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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Favre's history against the Vikings' schedule

By Kevin Seifert

Posted by's Kevin Seifert

Cross-referencing Minnesota's 2009 schedule with Brett Favre's career performance produces this bit of projection: Favre will lead the Vikings to at least 11 victories this season.

Favre has a 70.2 career winning percentage against the Vikings' 16 opponents this season, including a combined 45-19 record against NFC North rivals Chicago and Detroit. That represents a notable uptick from Favre's overall 62.8 career winning percentage against all NFL teams, and gives the Vikings a little more reason to believe he will be the final piece in the puzzle of developing a Super Bowl contender.

  Joe Robbins/Getty Images
  The Vikings hope Brett Favre is the final piece to making a deep playoff run.

Favre might be past the days of routinely racking up 300-yard games. But the Vikings want him to win games, not put up gaudy stats in their run-first offense. So while we have the time, let's look at the Vikings' schedule through our patented FavreLens:

Sept. 13 at Cleveland

Favre record: 2-2
Comment: Favre played for Browns coach Eric Mangini last season in New York. Who will have more insight into the other's tendencies?

Sept. 20 at Detroit

Favre record: 23-9
Comment: Favre has lost to the Lions only three times this decade. That's right, he's 13-3 against them since the start of the 2000 season.

Sept. 27 vs. San Francisco

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Favre record: 7-1 (Corrected from an earlier version.)
Comment: This doesn't include a 4-1 postseason record against the 49ers. For you non-math majors, that's 11 wins in 13 starts.

Oct. 5 vs. Green Bay (Mon.)

Favre record: 0-0
Comment: The big question in both matchups with the Packers this season: Even at 40, can Favre keep his emotions in check and play the kind of efficient game the Vikings need from him?

Oct. 11 at St. Louis

Favre record: 8-3
Comment: New Rams coach Steve Spagnuolo loves to blitz. That's why you sign a veteran quarterback: to handle pressure calmly. Favre has taken risks in his career, but he doesn't often panic.

Oct. 18 vs. Baltimore

Favre record: 2-1
Comment: This figures to be a physical, grind-it-out game -- and just the kind of game in which having Favre could give the Vikings an extra dimension. The Ravens' defense will be taking a risk if it focuses solely on tailback Adrian Peterson.

Oct. 25 at Pittsburgh

Favre record: 2-2
Comment: See Ravens entry. The threat of Favre's downfield accuracy will limit the Steelers' ability to stack the line of scrimmage. Tight end Visanthe Shiancoe could put up big numbers in this kind of game.

Nov. 1 at Green Bay

Favre record: 0-0
Comment: What a scene this will be, on multiple levels. You wonder if the ensuing emotion from the Packers and their fans won't ultimately trump the surge Favre will feel.

Nov. 15 vs. Detroit

Favre record: 23-9
Comment: You remember that Favre is 13-3 against the Lions this decade? He has NEVER lost a home game to them. And, while we're at it: The Lions haven't won at the Metrodome since 1997.

Nov. 22 vs. Seattle

Favre record: 3-3
Comment: This is how long Favre has been around: His first understudy, Seahawks quarterback Matt Hasselbeck, will have turned 34 when this game is played.

Nov. 29 vs. Chicago

Favre record: 22-10
Comment: The first of two matchups between rivals who took different paths to upgrading their quarterback positions. The late nature of this game begs the question: How full will Favre's tank be at this point?

Dec. 6 at Arizona

Favre record: 4-1
Comment: For once, Kurt Warner won't be the oldest quarterback on the field. This could be a final matchup between two of this era's best quarterbacks.

Dec. 13 vs. Cincinnati

Favre record: 3-1
Comment: Bengals quarterback Carson Palmer was drafted in 2003 -- right about the time Favre started planning his retirement.

Dec. 20 at Carolina

Favre record: 6-3
Comment: The first of two late-season, outdoor night games that don't bode well for a quarterback who hasn't played well in cold weather for several years.

Dec. 28 at Chicago (Mon.)

Favre record: 22-10
Comment: Only God knows how cold it will be for a late-December "Monday Night Football" game at Soldier Field. Regardless of the stakes, Favre can't be looking forward to this one.

Jan. 3 vs. New York Giants

Favre record: 4-2
Comment: Another tough opponent, but at least this game will be indoors if the Vikings need it to secure a playoff spot.