W2W4: Phillies at Mets (July 3)
July, 3, 2012
7/03/12
11:01
AM ET
By Mark Simon, ESPN Stats & Information
Jonathon Niese Stats To Watch
We neglected to mention Niese in our list of Mets MVPs for June and perhaps that was a mistake, as he was 3-1 with a 1.89 ERA in five starts.
Niese’s strikeout-to-walk ratio for the month was resemblant of R.A. Dickey, 34-to-5.
The key to that was fastball command. Niese threw his fastball for strikes 72 percent of the time last month, up from 61 percent in April and May.
There was a significant increase in called strikes. He got strikes on 52 of 126 fastball takes in June, compared to 52 of 162 fastball takes in May.
Niese has won three of his last four decisions against the Phillies. He’ll likely have to work around two hitters who will give him trouble. Placido Polanco is 11-for-29 with five doubles, and John Mayberry Jr., who has three homers against him.
Vance Worley Stats To Watch
Worley is 3-2 in five starts against the Mets and has allowed three runs or fewer in six straight starts overall. He allowed four runs in a loss to Jonathon Niese and the Mets on April 14.
Worley is very good at getting called strikes when hitters take a pitch and is particularly adept at nailing the outside corner, or just off it, for a strike against left-handed hitters.
Worley’s 38 strikeouts looking rank third in the majors behind David Price (44) and teammate Cliff Lee (39). The Phillies actually have the top three in the NL, with Joe Blanton next at 35.
At the Wright Time
Perhaps it’s a blessing in disguise that David Wright won’t start the All-Star Game. Because it makes it more likely he’ll play in the late innings.
For the first time in a long time, Wright is among baseball’s best end-of-game players. He’s 28-for-74 in the seventh inning or later this season, good for a .378 batting average.
That’s come with him being pitched extremely carefully. He’s drawn 17 walks in this part of the game, five of them intentional, resulting in a .500 on-base percentage.
He only has one late-game home run, but he has six doubles and two triples.
Wright and the NL's leading hitter, Carlos Ruiz will go head-to-head in this series. Ruiz is hitting .356, two points better than Wright.
Due-Da Lucas Duda may be due for a long ball. He’s 7-for-39 with no homers, one RBI and 12 strikeouts in his last 10 games. That’s partly due to facing an abundance of left-handed pitching (he’s 2-for-21 against lefties in this span).
Duda’s last game against the Phillies was a good offensive one for him. He went 3-for-4 with two homers against them on May 30.
Rollins not rolling vs. lefties
Phillies shortstop Jimmy Rollins is 0-for-his-last-12 against left-handed pitching, dropping his batting average against them to .237 this season.
Remember that the Mets shifted against Rollins when he hit left-handed against righties in the last series at Citi Field. He’s a borderline shift candidate from the right side, with 22 of 27 ground balls hit either up the middle, or to the third base side of second base.
We neglected to mention Niese in our list of Mets MVPs for June and perhaps that was a mistake, as he was 3-1 with a 1.89 ERA in five starts.
Niese’s strikeout-to-walk ratio for the month was resemblant of R.A. Dickey, 34-to-5.
The key to that was fastball command. Niese threw his fastball for strikes 72 percent of the time last month, up from 61 percent in April and May.
There was a significant increase in called strikes. He got strikes on 52 of 126 fastball takes in June, compared to 52 of 162 fastball takes in May.
Niese has won three of his last four decisions against the Phillies. He’ll likely have to work around two hitters who will give him trouble. Placido Polanco is 11-for-29 with five doubles, and John Mayberry Jr., who has three homers against him.
Vance Worley Stats To Watch
Worley is 3-2 in five starts against the Mets and has allowed three runs or fewer in six straight starts overall. He allowed four runs in a loss to Jonathon Niese and the Mets on April 14.
Worley is very good at getting called strikes when hitters take a pitch and is particularly adept at nailing the outside corner, or just off it, for a strike against left-handed hitters.
