NFC South: compensatory picks
The Falcons will have four compensatory picks, one in the fourth round and three in the seventh.
The fourth-round pick will be No. 133 overall. The seventh-round picks are Nos. 243, 244 and 249.
The Falcons received the picks for losing free agents Kelvin Hayden, Curtis Lofton, James Sanders and Eric Weems last year.
Round/Overall pick number
- 1 -- 27
- 2 -- 59
- 3 -- 91
- 4 -- 124
- 5 -- 158
- 6 -- 192
- 7 -- 209 (from Detroit)
- 7 -- 228
- 7 -- 229 (from New England)
The NFL announced its compensatory picks Friday afternoon and Carolina got a third-round choice (No. 97) overall. The pick comes more than a year after Peppers left the Panthers as a free agent and signed with the Chicago Bears. This pick also will be the first of the compensatory picks and the only one in the third round.
The Panthers also will get a sixth-round pick (No. 203) and a seventh-round choice (No. 243).
Tampa Bay and New Orleans each got one compensatory pick in the seventh round. The Bucs got No. 237 and the Saints added pick No. 242. Atlanta did receive any compensatory picks.
Teams can trade their original draft picks, but cannot trade compensatory picks.
A league official said those picks will be announced at a later date. Carolina general manager Marty Hurney and Atlanta general manager Thomas Dimitroff have said they’ve been advised they’ll have to wait a bit to receive the list of picks.
Compensatory picks aren’t a major issue in the NFC South this year, except when it comes to the Panthers. They likely will add picks in the third and sixth rounds and it’s possible they could get a seventh-round choice.
Tampa Bay and New Orleans each could add a seventh-round choice. Atlanta isn’t expected to receive compensatory picks.
We’ll have much more over the next couple days, but I’ll give you a preview. I had a very good chat with Atlanta Falcons coach Mike Smith this afternoon and will have a column tomorrow in which the coach talks about what the Falcons need to do to take the next step. They’ve had winning records in each of Smith’s three seasons, but have yet to win a playoff game. He’s got some ideas on how to fix that and we’ll put those out on the table.
Also, I had a nice visit with John Fox and his wife Robin. Fox isn’t in the NFC South anymore. He’s coaching in Denver. But he’s a guy I covered throughout his time in Carolina and, despite his shortness with the media, we’ve got some good history. Let’s just say Fox is looking well and seems excited about getting a fresh start.
I’ve got plans to meet with Atlanta general manager Thomas Dimitroff and Carolina Panthers general manager Marty Hurney on Monday. I spoke briefly with Carolina owner Jerry Richardson, but that was just a visit and nothing formal. He’s been given an offer to talk on the record about the labor situation over the next few days and he said that’s at least a possibility.
We’ll also see if any other NFC South owners are talking. I’m planning to get with Carolina coach Ron Rivera, Tampa Bay Buccaneers coach Raheem Morris and New Orleans Saints coach Sean Payton on Tuesday.
Also, we should have the list of compensatory draft picks either Monday or Tuesday.
Justin in San Francisco asks whether compensatory picks still will be issued in a lockout and what the Panthers might expect as compensation for losing Julius Peppers.
Pat Yasinskas: All indications are the compensatory picks will be announced, as usual, at the NFL meeting. That starts Monday in New Orleans, and I’ll be there. I’ll share the picks with you as soon as I get them. I think it’s pretty safe to assume the Panthers will get a third-round pick to compensate for Peppers. Just a reminder, teams can't trade compensatory picks.
Alan in Daytona Beach, Fla., asks whether the Bucs should make a play for Randy Moss and says he could help the development of Josh Freeman.
Pat Yasinskas: No, don’t do it! Alan’s question also mentioned the injury to Arrelious Benn as another reason the Bucs could look to Moss. But all indications are that Benn’s injury is healing well and that he should be fine for the start of the regular season. The Bucs also have some other young receivers, like Dezmon Briscoe and Sammie Stroughter, they like. Of course, Mike Williams already is established as the No. 1 guy. Moss comes with way more downside than upside. Yeah, he still might be able to make some plays, but the guy can disrupt a locker room. If you look at the way the Bucs approached last season, it sure looked like they wanted to surround Freeman with a group of young receivers and let them grow up together. That seemed to work very nicely. Why mess up a good thing? If the Bucs want to add another receiver somewhere later in the draft, fine. But they don’t need any more than that.
Bryson in Atlanta wonders whether the Falcons should make a play for Moss.
Pat Yasinskas: See the above answer and now we’ll tailor it to Atlanta’s situation. Coach Mike Smith is a big believer in chemistry in the locker room. Top receiver Roddy White is a unique character and he’s thrived in recent years. Like a lot of receivers, White has a personality that sometimes can push the envelope a bit. But Smith does a nice job keeping that in check. If you throw Moss into the equation, you push the chances of White or Moss really stepping into “throw me the ball’’ territory. Atlanta can get a speed receiver in the draft and still use Michael Jenkins and some other guys as decent role players. No need to do anything too dramatic here.
