NFC North: Michael Bennett
And Rodgers, to his credit, did not.
"This is the Seattle Seahawks," Rodgers said. "They're a great defense. You don't expect to be able to move the ball effectively every down on every drive. But you need to make the most of your opportunities."
Most of the opportunities the Seahawks gave Rodgers were short over the middle or in the flat. The result was just 189 yards passing despite completing 23 of 33 passes. The 5.7-yard average per attempt was well below his career average of 8.2 and seemingly miles from the 9.2-yard mark he set in 2011, when he led the NFL in that underrated category.
"My play-call sheet has way too many [deep] shot plays that weren't called tonight," Packers coach Mike McCarthy said after the game. "I'd definitely agree with that. A lot of those things are about down-and-distance; we weren't in very good down-and-distances, particularly early. We got into a rhythm and made some drives, hit a couple plays there in the second half, but a lot of those shot plays, I just didn't get them called."
That standout cornerback Richard Sherman shut down one side of the field didn't give Rodgers much room to operate. Rodgers never threw Sherman's way and, according to ESPN Stats & Information, did not attempt a pass to a receiver outside the numbers on the right side, where Sherman patrolled.
"We did a lot of check-downs," Rodgers conceded. "We had Jordy [Nelson] a couple times, the flat defender elements where the linebacker or safety really hard out to his side quickly, so it opened up some of the underneath stuff. If you're not breaking a lot of tackles, you're going to have some 2-, 3- and 4-yard gains."
And then there was the throw Rodgers missed. It was the Packers' first offensive play of the second half, and Rodgers slightly overthrew Nelson on the left sideline. The ball caromed off his hands, and Seahawks cornerback Byron Maxwell picked it off.
"I missed my spot," Rodgers said, "probably [by] about a foot."
Nelson, who stretched out to try to catch it, blamed himself.
"If it hits your hands, you've got to catch it," Nelson said.
That trigged an ugly third-quarter stretch in which the Packers' next two possessions ended because of sacks allowed by Sherrod. Trailing 20-10, the Packers went for it on fourth-and-5 from the Seattle 41-yard line, and Cliff Avril beat Sherrod for a driving-ending sack.
On the next possession, with the Packers backed up at their own 10-yard line, Sherrod got smoked again, allowing Rodgers to get hit by Michael Bennett and fumble. Sherrod tracked the ball down in the end zone, and it cost the Packers two more points.
"That stretch in the third quarter, the interception and the safety, kind of put us in a bad spot, put our defense in a bad spot," said Rodgers, who suffered only the third defeat of 20 points or more in his 88 games as a starter. "But you've got to score more points."
Because of Houston’s size (6-feet-3, 302 pounds), he can line up as an interior pass-rusher but his natural position is out on the edge at end where he should be stout against the run. Houston's talents would be a definite plus for a Bears' defense that allowed the most total yards in franchise history, in addition to surrendering 10 100-yard rushing performances, as well as a 211-yard outing by Minnesota’s Adrian Peterson.
After failing to entice Seattle defensive end Michael Bennett with a strong offer on Monday, the Bears focused in on Houston, who is coming off a career-high six sacks in 2013, to go with 56 tackles and two forced fumbles. Houston won’t necessarily wow observers with big sack numbers. He's produced seasons of 5, 1, 4 and 6 sacks over his first four seasons in the NFL, while also producing 41 quarterback hurries.
Still, Houston’s lack of gaudy statistics mask the flexibility he gives the Bears not only schematically, but also in what the club does moving forward in free agency and the NFL draft.
If Chicago needs Houston to line up as a three-technique in a pressure package on third down, he’s capable of doing that and being disruptive. On regular downs, Houston is capable of playing out on the end and snuffing out the run with consistency.
The question now is what the Houston signing means for the future of defensive end Julius Peppers. The club is trying to shop Peppers in a trade that won’t ever materialize because of the fact he’ll count $18.183 million against the cap in 2014. So eventually, the Bears will be forced to cut Peppers if they decide (which is likely what will happen) to move forward without him.
But as it stands now, Houston appears to be the only proven starter at defensive end if Peppers isn’t around in 2014. Remember, Corey Wootton, who is normally the starter opposite Peppers is a free agent, who isn’t expected to return next season.
