Friday, May 28, 2010
Numbers support Haynesworth
By Dan Graziano
As most of you know, I've never let empirical data stand in the way of dismissing a player. I watched Washington Redskins defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth several times last season, and quite frankly, wasn't all that impressed. His apologists pointed to the fact that Brian Orakpo and Andre Carter put up large sack totals in '09.
They say that Haynesworth's very presence allowed his teammates to make plays. I agree with some of that, but too many times the defensive tackle was staggering to the sideline in the fourth quarter of games. But just when you thought everyone had turned on Haynesworth, KC Joyner, aka the Football Scientist, launched a defense of the player based on numerical data from his summer charting adventure. Joyner writes for ESPN Insider, but I received permission (not really) to share some of his thoughts with you:
"In the two seasons prior to signing with Washington, Haynesworth posted point of attack (POA) win totals of 32.3 percent (2007) and 23.8 percent (2008)," writes Joyner. "Those totals are the baseline against which Haynesworth's 2009 run-stuffing performance should be gauged.
"Let's check out his POA numbers from last season. He had 81 POA attempts and 27 POA wins. That equates to a 33.3 percent POA win rate, or a total that was actually higher than both his 2007 and 2008 figures."
But wait: there's some additional information that Joyner sent over Thursday evening. This didn't make it into the column, but we've deemed it worthy of the Beast.
"There is one overwhelming compelling reason [Haynesworth] should be kept as an under tackle -- he is nigh near unblockable in a one-on-one situation," writes Joyner. "To illustrate this, consider that he was single team blocked 49 times and won 22 of those blocks, or a single team win rate of 44.9 percent. That by far is the highest single team POA win rate I have seen thus far (the double team blocking review is my summer tape watching project). To put it in perspective, consider that it ranks higher than Casey Hampton (17.1%), Vince Wilfork (29.6%) and Kris Jenkins (44.4%). Teams simply cannot leave Haynesworth in a one-on-one situation if they want to run the ball his way."
So there you have it. Mike Shanahan should be begging for Haynesworth to return to Redskins Park. But something tells me the only number Shanahan's interested in is one, which is the number of days Haynesworth has spent with his new coaching staff this offseason.