W2W4: Yankees at Indians (Aug. 25)
August, 25, 2012
8/25/12
11:40
AM ET
By Mark Simon, ESPN Stats & Information
Hiroki Kuroda Stats To Watch
When Kuroda faced the Indians earlier this season, he pitched to 28 left-handed batters and no right-handed hitters. Undaunted, he allowed one earned run and five hits in seven innings in a win.
If the Indians wish to try that strategy again, Kuroda probably won't mind. In his last two starts, he retired 24 of the 28 lefties he faced. Kuroda's strategy was to work away, as it usually is, but he did so even more in those two games.
In fact, in his last three starts, 113 of his 176 pitches to left-handed hitters (64 percent) have been to the outer-third of the strike zone or further off the plate. That's about 15 more pitches than would be expected based on his rates earlier this season.
Kuroda has done a masterful job of avoiding solid contact. Since May 27. Inside Edge, a service that provides data to major-league teams, tracks what its calls "hard-hit balls" against a pitcher, based on video review.
In his last 16 starts, Kuroda has allowed 51 hard-hit balls. That might sound like a lot, but it isn't, considering how much Kuroda has pitched in this span.
It converts to a "hard-hit average" of 12.4 percent, meaning one of every eight at-bats ends with a hard-hit ball. The typical major-league rate is about one hard-hit ball in every five at-bats.
Among balls that were actually hit, 16 percent of those against Kuroda were classified as "hard hit," well better than the average of around 25 percent.
How do you get Shin-Soo Choo out?
Friday night, David Robertson was able to get Choo out in a way that most right-handed pitchers haven't been able to do so, with a fastball right over the heart of the plate.
Choo's numbers against fastballs from righties are very good: a .394 batting average when a turn ends with one ranks second in baseball behind Joe Mauer and a 1.121 OPS that ranks fifth-best.
This is slightly offset by a high miss rate (he misses on 22 percent of his swings, well above the MLB norm), making pitching to Choo a high-risk, high-reward scenario.
Choo was 2-for-4 against Kuroda, with one hit coming on a heater over the middle of the plate, another on a curve on the outside corner.
Kuroda's best bet might be to try to get Choo out in one of his weakest areas, up-and-away. Over the last four seasons, Choo's rate of missing on his swings to that area (letter-high, outer-third of the plate) is 39 percent, by far his highest of anywhere in the strike zone.
Who's hot, who's not?
Eric Chavez is 1-for-14 in the last seven games, with seven of the outs coming against sliders (five from right-handed pitchers).
Derek Jeter is 11-for-22 in his last five games and is 7-for-20 this season against sinkers (Justin Masterson's primary pitch).
Robinson Cano is 4-for-his-last-10 against righties, but hasn't homered against one since Aug. 1.
Russell Martin is 0-for-10 since July 30 when an at-bat ends with the first pitch (the typical major leaguer hits .334 against first pitches).
When Kuroda faced the Indians earlier this season, he pitched to 28 left-handed batters and no right-handed hitters. Undaunted, he allowed one earned run and five hits in seven innings in a win.
If the Indians wish to try that strategy again, Kuroda probably won't mind. In his last two starts, he retired 24 of the 28 lefties he faced. Kuroda's strategy was to work away, as it usually is, but he did so even more in those two games.
In fact, in his last three starts, 113 of his 176 pitches to left-handed hitters (64 percent) have been to the outer-third of the strike zone or further off the plate. That's about 15 more pitches than would be expected based on his rates earlier this season.
Kuroda has done a masterful job of avoiding solid contact. Since May 27. Inside Edge, a service that provides data to major-league teams, tracks what its calls "hard-hit balls" against a pitcher, based on video review.
In his last 16 starts, Kuroda has allowed 51 hard-hit balls. That might sound like a lot, but it isn't, considering how much Kuroda has pitched in this span.
It converts to a "hard-hit average" of 12.4 percent, meaning one of every eight at-bats ends with a hard-hit ball. The typical major-league rate is about one hard-hit ball in every five at-bats.
Among balls that were actually hit, 16 percent of those against Kuroda were classified as "hard hit," well better than the average of around 25 percent.
How do you get Shin-Soo Choo out?
Friday night, David Robertson was able to get Choo out in a way that most right-handed pitchers haven't been able to do so, with a fastball right over the heart of the plate.
Choo's numbers against fastballs from righties are very good: a .394 batting average when a turn ends with one ranks second in baseball behind Joe Mauer and a 1.121 OPS that ranks fifth-best.
This is slightly offset by a high miss rate (he misses on 22 percent of his swings, well above the MLB norm), making pitching to Choo a high-risk, high-reward scenario.
Choo was 2-for-4 against Kuroda, with one hit coming on a heater over the middle of the plate, another on a curve on the outside corner.
Kuroda's best bet might be to try to get Choo out in one of his weakest areas, up-and-away. Over the last four seasons, Choo's rate of missing on his swings to that area (letter-high, outer-third of the plate) is 39 percent, by far his highest of anywhere in the strike zone.
Who's hot, who's not?
Eric Chavez is 1-for-14 in the last seven games, with seven of the outs coming against sliders (five from right-handed pitchers).
Derek Jeter is 11-for-22 in his last five games and is 7-for-20 this season against sinkers (Justin Masterson's primary pitch).
Robinson Cano is 4-for-his-last-10 against righties, but hasn't homered against one since Aug. 1.
Russell Martin is 0-for-10 since July 30 when an at-bat ends with the first pitch (the typical major leaguer hits .334 against first pitches).

