Projecting the Rams' record, revisited
Posted by ESPN.com's Mike Sando
The Rams could improve this season and still conceivably take an 0-7 record into Detroit.
Don't take my word for it. Look at the schedule.
It is plausible to think Vegas might see the Rams as underdogs in every game they play this season. You know Lions fans are counting that Week 8 game against the Rams as one of their potential victories in 2009.
I think it's important -- and possible, if not likely -- for the Rams to make an early statement as they redefine expectations. But it's still tough to find more than four victories on the Rams' schedule based on what we think we know.
I've bolded projected Rams victories while marking potential "swing" games in red:
Week 1: lose at Seattle
Week 2: lose at Washington
Week 3: lose vs. Green Bay
Week 4: lose at San Francisco
Week 5: lose vs. Minnesota
Week 6: lose at Jacksonville
Week 7: lose vs. Indianapolis
Week 8: win at Detroit
Week 9: bye
Week 10: win vs. New Orleans
Week 11: lose vs. Arizona
Week 12: lose vs. Seattle
Week 13: lose at Chicago
Week 14: lose at Tennessee
Week 15: win vs. Houston
Week 16: lose at Arizona
Week 17: lose vs. 49ers
Do I think the Rams will go 0-7 to open the Steve Spagnuolo era? No. Can I reasonably project a Rams victory against any one of their first seven opponents, particularly with three of the first four on the road? Not without getting creative.
The Rams will surprise some teams this season. I could see them returning from their bye week to beat the Saints with a strong ground game. I think they could win a couple of games in the division. But it's probably tough even for a Rams fan to project immediate success as the Rams rebuild.
In retrospect, the 6-10 projection made in April seems optimistic.
How is my logic flawed?