Cutting Peppers with the post-June 1 designation would result in dead money of $4.183 million in 2014 and $4.183 million in 2015, but considering his cap figures over the next two years, the dead money still represents a respective savings of $14 million and $16.5 million over two years.
So if moving on without Peppers is truly the plan, the Bears still need to do more work along that front four. Remember, the Bears still haven’t re-signed defensive tackle Henry Melton, and it’s unknown whether they’ll be able to because he’s generating interest among multiple teams.
Bears general manager Phil Emery said that some of the defense’s problems up front last season could be attributed to the club being one defensive lineman short due to injuries.
So while Houston represents a promising start to free agency for Chicago, there’s still plenty left to do to fill in holes along that defensive front.
The Bears whiffed -- but not for lack of trying hard -- on Plan A with Bennett, offering more money than the Seahawks, who eventually retained Bennett with somewhat of a hometown discount. But the Bears under the direction of general manager Phil Emery typically devise alternate strategies for adding the players they want in free agency. So while Plan B, C and the other options aren’t fully known at this point, it’s likely Chicago expects to make a flurry of moves in the first wave of free agency and be active all the way through the process.
That’s why the team cut running back Michael Bush -- freeing up $1.85 million in cap space -- released tight end Dante Rosario, and put out calls around the league, according to ESPN NFL Insider Adam Schefter, for a potential trade for Peppers, which likely won’t ever take place. With Peppers counting $18.183 million against Chicago’s cap in 2014, no team wants to take in that salary via a trade. So when a team starts shopping a player, it often results in the club eventually cutting him.
Cutting Peppers with the post-June 1 designation would result in $4.183 million worth of dead money in 2014 and $4.183 million in 2015, but given his astronomical cap figures over the next two years, that would still represent respective savings of $14 million and $16.5 million.
But at this point cutting Peppers doesn’t appear to be imminent.
What does seem to be on the way is the re-signing of middle linebacker D.J. Williams. The sides had been in discussion since last week, and negotiations were expected to continue through the weekend. As of Monday evening, the sides -- although still talking -- hadn't come to an agreement, according to a league source who expected a deal to take place late Monday night or early Tuesday.
Chicago also remains interested in re-signing other free agents such as cornerback Charles Tillman, defensive tackle Henry Melton and backup quarterback Josh McCown. Little information has emerged regarding Tillman’s situation, although he’s been linked to Tampa Bay because of his history with former Bears head coach Lovie Smith. The Bears have worked diligently to bring back Tillman, and it’s likely the effort will continue as the cornerback’s prospects with other teams could be limited by his age.
Melton, meanwhile, has generated interest from multiple teams, including the Dallas Cowboys, according to a league source, which would make sense given the defensive tackle’s familiarity with defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli. That doesn’t mean the Bears won’t be able to re-sign Melton. After all, the Cowboys are tight against their cap, and it’s unknown what kind of money another team might offer Melton, whose value could be diminished since he is coming off an ACL surgery.
As for McCown, as of right now, the Buccaneers appear to be the front-runner to land the quarterback, according to multiple sources, unless another one of the interested teams steps up with a more enticing offer, as the career backup may receive an opportunity to compete for a starting job. According to ESPNChicago’s Jeff Dickerson, McCown’s camp has been in contact with the Bucs, Bears, New York Jets and Houston Texans.
Dickerson also reported the Bears reached out to Cincinnati Bengals defensive end Michael Johnson on Saturday, ostensibly as a secondary option to Bennett, when the negotiation window for unrestricted free agents opened around the league. Although the sides engaged in preliminary talks, as of Monday evening it was believed the Bears weren’t at the top of the list for Johnson, who is widely considered the best available defensive end remaining on the market.
The Bears are also targeting defensive end Lamarr Houston of the Raiders according to a report on the NFL Network.
It’s unknown at this point where that leaves the Bears in terms of addressing needs along the defensive line, but several potential lower-priced options exist, and the salary demands could drop depending on how the first wave of free agency goes.
Safety is another area of need the Bears hope to address in free agency. The San Francisco Chronicle reported Chicago has expressed interest in San Francisco’s Donte Whitner, who would give the Bears an intimidating presence on the back end. A source also confirmed the club’s interest in New York Giants safety Ryan Mundy, who finds Chicago an intriguing opportunity because he’d receive a chance to compete for a starting job.
