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Monday, July 8, 2013
Who should Wright pick for HR Derby?

By ESPN Stats & Information

Who should David Wright select to participate in the 2013 Home Run Derby when selections are announced at 6 p.m. ET on Sportscenter tonight? Members of ESPN’s Home Run Tracker team weighed in.

Justin Upton, Atlanta Braves

Upton has only one home run since May 17, but his shortest home run is 404 feet. Remarkably, his 427.9 average home run distance is highest among all players with more than one home run. Upton has two 460-foot home runs and six others of at least 425 feet. Of his 15 home runs, 13 would have been out of Citi Field.

Jay Bruce, Cincinnati Reds

Bruce has eight home runs that have gone at least 425 feet, tied with Upton for the most in the NL.

June solidified Bruce’s nomination, as he hit his five longest home runs of the season- all at least 430 feet. His headline home run was a 472-foot blast off Patrick Corbin, the third-longest home run this season.

Pedro Alvarez, Pittsburgh Pirates

Alvarez edges out Paul Goldschmidt by the narrowest of margins, getting the nod because he has hit two home runs over 450 feet this season and has three others over 430 feet.

Fourteen of his 22 home runs have been at least 400 feet, and all but four of his home runs would have been out of Citi Field.

Alvarez has nine home runs classified by www.hittrackeronline.com as “No Doubt” home runs, the most in the majors. (No Doubt home run means the ball cleared the fence by at least 20 vertical feet and landed at least 50 feet past the fence).

Other NL options:

Paul Goldschmidt, Arizona Diamondbacks: Goldschmidt falls just short of nomination despite having hit three home runs over 440 feet this season and another 437 feet.

Carlos Gonzalez, Colorado Rockies: Gonzalez leads the NL with 24 home runs, aided by his league-leading 11 home runs classified by www.hittrackeronline.com as “Just Enoughs,” meaning home runs that cleared the fence by less than 10 feet.

Gonzalez does have five home runs that went at least 430 feet, but his average home run distance is only 406.5 feet.

Domonic Brown, Philadelphia Phillies: Brown is second in the NL with 22 home runs, but only four of those went over 400 feet. Brown has not hit a single home run to left or left center field.

Brown’s average home run distance is 381.7 feet, the lowest in baseball among players with over 10 home runs.

Carlos Beltran, St. Louis Cardinals: Beltran has 19 home runs, but not one has gone over 425 feet.

Matt Holliday, St. Louis Cardinals: Holliday is third in the majors with an average home run distance of 419.2 feet (min. 10 home runs), and he has seven home runs of at least 425 feet. However, with only 11 home runs on the season, Holliday does not make the cut.