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
RT @ESPNNewYork: Alex Rodriguez of New York Yankees increases on-field workload in Tampa http://t.co/ddd8XOqfqk
5 minutes ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
Ichiro is in the lineup. Wells sits.
about an hour ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
Teixeira hits for first time http://t.co/iyp1CKEcxv
about 2 hours ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
Teixeira tweeted he took at-bats today.
about 3 hours ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
ICYMI: Q&A: Hal talks Cano, ticket prices, The Boss http://t.co/84IHyxZRdk
about 4 hours ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews
Quick hook on game = No quick hook for CC http://t.co/v9c0uOR3jZ
1 day ago
- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews

- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews
Reid his lips: Jeter's the man http://t.co/XUdEY3Rujj
1 day ago
- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews

- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews
Nothing official, but Aug. 19 likely makeup date for today's Yankees-Blue Jays rainout. Both teams off and begin 3-game series here next day
1 day ago
- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews

- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews
It's a washout http://t.co/kS4iT8szgv
1 day ago
- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews

- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews
Sabathia, Hughes, Kuroda to start in Baltimore; Nuno to be skipped due to today's rainout
1 day ago
- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews

- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews
Today's game is postponed; no makeup date scheduled yet
1 day ago
- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
RT @CAA_Baseball: With his 12th career multi-HR game, @RobinsonCano ties #Yankees franchise record for 2B held by HOFer Joe Gordon
1 day ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews
Today's lineup: granderson 8 cano 4 wells 7 Hafner dh Overbay 3 nix 5 Suzuki 9 brignac 6 Romine 2 Sabathia lhp
1 day ago
- ESPNNYYankees wallace matthews

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
First Pitch: Hal calls tickets 'affordable' http://t.co/cvPOepU61k
1 day ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
The irreplaceable Cano http://t.co/Q5LwkVsriM So says Joe Girardi
1 day ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
Classic A-Rod would get an inordinate amount of blame because of failure at end of games when he was big reason the moment was possible.
1 day ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
Very A-Rodish game by Carmelo: He was great enough to put himself in position to fail in the fourth.
1 day ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
Halapalooza http://t.co/84IHyxZRdk
1 day ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
Cano did not hit homer run No. 12 until game 65 in '12. This was game 43 of '13. #MVPCandidate
1 day ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand

- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
He finished with a career high 33
1 day ago
- AndrewMarchand Andrew Marchand
TEAM LEADERS
| BA LEADER | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
Robinson Cano
|
|||||||||||
| OTHER LEADERS | ||||||||||||
| HR | R. Cano | 12 | ||||||||||
| RBI | R. Cano | 31 | ||||||||||
| R | R. Cano | 25 | ||||||||||
| OPS | R. Cano | .899 | ||||||||||
| W | H. Kuroda | 6 | ||||||||||
| ERA | H. Kuroda | 1.99 | ||||||||||
| SO | C. Sabathia | 54 | ||||||||||
- There are no games scheduled for today.




TWITTER

You must be signed in to post a comment