Upset probabilities in the NFC West


Brian Burke's model forecasting NFL win probabilities sees the Giants, Cowboys and Packers prevailing in Week 17 if all teams play to win.

Those outcomes would leave Dallas as the NFC's second seed, with fourth-seeded Arizona at home against fifth-seeded Green Bay in the wild-card round (scenarios here).

The Packers have less at stake than the Cardinals, however. If we flipped the Packers-Cardinals prediction while leaving the others in place, Arizona would emerge as the No. 2 seed.

"I really hope we get this bye," Cardinals defensive end Darnell Dockett tweeted Saturday. "I'm sore but don't get it twisted. I'd hit a ON switch like a transformer!"

NFC West upset probabilities: Week 17

Brian Burke's model forecasting NFL win probabilities -- explained here -- favors the 49ers, Titans and Packers in Week 17 games involving NFC West teams.