Sando's best guesses: Week 6 predictions

October, 14, 2011
10/14/11
11:43
AM ET
It was a rough week in the predictions department for the guy who overrated Arizona and underrated Seattle in Week 5 games.

Live and learn.

My record fell to 13-4 on NFC West predictions for the season. We've got only two games on the schedule for Week 6, and one falls well inside the leather, to use a golf analogy.

A look at how I see these two games going:
  • St. Louis Rams at Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m. ET. The Rams have yet to run an offensive play this season while leading on the scoreboard. The Packers have played twice at home and led those games by a combined 35-10 after the first quarter. Having Steven Jackson healthy has to help the Rams, but the Packers have been strong against the run. It's impossible to envision a scenario featuring a Rams victory unless Steve Spagnuolo can dial up a blitz that knocks Aaron Rodgers from the game. Even then, it's a stretch. My best guess: Packers 38, Rams 9.
  • San Francisco 49ers at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET. Do I think the 49ers can win in Detroit? Yes, I do. Would I enjoy turning to NFC North blogger Kevin Seifert following a dominating 49ers victory and telling him, after two calculated puffs from a high-brow smoking pipe, that this is how we roll in the NFC West? Yes, I would. The 49ers' defense is good enough to hold the Lions in check. Their offense has been good enough lately to give them a chance. I just suspect the Lions' defensive line, playing at home, will cause more problems for Alex Smith than the 49ers' line will cause for Matt Stafford. Imagine the newfound respect for the NFC West -- for the 49ers, anyway -- if San Francisco went to 5-1 this season. The team is looking to go 3-0 in games kicking off at 10 a.m. PT. My best guess: Lions 20, 49ers 17.

OK, then, where am I wrong?

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