Worley’s 38 strikeouts looking rank third in the majors behind David Price (44) and teammate Cliff Lee (39). The Phillies actually have the top three in the NL, with Joe Blanton next at 35.
At the Wright Time
Perhaps it’s a blessing in disguise that David Wright won’t start the All-Star Game. Because it makes it more likely he’ll play in the late innings.
For the first time in a long time, Wright is among baseball’s best end-of-game players. He’s 28-for-74 in the seventh inning or later this season, good for a .378 batting average.
That’s come with him being pitched extremely carefully. He’s drawn 17 walks in this part of the game, five of them intentional, resulting in a .500 on-base percentage.
He only has one late-game home run, but he has six doubles and two triples.
Wright and the NL's leading hitter, Carlos Ruiz will go head-to-head in this series. Ruiz is hitting .356, two points better than Wright.
Due-Da Lucas Duda may be due for a long ball. He’s 7-for-39 with no homers, one RBI and 12 strikeouts in his last 10 games. That’s partly due to facing an abundance of left-handed pitching (he’s 2-for-21 against lefties in this span).
Duda’s last game against the Phillies was a good offensive one for him. He went 3-for-4 with two homers against them on May 30.
Rollins not rolling vs. lefties
Phillies shortstop Jimmy Rollins is 0-for-his-last-12 against left-handed pitching, dropping his batting average against them to .237 this season.
Remember that the Mets shifted against Rollins when he hit left-handed against righties in the last series at Citi Field. He’s a borderline shift candidate from the right side, with 22 of 27 ground balls hit either up the middle, or to the third base side of second base.

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
The series in Metrics (Mets vs. Reds) http://t.co/W82131gAyy #NYM #Mets
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Minors 5.22.13: Wheeler wins in 51s return http://t.co/LluN2BT3lI #NYM #Mets
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- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Michael Kay on #Mets: "It's like yelling at the fat kid to climb up the rope." Not happening.
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- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Harvey: 'Nine hits is unacceptable for me' http://t.co/kHm23ZoeFi #NYM #Mets
about 3 hours ago
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- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Ike explains 9th inning faux pas http://t.co/ooYQZVf251 #NYM #Mets
about 3 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
I'm confident Ike will be with #Mets Friday, barring something unforeseen. Don't know how much time he has, though, with glare intensifying.
about 3 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Ike on teammates: "I would have been in Triple-A last year if it wasn't for them." #mets
about 4 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Ike said he sees improvement: "I had 2 walks today. I hit a ball 405 feet for an out."
about 4 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Ike said he was convinced it was foul on bounce before got to him at time. Said he can't tell on replay. No play at home regardless, he said
about 4 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Rapid Reaction: Reds 7, Mets 4 http://t.co/2Ln82mGhQf #NYM #Mets
about 5 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Terry Collins on Matt Harvey: "He knew he didn't have his best fastball yet he continued to battle and battle and battle."
about 5 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Rapid Reaction: #Reds 7, #Mets 4: http://t.co/WxM46lYXjb
about 5 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
#Mets have not been 10 games under .500 this early in a season since 2001.
about 5 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
That's 2 plays for Ike at first base this series that were crushers. Obstruction call Monday, too.
about 5 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Todd Frazier follows with two-run single. #Reds 7, #Mets 4. Wow.
about 5 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Ike let ball go by, thinking foul. It wasn't apparently, at least according to 1B ump. #Reds 5, #Mets 4.
about 5 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Oh boy.
about 5 hours ago
- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin

- AdamRubinESPN Adam Rubin
Mets intentionally walking Joey Votto to get to Brandon Phillips for second time in game (and set up double play, I suppose, too).
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That's what Fred said. // RT @WillDuBritz: Choo is a good player but boras will want superstar money and choo is not a superstar
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Andrew Marchand, reporting with the Yankees, says it is Hiroki Kuroda who will line up against Matt Harvey on Tuesday night at Citi Field.
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