Upset probabilities in the NFC West

November, 6, 2009
Nov 6
3:21
PM ET
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By Mike Sando
Win Chance Visitor Home Win Chance
.080 Panthers Saints .920
.140 Texans Colts .860
.170 Dolphins Patriots .830
.170 Chiefs Jaguars .830
.190
Lions Seahawks .810
.260 Redskins Falcons .740
.330 Titans 49ers
.670
.340 Cardinals Bears .660
.380 Steelers Broncos .620
.410 Ravens Bengals .590
.460 Cowboys Eagles .540
.510 Chargers Giants .490
.880 Packers Bucs .120
Posted by ESPN.com's Mike Sando

Brian Burke' probability model expects the 49ers to pull even with the Cardinals at 4-4 through Week 9.

The chart shows how Burke's model sees win probabilities in Week 9. For that and more, check out his latest entry.

I've been following the projections for several weeks and enjoy seeing how they measure against results.

Several outcomes ran counter to the model in Week 8, a departure from most weeks this season.

The Cardinals are 3-0 on the road this season. I think they've got a decent chance against the Bears.

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