Sando's best guesses: Week 4 predictions

September, 28, 2012
9/28/12
3:12
PM ET
Attempts to will the NFC West to a second consecutive 4-0 week came up a little short.

I'm blaming the San Francisco 49ers for their defeat at Minnesota while taking full responsibility for defiantly picking St. Louis to beat Chicago against conventional wisdom. That's the problem with picking upsets. You're going to be wrong a lot.

Going 2-2 last week brings the record to 6-5 for picking NFC West games to this point. The record would be 9-2 if I had simply picked home teams to win every time. NFC West teams are 6-0 at home and 2-4 on the road.

I'm taking home teams to win two of the NFC West games for Week 4:
  • Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams, 1 p.m. ET: I've had this game marked (in pencil) as one St. Louis would win to signal renewed competitiveness from the Rams in the NFC West. The more I think about it, the less confident I feel in the pick. But let's stick with it on the theory that the Rams will make something happen at home. A return touchdown of some sorts could be the difference. Sando's best guess: Rams 13, Seahawks 10.
  • San Francisco 49ers at New York Jets, 1 p.m.: Imagine the turmoil on the blog if San Francisco were to lose twice in a row. Think fans of their rivals might have some fun with that? I'll admit to not feeling as great about the 49ers' chances as I would have a week ago. Time to refocus, defending NFC West champs. Sando's best guess: 49ers 20, Jets 16.
  • Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals, 4:05 p.m.: I'm heading to Arizona for this one and looking forward to seeing how the Cardinals handle success. Injuries are a potential concern with Beanie Wells out and Darnell Dockett having suffered a hamstring injury. But the Cardinals' defense should control the game. Sando's best guess: Cardinals 20, Dolphins 13.
Note: We've also got the "You called it" competition going, plus the Pigskin Pick'em group. (I unfortunately failed to make predictions one week, killing my score.)

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