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Thursday, April 21, 2011
As bad as 1962? What are the odds?

By Mark Simon

The 1962 Mets set the standard for mediocrity with a 40-120 mark in the club's first season.

What are the chances of the 2011 squad duplicating that?

We asked the folks at Accuscore, who run mathematics-based simulations for the four major sports, what the chances are that the current team finishes with that bad a mark.

They ran 10,000 simulations and noted 11 instances in which the team won 40 games or fewer, with a low of 35 victories So this sort of futility might not be as much of a longshot as you might think.