-run HR. Tough break for Shaun Marcum. #Braves 2, #Mets 1, top 7.
45 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
On the strikeout, Justin Upton steals 2B. #Mets 1, #Braves 0, top 7, 1 out.
48 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Shaun Marcum has matched a career high with his 11th strikeout. Also 6/16/07 with Toronto vs. Washington. #Mets 1, #Braves 0, top 7.
49 minutes ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Shaun Marcum's 10th K gets Jason Heyward looking and strands Andrelton Simmons at 2B. #Mets 1, #Braves 0, mid-6.
about an hour ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Shaun Marcum, by the way, has 9 Ks with two outs in the sixth. His career high is 11, back in 2007 with Blue Jays.
about an hour ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Andrelton Simmons two-out double in 6th snaps streak of 13 straight Braves retired by Shaun Marcum.
about an hour ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Mets waste a leadoff double by Shaun Marcum in the fifth. #Mets 1, #Braves 0, end 5.
about an hour ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Minors 5.26.13: Q, Satin, Kirk homer http://t.co/GOO0OKesd1 #NYM #Mets
about an hour ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Shaun Marcum has retired 11 straight. #Mets 1, #Braves 0, mid-5
about an hour ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin




TWITTER

You must be signed in to post a comment