The Bears ended the day Monday with nearly $10.2 million in cap space, and it’s worth noting the club spent $5.775 million during free agency for the 2013 season on three starters in Jermon Bushrod, Matt Slauson and Martellus Bennett.
So as the initial sting of losing out on Bennett wears off, Emery said back in January the Bears will still be plenty competitive in terms of putting together a solid team once free agency opens on Tuesday.
We all just have to wait and see.
"You've just got to stay tuned, man, like a suspenseful movie," Michael Bennett said. "I've got to leave it suspenseful right now."
That didn't stop Martellus Bennett, who turned 27 on Monday, from laying out a strong case for Michael to sign with the Bears. Martellus Bennett also recently tweeted a picture of a 12-year-old Michael Bennett wearing a Chicago Bulls jersey.
"The No. 1 thing is family. You're going to get paid wherever you get paid," Martellus Bennett said. "... So if the contract is not the number that you want, you've got to think about the market and off the field."
Martellus Bennett joked that the duo could do commercials and perhaps a reality show. Both are currently sporting unkempt beards.
"We could do Doublemint commercials. Look at Duck Dynasty. Talk about the black Duck Dynasty right now. Me and you bro," said Martellus Bennett, continuing the pitch to his elder sibling. "There's just a lot of opportunity. Chicago [has] the best fans, unique city, great opportunities business wise, which I know there are a lot of things you want to do off the field after football. And none of those things are tech or coffee. [In] Seattle, that's what they're offering you. So come on down to Chicago, man."
Michael Bennett admitted that his brother put together "a great argument" and made "some great points" but refused to give any indication as to where he would be signing Tuesday once the new league year begins.
Michael Bennett said he is fielding calls from several suitors.
"I've got to leave it suspenseful for the next couple of hours and go home and make the right decision. It's really hard though," he said. "So many things play a key into the decision of your future, where you're gonna play. But I love my brother. He's one of the best tight ends in the league. So it's gonna be hard."
Martellus Bennett obviously isn't making things any easier as he continued to pitch joining the Bears.
"The biggest thing right now is usually when you go from a team to another team, you might have a friend there. You may just be jumping into the water. But here, there's a bridge. Your brother is a bridge," Martellus Bennett said. "Chicago, they love the Bennetts, bro. So to have two Bennetts, well, it would be a third because of Earl. But the Bennett and Bennett, we might as well be tough, smart lawyers. We probably could do back insurance. You get in a car accident, come on down to Bennett and Bennett. Got in a wreck, need a check? Call Bennett and Bennett. We can do whatever we want to do."
Martellus Bennett also explained the picture he posted on Twitter featuring Michael Bennett on a phone wearing a Michael Jordan jersey.
"Somewhere down the timeline of Michael Bennett Jr. history, Chicago was on his mind. It's in you. It's not something new," Martellus Bennett told Michael. "It's something that's been there. It's been there for a long time from the Bulls jersey. You buy Jordans all the time. I'm just saying the Chicago Bulls jersey is cool. We could get you one with Bennett on the back, No. 23, 72, whatever you want to get. We can get it done."
Our panel weighs in on that and more:
Fact or Fiction: Five years later, the Broncos are the winner of the Jay Cutler trade.
Johnny Knox) and quarterback Kyle Orton to obtain him. In that same five-year span, the Broncos have gone to the playoffs three times (Tim Tebow has been to the postseason as many times as Cutler) and are poised to win their first Super Bowl championship since the late 1990s on Sunday. I won't even bore you with the details that Denver eventually parlayed some of those picks from the Bears into wide receivers Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker. You know why? Because I don't need to. Success in the NFL is measured in playoff appearances and Super Bowl championships. Cutler supporters will view this as a shot at the quarterback. It's really not. I deal in reality. When a team surrenders two first-round draft picks, a third-rounder and its starting quarterback (Orton) to acquire a supposed franchise quarterback and then reaches the postseason just one time in the five years after the deal from a team that ends up reaching the playoffs three times and playing in a Super Bowl over the exact same time period, the winner is obvious: the second team. Spin it any way you want, the Broncos crushed the Bears on that trade five years ago.