Dave in Valdosta, Ga., wrote to ask whether there is any chance of the Bucs trading backup quarterback Josh Johnson and picking up a veteran such as Marc Bulger.
Pat Yasinskas: I’d be all for it. If the Bucs could actually get any draft pick for Josh Johnson, I’d take that. I’d like to see them have a dependable veteran backup like Bulger, who seems to have the personality to handle such a role after being a starter much of his career. However, that’s just my opinion, and I don’t think you’ll see anything like this happen. Raheem Morris and his staff seem to be content with Johnson.
Zach in Peachtree City wrote to say he thinks the Panthers official website has been writing a lot about Patrick Robinson lately and asks whether that’s a sign Carolina could be looking to take the cornerback with the first overall pick.
Pat Yasinskas: Can’t speak for the team’s official website. But let’s just say that most teams are pretty controlling of their own sites. It’s highly unlikely any team is going to telegraph its draft plans, and I can assure you that doesn’t fit Marty Hurney’s profile. In fact, I’d be more inclined to say what you’re seeing is a smoke screen.
This isn’t likely to have big implications for the NFC South because the complicated system for determining picks is based in large part on how many free agents teams lost and gained last year. Most NFC South teams weren’t major players in free agency and most did a good job of keeping key players from leaving via free agency.
This isn’t an exact science, but colleague John Clayton and I ran through our best guesses on the NFC South when we talked on the phone earlier today.
We think it’s pretty likely the Carolina Panthers are going to be the only NFC South team that’s going to really matter in the compensatory picks. The Panthers lost Julius Peppers and several other free agents. Our best guess is that Carolina will end up with a third- and a sixth-round pick. Teams can trade their own draft picks but not compensatory picks.
Clayton and I don’t see the Atlanta Falcons getting any compensatory picks. Tampa Bay and New Orleans each have a chance to add what probably will be a seventh-round pick.
Round 1: No. 3 overall
Round 2: No. 35 overall
Round 2: No. 42 overall (from Chicago)
Round 3: No. 67 overall
Round 4: No. 101 overall
Round 5: No. 153 overall (from New England)
Round 6: No. 172 overall
Round 7: No. 210 overall
Round 7: No. 217 overall (from Jacksonville)
Round 7: No. 233 overall (from Baltimore)
Round 7: No. 253 overall (compensatory pick)
Round 1: No. 32 overall
Round 2: No. 64 overall
Round 3: No. 95 overall
Round 4: No. 130 overall
Round 6: No. 201 overall
Round 7: No. 239 overall
Round 1: No. 19 overall
Round 3: No. 83 overall
Round 3: No. 98 overall (compensatory pick)
Round 4: No. 117 overall
Round 5: No. 149 overall
Round 5: No. 165 overall (compensatory pick)
Round 6: No. 171 overall (from Detroit)
Round 6: No. 189 overall
Round 2: No. 48 overall
Round 3: No. 78 overall
Round 4: No. 112 overall
Round 6: No. 202 overall (compensatory pick)
Round 6: No. 204 overall (compensatory pick)
Round 7: No. 223 overall
Round 7: No. 249 overall (compensatory pick)
The Falcons have added a third-round pick and a fifth-round choice. The Panthers have added two sixth-round choices and one seventh-round pick.
Tampa Bay picked up a seventh-round pick. New Orleans did not receive any compensatory picks.
With that in mind, we turn to AdamJT13. He’s the best I’ve seen at predicting compensatory picks.
According to him, the Falcons will be the big NFC South winners in this department. He has them getting a third-round pick for the loss of Domonique Foxworth and a fifth-round choice for the loss of Michael Boley.
He also projects Carolina will add two sixth-round picks for losing Frank Omiyale and Geoff Hangartner.
Posted by ESPN.com's Pat Yasinskas
If you're thinking your team might have some compensatory picks coming in this year's draft, think again.
According to AdamJT13's blog, which has had plenty of success predicting compensatory picks in the past, the NFC South won't be getting any extra choices. The NFL hasn't announced official compensatory picks yet and the formula for determining them is beyond complicated.
But AdamJT13 usually calls it correctly on most of the picks and he's saying none of the NFC South teams will add anything because they all signed more qualifying free agents than they let go last year.
Posted by ESPN.com's Pat Yasinskas
Although we're still focusing on free agency, it's not too early to peek ahead at the draft. Compensatory picks haven't been figured in yet (they'll come in late March or early April), but here's a look at what draft picks each NFC South team holds at the moment.
Compensatory picks don't start until the end of the third round. That's why we stop giving the overall number in the fourth round. As of the moment, all four NFC South teams won't be picking in the same round until the fourth.
(round, round selection, overall selection)
1-14-14 New Orleans
1-19-19 Tampa Bay
3-17-81 Tampa Bay
4-16- New Orleans
4-18- New Orleans from New York Jets
4-20- Tampa Bay
5- 7- Atlanta from Oakland
5-19- Tampa Bay
6-18- Tampa Bay
7- 8- Tampa Bay from Jacksonville
7-13- New Orleans
7-20- Tampa Bay from Chicago
7-24- Tampa Bay from Baltimore