Thursday, January 5, 2012
Accuscore picks Giants over Falcons
By Dan Graziano
You're going to hear lots of predictions over the coming days, but Accuscore runs 10,000 simulations of each game, and hard work like that needs to be recognized. According to this ESPN.com video, the Accuscore prediction for Sunday's wild-card playoff game between the New York Giants and the Atlanta Falcons favors the Giants, who won it in 59 percent of those simulations.
The numbers go deeper, as you'll see, but there are few surprises. If Michael Turner gets at least 75 yards on the ground, the Falcons' chances of winning go way up. If Giants pass-rushers Justin Tuck, Osi Umenyiora and Jason Pierre-Paul can force Matt Ryan into two interceptions and sack him four times, the Giants' chances of winning go over 90 percent. As I said, just one of many predictions you'll see this week that don't come from a pineapple.