Jon Greenberg: Fiction. The Bears traded picks for a franchise quarterback, and that is what they have in Cutler. It hasn't been easy, but after a few stops and starts, it looks like Cutler is finally poised to live up to the expectations brought about with that trade. If he had been traded to a team with big receivers and an offensive-minded coaching staff, this wouldn't even be a question. It's a testament to the Broncos that they wisely used the picks to get Super Bowl contributors in Robert Ayers and (through trades) Thomas and Decker. When you trade a star to get draft picks, that's how it should work, a win-win for both sides. But the real key, of course, is Peyton Manning being available. Otherwise, this isn't even a debate.
Fact or Fiction: The Bears should pursue Martellus Bennett's brother Michael in free agency.
Jon Greenberg: Fact. But the problem is money. Can the Bears afford both Bennetts? Though Chicago will almost certainly have to reconfigure contracts to make more salary room, it's easy to believe that Michael Bennett will command more than the Bears can offer. And he just might want to stay in Seattle, which is in, you know, the Super Bowl. As Martellus told reporters this week in New York, his brother's best friend is going to be Benjamin Franklin, because he wants to get paid. Still, the Bears have to pursue him.
Fact or Fiction: The Bears should use all of their draft picks on defensive players.
Jeff Dickerson: Fiction. It's never a smart idea to enter a draft fixated on a single player or side of the ball, except of course if a team holds a top-five pick in the first round. Fixing the defense is clearly the Bears' No. 1 priority in the offseason, but general manager Phil Emery should not hesitate to devote a mid-round or later-round selection to improving the offense, if that player is hands down the best available talent on the board at that stage of the draft, and the Bears believe he can help them in 2014. Don't forget, the Bears still need another tight end to complement Martellus Bennett, and they could also be in the market for a starting center if veteran Roberto Garza finds a better offer on the open market and departs via free agency. Wide receivers and young backup quarterbacks are always considered commodities in the NFL. Eventually, the Bears will need a young quarterback on the depth chart to replace Josh McCown, or even Cutler in the future. Brandon Marshall is in the final year of his contract, and while the Bears could re-sign him or turn to 2013 seventh-rounder Marquess Wilson in the immediate future at the position, if a dynamic pass-catcher is available in the later rounds, take him. Good organizations usually share a common theme: They are flexible on draft weekend. While the Bears are likely to use some of their early picks on defense, it's best to keep an open mind when the draft reaches its later stages.
Jon Greenberg: Fiction. You can't solve an immediate problem like the Bears' defense with a bunch of rookies. The Bears should look to address depth on the defensive line (cheaper than a premier free agent) and add a young safety in the first two rounds, and after that it's all about best player available and creating depth across the team. A good general manager, and Emery is one, uses the draft to help balance salaries across every position. I could see the Bears drafting another young offensive lineman, a young tight end and, yes, maybe a quarterback. It's all about finding value. But to fix the defense, the Bears are going to have to sign free agents. So the draft is not a cure-all for their ailments.
Fact or Fiction: Marquess Wilson will emerge as the Bears' No. 3 receiver in 2014.
Jon Greenberg: Fiction. The Bears would be wise to rework Earl Bennett's deal and keep him around another year. Last season, they restructured the deal to save cap money, and I assume that would happen again to keep him on the roster making more than $2 million. I don't know enough about Wilson to hand him the third receiver spot a month after the season ended, and I doubt the Bears do, either. Maybe they'll see something in OTAs that will convince them he's ready to step up into a prime-time role. But the Bears should want to keep Earl around for another season, at least, as the offense continues to improve.
Avril agreed to terms on a two-year, $15 million deal with the Seattle Seahawks, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter, and was en route to the team's headquarters Wednesday night. Further terms were not immediately available, but as NFC West colleague Mike Sando notes, it appears Avril agreed to a shorter team deal to give himself another chance in free agency in 2015, the year he turns 29.
Avril has 29 sacks in his past three seasons, numbers that you would have thought might earn a bigger payday. He played last season on a $10.6 million franchise tag after turning down a three-year deal reportedly worth $30 million.
The Lions had interest in bringing Avril back, from what I understand, and must now decide how to replace both of their starting defensive ends following Avril's departure and the release of Kyle Vanden Bosch. Willie Young is one option; the Lions placed a second-round tender on him as a restricted free agent. Another is newcomer Jason Jones, whom coach Jim Schwartz would said Wednesday would mostly play end. Free agent Lawrence Jackson also has not re-signed, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers free agent Michael Bennett is available as well.
Our friends over at ESPNChicago.com started the conversation with a "Four Downs" feature that asked, among other questions, whether Forte or Bush would finish the season with more touchdowns. You never know what might happen in the passing game, but in terms of the run, past performance and schematic history suggest Bush could out-score Forte even if he gets a fraction of the carries.
We've discussed Forte's poor production in goal-to-goal situations in previous years. Last season, as the chart shows, he didn't score on any of his 12 carries under those circumstances. Bush, on the other hand, scored on seven of his 20 goal-to-go carries. For perspective, the NFL's most productive goal-to-go runner was probably the Philadelphia Eagles' LeSean McCoy, who scored 11 times on 28 carries.
Forte is among the NFL's most versatile backs, but he has never demonstrated consistent power running near the goal line -- even when playing in two very different offensive schemes under Ron Turner and then Mike Martz. The Bears' current offensive coordinator, Mike Tice, is a long-time proponent of power running, and set up an interesting and at least mildly relevant arrangement during his first year as the Minnesota Vikings' head coach in 2002.
That season, the Vikings started speedy Michael Bennett as their primary tailback and used veteran Moe Williams in short-yardage situations. Bennett finished with 1,296 yards and Williams scored 11 rushing touchdowns on 106 total carries, mostly close to the goal-line.
It would be convenient to conclude that Tice will reprise that situation 10 years later, with Forte as his lead back and Bush playing in short-yardage, but it makes sense and has precedent. That's a pretty good start as we sit here prior to the first whistle of training camp.
Thanks to everyone for stopping by our SportsNation chat Monday afternoon. We hit many topics, although surprisingly no one seemed interested in breaking down the play list for Springsteen at the Xcel Center.
(Just to close the loop we started earlier Monday, the iconic "Dancing in the Dark" video was filmed in 1984 at the St. Paul Civic Center. A little nugget of trivia for you.)
At least two topics from the chat merit further discussion. Here was the exchange on the first:
Grant (Oak Park, IL): What do you think the future holds for Chris Williams? Will he ever be the left tackle the Bears want? Orlando pace can be good for 2, maybe 3 years. Will Williams be the long-term solution?
Kevin Seifert: For the Bears' sake, I hope he develops into a long-term left tackle. You don't draft a right tackle as high as they did. I think the Pace experiment will be more like 1-2 years. I'd be really surprised if the Bears don't envision Williams moving over after that.
Williams was the No. 14 overall pick of the 2008 draft. The Bears penciled him in as their opening day left tackle before a back injury felled his season. Then they targeted him for that position in 2009 before signing Pace.
There really isn't a body of work to judge Williams on, and I'm not willing to read too much into the Pace signing. The Bears saw a chance to improve their line, which they thought would be better with a combination of Pace and Williams at the two tackle spots than if it were Williams and, say, Kevin Shaffer or John St. Clair.
I went back and forth on whether Pace or Williams should switch positions. Ultimately, the Bears decided to put Williams in the less-stressful right tackle position. But I fully expect Williams to spend the majority of his career as a left tackle.
Meanwhile, Detroit tailback Kevin Smith was also a hot topic:
Matt (Grand Rapids): I've heard people say they don't think Kevin Smith fits Linehan's offense very well, what are your thoughts?
Kevin Seifert: I think that's mostly because Linehan doesn't really run the "zone-blocking" scheme that Smith was in last year and also in college. But the adjustment is easier to make from zone-blocking to man than the other way around.
If you look back at Linehan's NFL career, you can see that a wide variety of running backs have had success in his system. He's utilized a speedster in Michael Bennett, power-based runners like Steven Jackson and Moe Williams, and hybrids like Ronnie Brown and Onterrio Smith.
Linehan runs the more basic man-to-man blocking schemes, something every running back should be able to adjust to. If Smith fails in this offense, it won't be because of the scheme.